<
>
Insider

ZiPS Game 3 probability: Indians facing tall odds at Wrigley

Indians starter Josh Tomlin squares off against Kyle Hendricks and the Cubs on Friday night at 8 ET. Getty Images, USA TODAY Sports

Like the computer at the end of "WarGames," the Chicago Cubs figured out in Game 2 how to solve the intractable problem of dealing with Andrew Miller and Cody Allen: The only winning move is not to play. The Cubs got to Trevor Bauer early, building a 4-0 lead they never relinquished. And it was an important game too; ZiPS had the Cubs favored in this game after favoring the Cleveland Indians in Game 1, and a loss here would have left the Cubs 70-30 underdogs in the series probability.

Speaking of Game 2, I had the same thought as Andrew Marchand. Even though Bauer didn't leave this game with his pinkie finger dripping blood, he was ineffective enough that, should Cleveland not win the World Series and continue to be stymied in championship efforts, the tale of the drone might certainly play a part in Indians folklore.

The Cubs are quite happy so far with their gamble to bring Kyle Schwarber back for the playoffs after he missed almost the entire season because of torn ligaments in his left knee. In fact, if I'm not mistaken, he's now the first position player to get a hit in the World Series without having one in the regular season. No home runs yet, but his double in Game 1 was close -- it was one of the few bright spots for the Cubs in that game -- and he went 2-for-4 with two RBIs in Game 2. And it's not just the results; he has looked comfortable at the plate as well.