Joe Lunardi Senior Writer, ESPN.com
Back in the Stone Age (like 1999), we created Adjusted Scoring Margin as a supplement to RPI. It correctly pegged a number of unexpected NCAA runs over the years -- Florida (2000), Kent State (2002), George Mason (2006) and Butler (2010) -- so just for kicks I looked to see which teams in this year's bracket are significant under- or over-valued (by pre-tourney ASM rank). UNDERVALUED: Wichita State (2), West Virginia (4), Saint Mary's (8), SMU (9), Cincinnati (12), Middle Tennessee (28), Rhode Island (31), Nevada (37). OVERVALUED: Kansas (17), Arizona (19), Minnesota (36), Northwestern (49), Michigan State (57), Maryland (58), Xavier (61), Seton Hall (69). Just remember, don't shoot the messenger!