Chat with Mel Kiper
Send your questions now and join Mel this Friday at noon ET!
Mel Kiper (12:01 PM)
All indications are that Matthew Stafford will go No. 1 overall, just like I predicted 3.5 years ago.
Matt (Chantilly, VA)
Mel Can you give your thoughts on Ramses Barden and what potential he has?
Mel Kiper (12:03 PM)
He has a lot of potential. Big kid at 6-6, 228. Physically imposing. He led his team in receiving four straight years. Averaged nearly 19 yards his senior year. He did a lot of great things at the I-AA level. What he's going to have to adjust to is these CBs in the NFL. Making sight adjustments in your routes. It's going to be a transition period. He has ability, no question. He was a free safety in high school in addition to being a WR. Played volleyball, ran track, played basketball. He was a good prep athlete. I put him in the early third round to the Cowboys.
Is Seattle seriously considering Sanchez? How high do you think Josh Freeman will go? Love your work. Thanks.
Mel Kiper (12:05 PM)
I think they have to be. I thought he's up there as one of the top players in this draft. Durability has been an issue for Matt Hasselbeck. Maybe in 2010 you let Sanchez compete. Seattle got pretty good play from Seneca Wallace when he filled in last year. Hasselbeck has the back situation and he had the worst year he's had in Seattle. And he turns 34. Wallce proved he could do a decent job and then you'd have Sanchez as the heir apparent.
With so many teams looking to trade out of the top ten, who is most likely to be successful?
Mel Kiper (12:06 PM)
I think Jacksonville at 8 would be the most successful. If Sanchez gets past Seattle, then I think he's the guy that people would move up to try and get. San Francisco, Washington are other teams that could look to do that.
Do you think Rashad Johnson can hold up physically for 16 games in the NFL? Also, does he have the skill-set to excel in the Bears cover-2 scheme?
Mel Kiper (12:08 PM)
I have him going to Oakland in the early third round. That's the question, that's why he's not a first round pick. He had 5 INTs, returned 2 for TDs. He was phenomenal all year. The big game he had against LSU. Alabama record of three INTs, one returned for a TD. Real smart kid. He was like a defensive coach on the field. He played at Alabama at 183-188 pounds. But he was 202 at the combine. Real good athlete. He ran a 4.49. Can he stay healthy? That's the question mark.
Matt Cassel got sacked more than almost everone last year. How long do the Pats wait to grab an offensive lineman? Or do you see them going all defense in this draft?
Mel Kiper (12:10 PM)
Their RT graded out no better than an average starter. They could move Matt Light from LT to RT if they got a LT. Or they could draft a RT. I would say 3-5 round area, they could draft an OL. If they wanted to, even in the second round they could look at Phil Loadholt. They could look at Dan Gay. Those would be some of the guys you could look at.
Justin (Tri-Cities, Wa)
Mel, is there any chance Curry could slip to the Seahawks at 4?
Mel Kiper (12:11 PM)
There's always a chance. I haven't locked in KC to Curry yet. That hasn't been locked in by any stretch. We don't know where Mark Sanchez is going. Curry could be a fit there. He could play OLB in a 3-4 defense. We have to wait and see with that St. Louis pick.
Mel - Are there any RBs out there that can have the kind of success last year's rookie RB class had?
Mel Kiper (12:15 PM)
The RBs are going to go in the first round. Moreno, Wells, Donald Brown. They'll all be expected to good years. Greene, McCoy will go in the second round. Andre Brown from NC State has moved up. Glenn Coffee from Alabama. Rashad Jennings. James Davis. Mike Goodson. Devin Moore. Kory Sheets. Marcus Thigpen. There are a lot of backs. The backs are always going to be plentiful. You'll be able to get a lot of these guys later int he draft. Arian Foster. Frank Summers. Marlon Lucky. Javarris Williams. Bernard Scott.
Better fit for the Skins, Sanchez or Campbell?
Mel Kiper (12:16 PM)
Campbell is in his last year to show that he can do it. He's going to have to have some things fall into place. Kelly or Thomas is going to have to have an impact this year. Fred Davis at TE. The OL has to play a lot better. This is a put up or shut up for Campbell. This entire organization and coachign staff, they know they have to win. I would take Sanchez if he's there, but I don't think he will be. And they don't have the ammunition to get him. They'd have to move 13 to 4 or 13 to 3.
Mel Kiper (12:17 PM)
I don't buy into the Josh Freeman talk. Freeman with the 13th pick. He's not highly regarded enough to guarantee that he's the heir apparent there. What Campbell needs to do is be more assertive and a vocal leader.
Who is the first TE taken in the draft and by whom?
Mel Kiper (12:19 PM)
Brandon Pettigrew, guaranteed. He could go to the Jets at 17, Philly at 21, Atlanta at 24, Baltimore at 26. We're going to have probably 6 TEs go in the 2-3 round. Jared Cook. Shawn Nelson. Richard Quinn, Cornelius Ingram, Anthony Hill, Chase Coffman. Then you'll also be looking at a TE right off that group, James Casey in the fourth. In the 5-6 round, Cameron Morrah from Cal, Devon Drew. That doesn't even include a Travis Beckum.
Brandon (Bellevue, WA)
How set do you think the Rams are on taking Jason Smith? Eugene Monroe looks a little more polished. Thoughts?
Mel Kiper (12:21 PM)
I like Smith over Monroe. Monroe struggled against Michael Johnson. Smith is a better pass blocker. A better run blocker. When you look at Monroe, there are probably people that like him better than Smith. There are some that like Andre Smith as the best OT in this draft. If St. Louis takes Jason Smith there, I think they look CB in the second round. Maybe Darius Butler.
Your big weekend is coming up. Do you have any pre-game rituals? Does it involve Head and Shoulders? Do you take a week or two off after the draft, or are you already looking forward to the 2010 class?
Mel Kiper (12:23 PM)
Just the annual haircut before the draft. I do the review right after the draft. Then I look ahead at where the undrafted free agents sign. I do a detailed review. That's your 8-12 round. Whatever team out there signs these undrafted free agents, that's your 8-12 rounds. Then you get a break. Memorial Day Weekend is a nice time to get away. I'm always doing radio on Saturdays. Every Saturday morning from 10a-1p. We do that radio program through the summer. You really do get a break is mid-May through mid-July. Watch some NASCAR, baseball, go to the beach. Regenerate.
Jim (New Orleans)
Biggest slip possibility for a player in the first round-maybe to the second? Biggest jump?
Mel Kiper (12:25 PM)
I think Michael Johnson is already that player. He could go second or third round. He was projected at one time as a first rounder. Others, Percy Harvin, once projected as a mid first now he's a late first. Malcolm Jenkins is a mid to late first rounder after being a top 10. Josh Freeman, it will be interesting. Will he go to Tampa? They just signed Leftwich. that would be about it for sliding. I don't see anyone else taking a nose dive.
Mel Kiper (12:27 PM)
Some guys moving up the board. Eric Wood. Eben Britton. Darius Butler. Connor Barwin. Brian Robiskie. William Beatty. Sean Smith. Bradley Fletcher. TJ Lang. Keenan Lewis. Richard Quinn. Scott McKillop. Christopher Owens. Mike Thomas.
Mel, you and Todd seem to have some differing opinions on Clay Matthews. He has him going in the latter part of the 1st, and you have him in the second. Can you explain your differences?
Mel Kiper (12:29 PM)
We don't really differ at all. First round projections are a little misleading on where you project. I almost had him at 23 at New England. Originally, I had Clay Matthews to New England. I thought maybe to Arizona, but I put Larry English there. So, I moved him to the fourth pick in the second round. It's only four picks. We are not that far off. We have some guys that we like and the other one doesn't. But I'm not going to argue about Clay Matthews.
Mark (San Diego)
USC is clearly the best college program for developing NFL players. Is there anyone else even close?
Mel Kiper (12:30 PM)
Oklahoma is going to be the program next year. But Pete Carroll always says that he gets 5-10 NFL picks each year. But next year with Oklahoma Sam Bradford could go No. 1, Gerald McCoy could go No. 2, Jermaine Gresham will be the top TE, Trent Williams, he could go 10-15. Oklahoma will be very well represented. USC is Pete Carroll, he's done it year in year out.
Vlad chicago, il [via mobile]
Mel who do you see the bears drafting at no. 49 a wide reciever or a defensive player?
Mel Kiper (12:32 PM)
I think Mohamed Massaquoi out of Georgia would be a nice fit. He was the main target. He was a great tandem with Stafford. He improved his consistency. He'll run those inside routes. He's got a real good frame. He ran much better than he did at the combine. Real good blocker. He's not of those guys that sleepwalks if the ball's not coming his way. Another kid you have to look at is Juaqin Igelias.
Mel Kiper (12:33 PM)
We're moving closer and closer. I'll try to squeeze in another chat next week. Not sure of the day yet. I'll let you know. Then we'll have a review chat the Monday after the draft.