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Sport Sections

Thursday, April 5
Troy Glaus vs. Mike Schmidt



Troy Glaus, Mike Schmidt

Yes, this one is a bit premature. But Glaus has enormous potential:

Player    G     AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS* OPS+^ Runs  RBI TPR#
Schmidt  2649  .267 .384 .527  .912  147  1506 1595 79.6
Glaus    1877  .256 .360 .497  .857  115   224  198  3.3
* on-base percentage + slugging percentage
^ OPS adjusted for home park and normalized to league average (from "Total Baseball")
# Total Player Rating (wins above average player at his position -- from "Total Baseball")

Of course, nobody is Mike Schmidt. As Bill James once wrote, "True, Schmidt didn't for a high average. If he had, he'd be the greatest player ever," let alone greatest third baseman ever.

What intrigues us about the Glaus vs. Schmidt comparison is that they are extremely similar players. Both were college shortstops who converted to third base. Glaus, who ESPN's Dave Campbell ranked as one of the top five infielders in baseball, will win many Gold Gloves, as Schmidt did. They are power hitters who strike out a lot but draw a ton of walks.

In his first year in the majors, Schmidt hit .196 with 18 home runs and then exploded at age 24. In his first full year, Glaus hit .240 with 29 home runs and then exploded at age 23/24:
Player    G     AVG  OBP  SLG  OPS  OPS+  HR  RBI
Schmidt  1974  .282 .398 .546  .944  156  36  116
Glaus    2000  .284 .405 .604 1.009  150  47  102

Both players led their leagues in home runs. Their adjusted OPS are similar. Of course, Schmidt went on to lead the NL in home runs seven more times as well as a host of other categories.

Will Glaus become Mike Schmidt? Highly unlikely. But it will be exciting watching him become one of baseball's best players for the next decade.

Final tally: Schmidt.
--David Schoenfield


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