NBA Finals Forecast: Predicting the champs and MVP

Jalen Rose predicts Cavs steal a win on the road (1:36)

The Get Up! crew weighs in on LeBron James' chances of upsetting the Warriors in the Finals. (1:36)

Who will win the fourth matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers? How many games will the series go?

Our ESPN Forecast panel predicts the NBA Finals and MVP winner.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers

Likelihood of winning series

  • ESPN Forecast: Warriors 81 percent likely to win; Cavaliers 19 percent

  • Basketball Power Index: Warriors (91 percent)

  • FiveThirtyEight: Warriors (77 percent)

  • Fan panel: Warriors (76 percent)


Game 1: Thursday | 9 p.m. ET, ABC/WatchESPN

Who will win Finals MVP?

Recent winners:

To join the fan panel, click here. ESPN Forecast is conducted in collaboration with The Wharton School and Microsoft Research.