Originally Published: October 31, 2013

2. Around The Association

The NBA's Most Overrated

By Kevin Pelton | ESPN Insider

I've written at length about why SCHOENE is so down on the Knicks. In reality, the 37-45 projection is something of a worst-case scenario for New York. I'm expecting something like 45 wins -- which would still be a drop of nine from last season's total of 54. There's actually plenty of precedent for that kind of slide.

Since the ABA-NBA merger, five other teams have gone from a stretch of consecutive years between 40 and 45 wins (projecting lockout campaigns to full seasons) to winning between 52 and 56 games in Year 3. Of those, three won 45 games or fewer in Year 4, two of which could prove similar to the Knicks. The 1991-92 Houston Rockets went from 52 wins to 42 and missed the playoffs, costing Don Chaney his job. And the 1998-99 Phoenix Suns, who had gone 56-26 the season before, won the equivalent of 44 games after a post-lockout makeover, finishing with the sixth seed.

Read the rest of the column Insider

Kevin Pelton

ESPN Staff Writer

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