CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Jimmie Johnson has accepted the
inevitable. Unless Tony Stewart makes his first major mistake in
the Chase for the championship, the best Johnson can do is finish
second in the race for the Nextel Cup title.
"He is in control of the championship in my mind and I hate to
admit that," Johnson lamented. "If I go out and do all that I can
and lead the race and lead the most laps, then it's just in his
hands from there as to where he finishes and what happens."
Alas, all Stewart has to do to win his second championship is
finish ninth or better in Sunday's season finale at Homestead-Miami
Speedway. If he can do that, it won't matter where any other driver
finishes -- the title automatically will be Stewart's.
Only three drivers -- Johnson, Carl Edwards and Greg Biffle --
have a mathematical chance of catching him, and all know they'll
need some intervention. It's a far cry from last season, when five
drivers had a legitimate chance at the title heading into the
Johnson was one of them, beginning that race 18 points behind
Kurt Busch. He did everything he could and finished second in the
race, only to fall eight points shy of beating Busch for the title.
For Johnson, it was his second straight year finishing second in
the points. Barring a shocking result in Sunday's race, he's on the
verge of making it three in a row -- and Johnson knows how bad it
will feel to watch someone else accept the trophy at the year-end
banquet once again.
"We've been so close. To be sitting below the [banquet] stage
and looking up again for the third time, if that's the case, is
going to be tough," he said. "We really, really, really want a
championship and we feel that we've done a great job really every
"To come up short, if we do come up short like the last two
seasons, that's going to be tough. But at the same time, we're
doing everything that we can and we just haven't been able to close
Truthfully, Johnson wasn't really that close in 2003 when Matt
Kenseth wrapped up his title a week before the finale. But back
then, a second-place finish in the standings was almost as good as
winning it for the upstart Johnson.
It made his Hendrick Motorsports team hungry to take the next
step, and it opened the 2004 season as the team to beat. Johnson
dominated almost the entire year until a late-summer stumble
knocked him out of the points lead. But under the new Chase format,
he wasn't out of contention and used a string of four victories in
five races to head to Homestead with a very, very good chance.
He's not in the same position this year to race for the title.
It's Stewart's to win or lose, and that reality has Johnson, who is
52 points behind Stewart, second-guessing himself.
Johnson's only mistake of the Chase was in October at Talladega, Ala., where he was caught up in two different accidents. The second wreck
ended his day early with a 31st-place finish that dropped him to
fourth in the standings.
Stewart finished second that day, and Johnson now wonders what
he could have done differently.
"I look at that and wish maybe we played the strategy that
[Dale Jarrett] did where he sat at the back and stayed out of
trouble and then came through and was even able to win the race,"
Johnson said. "We considered a lot of things at Talladega and we
felt like the best thing for our team was to race for the win and
to be up front and stay out of trouble that way and it didn't
really play out."
Now Johnson, who badly wants a championship, fears he could end
up as another Mark Martin -- a driver who has famously fallen short
of a Cup title with four runner-up finishes. But instead of seeing
the heartbreak in Martin's situation, Johnson chooses to look at
Martin's competitiveness and the longevity of his career.
At 46, Martin is still a contender and realistically could
finish second again this season if everything falls into place for
him on Sunday.
"I look at Mark Martin and
he's been competitive and has
been fighting for championships for really the majority of his
career," Johnson said. "And is he 46. With that in mind, I still
have a lot of really good years ahead of me to win championships.
"This sport is so competitive, you don't know how long you're
going to be able to ride certain waves. I don't think our wave has
peaked. But we've been very close. We've been in the hunt. And
there are no guarantees for the future."