Chat with KC Joyner
Welcome to SportsNation! On Thursday, ESPN Insider KC Joyner, will be here to answer your NFL questions.
Joyner, aka The Football Scientist, uses game film to track, tabulate and analyze nearly every measurable statistic in an NFL game. He is a regular Insider contributor and has his own website at thefootballscientist.com.
Send your questions now and join KC Thursday at 4 p.m. ET!
KC Joyner (4:00 PM)
Good afternoon! Let's talk some football.
Mike S (CT)
KC, what do you make of Marshawn Lynch's pedestrian play this season? I fully expected him to come out guns ablazing following his suspension, but he's been outplayed by Fred Jackson nearly every step of the way.
KC Joyner (4:01 PM)
If memory serves me correct, the stats in the 2009 Fantasy Draft Guide showed that Lynch didn't do as well on runs with good blocking in 2008 as did Jackson. From what I've seen this year, the same thing is occurring.
Ryan (Orange County)
W/ Revis handling TO tonight, you think that could make Lee Evans more valuable? Would you start him over any of the following: Breaston/Walter/Housh?
KC Joyner (4:03 PM)
That's a tough call because the Vikes secondary status is a bit up in the air. If Winfield and Sapp both play, I'd not start Breaston over Evans but if one or both of them are out, I'd start him. Since you have to make the decision this evening, I'd go with Evans since those two are likely to play.
Gary Kubiak (Houston, TX)
KC Joyner (4:04 PM)
Get your team mad at Indianapolis the next time you play them. You guys seem to treat them with a ton of respect when you should be angry with them for doing this to you every year.
Josh (Lincoln, NE)
Nice article on Suh. Who would you compare him to in the NFL currently, or is there anyone comparable?
KC Joyner (4:05 PM)
Thanks. He was hands down the most dominant player I've graded this year and a lot of the players I've graded are DTs. He reminds me of Kevin Williams but only better.
Katelyn (Syracuse, NY)
Call me crazy, but I don?t see a need for Buffalo to rush out and grab a big name coach just to get an a-list name. If Perry Fewell can finish off the season right, why not make him head coach, spend some big bucks to bring in a football smart GM, Charlie Weiss as the OC, and draft Jimmy Clausen? Fewell running the defense, Weiss running the offense, and a big time arm throwing to TO, who yes they should resign, sounds like a pretty good start to me.
KC Joyner (4:07 PM)
I'm with you on this. An article I did in my book Blindsided showed that coaches aren't anywhere near as effective after their 10th year in the business as they are in years 1-10 and that's exactly where the Bills are going. Having said that, they do need to drum up fan base interest, so going with a established coach may be the best way to do that.
KC, I have tried to get this answered in other chats all day but had no luck. You always come through for me though...I have a big game this week and am trying to decide between the Viking's DEF or Packers's DEF. I had planned to go with Minny, but reports are calling for somewhat heavy snow in Green Bay. Give me your scientific decision. Thanks!
KC Joyner (4:09 PM)
I aim to help but this one is going to depend on whether or not Warner and Winfield play. If Warner is out and Winfield in, play the Vikes. If Warner is in and Winfield out, don't play the Vikes. Anywhere in the middle and it is frankly a toss-up (they are ranked almost even in my weekly rankings).
What is your take on the whole helmet and concussion issue? Should they go back to old school?
KC Joyner (4:10 PM)
They should do what TMQ is talking about - use the Patriots mouthpiece and the newer, concussion resistant helmets. Gregg is right in that the league ought to just mandate the new equipment.
Who was the best offensive and Defensive players of the Bowden era at FSU. What did your scouting eye tell you?
KC Joyner (4:11 PM)
I'd take Deion on defense, although Ron Simmons (DAMN!) would be a close second. As far as offensively, I'd have to go Charlie Ward, with Weinke and Dunn close in that race.
Who would you rather have in your backfield, AP or Chris Johnson?
KC Joyner (4:12 PM)
Johnson. He gets the home run play more often and doesn't fumble.
Peter Warrick (No Idea)
What about me?
KC Joyner (4:12 PM)
P Dub! Can't forget him but I'd still Ward #1.
Weekly rankings? Where can we see those?
KC Joyner (4:13 PM)
They are part of the subscription service. Shoot me an email at email@example.com and I can send you more info.
Nick (Milwaukee, WI)
Listen to a lot of Chicago radio, I hear that Bill Cowher is interested in the Chicago Bears. I would tend to think that Cowher believes in Cutler and can be fixed...Do you have any insight on how coaches evaluate one team over another?
KC Joyner (4:14 PM)
Not to be cynical, but I think there are three ways coaches evaluate which team to go - power, money and talent (i.e. which team has the best players).
Greg (Boston, MA)
Do you think Belichick's coaching ability is not where it used to be, especially his drafting skills, do the Patriots need to make a head coaching change soon?
KC Joyner (4:15 PM)
He's well past the 10 year mark, so historically speaking his best days are almost certainly behind him. Having said that, they are still the best team in the AFC East and until that changes, there is no reason to even think about making any changes.
Okay, I'm going to the game here in Charlotte Sunday. With all of the issues at QB the Panthers have had, plus a bad Tampa Bay team, I have a really, REALLY important question...smoked Carolina BBQ the night before and reheat it for the game or drunken chicken, grilled there for the tailgate?
KC Joyner (4:16 PM)
Go for grilling at the game.
Do you believe we're ever getting another Bo Jackson, a two-sporter who can play football and something else (i.e. the LeBron as a TE theory)?
KC Joyner (4:18 PM)
I'd lean towards no if only because with the huge contracts, teams are less likely to allow their players to go to other sports. It'll take someone with the media savvy of a Bo Jackson or Deion Sanders to pull it off, as that is the only way to get a team to willingly work around the usual contract limitations.
Craig G. (Fairfield, California)
Hey KC, your picks for the Jets -3 and under 37 for tonight?
KC Joyner (4:18 PM)
I don't do gambling picks per se. What I can say is that I think the Jets will win something along the lines of 24-14.
Would Walter Jones be in the conversation for best offensive player in FSU history?
KC Joyner (4:19 PM)
Great suggestion. The Noles were never quite as good on offense as they were when Jones was on their line.
Dan (Reno, NV)
Who would get your vote for Most Improved Player? Candidates include Vernon Davis, Sidney Rice, Miles Austin, Elvis Dumervil... who else...
KC Joyner (4:20 PM)
Davis. As much as the other three have improved, he went from being a complete bust to maybe one of the top 3-5 tight ends in the league. All it took was a coach who would give him a daily kick in the rear but it has worked wonders.
KC! Is it just me, or is Jason Campbell so underrated that he's actually becoming overrated? People have been bashing him so much all year, now that he's playing less terrible, people are now defending him much more than necessary. He's not a good QB... he's just not completely terrible either. Thanks.
KC Joyner (4:22 PM)
Good point. Campbell got bashed in part, I believe, because the Skins braintrust was looking for someone to blame for the team's poor play without looking in the mirror. He wasn't bad in 2008 and he's been good in 2009. I'd just ask this question - how many QBs could perform well with Devin Thomas, Antwaan Randle El and Malcolm Kelly filling out significant roles on the depth chart?
Mike (Newport, RI)
What do you reccomend to help fix the Pats defense if you think they need improving: sign a few average players, draft some average guys, draft/trade for/sign a big name guy?
KC Joyner (4:23 PM)
They need linebackers more than anything. That is a LB-centric scheme and I just don't think the guys they have at that position now are capable of running it the way that their LBs could in the dominant Pats D days.
So Ingram had a hip pointer last week is their anyway he could already be over that? I had one and it lasted over a month.
KC Joyner (4:24 PM)
It sure didn't look like a small injury last week. I'm guessing they will send Ingram out there for a play or two just to get the UF coaches thinking they will have to defend him all day and then not put him back in.
Jason (Calgary, AB)
Do you think the return of Akeem Jordan (hopefully this week) and Joselio Hanson (next week) will stabilize an Eagles' D that seems pretty shaky right now in time for the stretch (and hopefully) playoff run?
KC Joyner (4:25 PM)
I've got to give Philly credit for how they handled the loss of two CBs. They adjusted their D to have their safeties go into coverage roles and it worked. Getting Jordan and Hanson back would help them tremendously, however.
You didn't answer the Jason Campbell question!
KC Joyner (4:26 PM)
I believe I did answer in the affirmative. if not, let this be that answer.
Nick (Milwaukee, WI)
Any explanation on how Randy Moss wasn't able to get open against the Saints and two new corner backs?
KC Joyner (4:27 PM)
The Pats pass blocking was the big issue. NO knew that the Pats were going to do certain adjustments to certain types of blitzes and had their CBs react accordingly.
Greg (ESPN (Bristol) shh! please don't tell on me)
True or False Charlie Weis could help NFL teams today as OC and QB Coach? Personally, I could see him rebuilding Oakland, Buffalo, Detroit, NYJ and salvaging NYG, Dallas, NE and Houston...Crazy?
KC Joyner (4:30 PM)
I don't see any of the last four teams needing a lot of offensive playcalling help (although Weis and NE could be a good fit for obvious reasons). He won't go to Oakland and Buffalo is a no until they get their coaching situation resolved. Detroit isn't the first choice for many coaches and the Jets need more than playcalling to help Sanchez out. He'll help someone but there doesn't look to be a perfect fit for Weis at the moment. I also wouldn't disregard the idea that he'll take a year off. He's got the buyout money and might do best to just wait things out to find that perfect spot.
Really? You don't think Buffalo can beat the Jets? After the beatdown they put on Miami last week and given the way they worked Sanchez over last time they played, I would think Buffalo could get a little more respsect for tonight's game KC.
KC Joyner (4:31 PM)
I don't trust their O line. Plus, Revis can shut out Owens and/or Evans and the rest of the Jets secondary is playing lights out. The Bills also can't stop the run and that takes away a lot of the benefit of playing Sanchez.
What is your take on Matt Moore? Should he help or hurt Steve Smith?
KC Joyner (4:32 PM)
Hurt. Or at least that's my take based on the last tapes I've seen on Moore.
John (New Orleans)
Do you think the Saints can go undefeated?
KC Joyner (4:33 PM)
Absolutely. At this point, given their schedule, I'd be more surprised if they did not go undefeated (regular season, that is).
Quick follow-up then...if Moore hurts Smith, would you play Braylon or Hester instead this week?
KC Joyner (4:34 PM)
If McGee is out for Buffalo, go Braylon. If McGee is in, stick with Smith.
Josh (Lincoln, NE)
Oh, I forgot, you missed what were probably Suh's best games in the tapes you watched. Against Va Tech he had 4 pass breakups and against Missouri he had 7 tackles (6 solo) one sack, one forced fumble, and an interception.
KC Joyner (4:36 PM)
You are the second person to mention that Missouri game. That also shows Suh's greatest strength, namely that he dominates on a consistent basis. A guy like Rolando McClain goes from having a lights out game against Kentucky to disappearing in other contests, but not Suh. He posted fantastic metrics in all six games I broke down.
Do you agree with the TMQ article that VY doing well helps Tim Tebow's draft stock? Young had an awkward throwing motion when he came into the league as well.
KC Joyner (4:38 PM)
VY doing well does help, but Tebow likely would have been a highly rated draft prospect even without Young's recent resurgence. I personally can't wait to take a look at Tebow's metrics to see how he fares, but with the strength of his intangibles and his obvious physical talents, he'll be a high draft pick either way.
I saw the Nebraska vs Mizzou game in person. He was as dominating a force as I've seen in a long time on DEF. Is he too small for the NFL? How succesful is a realistic prediction for him?
KC Joyner (4:40 PM)
He's only 300 pounds, which is huge for normal life but isn't huge for the NFL. Having said that, there are more than a couple of players his size dominating at NT and he's all but certain to play under tackle, which doesn't have the same size requirements as NT.
Zach (New York, NY)
I hear Skip Bayless compare Suh to Reggie White. Any thoughts?
KC Joyner (4:41 PM)
Suh isn't big enough to do White's famous hump move. Other than size, Suh is very much like White.
Yo KC - Playoffs start this week and I am in dire need of a TE due to injury...who do you like more this week - Watson, Sheffler or Keller, ? Non-ppr
KC Joyner (4:42 PM)
I'd take Watson due to the matchup.
What do you make of Brandon Gibson for this week against a depleted Chi D as well as the rest of the year? Interesting upside?
KC Joyner (4:43 PM)
I do like his upside potential. The Rams passing game might be in better shape with Boller under center.
Josh (Lincoln, NE)
Are Forte's struggles this year more on him or that offensive line? From what I've seen, that line is just terrible in all facets.
KC Joyner (4:44 PM)
Forte didn't fare well in the all-POA win YPA metric last year (a metric that measures how well a RB does when he gets good blocking), so to see him struggle with a bad O line isn't surprising. If Chicago can shore up their front five, Forte can still be the next Brian Westbrook, but if they don't, it'll be more of this for a couple of seasons.
Ryan (San Diego)
I will not let you out of this chat without one comment on the Chargers or Rivers. What is your assessment?
KC Joyner (4:46 PM)
Rivers is doing great in YPA and bad decision rate. Gates is coming off of one of his best games of the year. And all of this is happening even though Vincent Jackson and Malcom Floyd have been doing very little (relatively speaking). This O has more weapons than they are using, so they could get even better down the stretch.
Did Henne become Sanchized last week or was it just a really bad 3 minute stretch of football?
KC Joyner (4:47 PM)
You know it's a bad thing when your name becomes a verb that means "QB who is falling apart". I didn't get that sense out of Henne, so I'd lean towards the latter.
Good Day KC, What's your take on the Pat's run blocking as of late. Is Maroney really playing better or is the Pat's blocking better than the casual viewer can see? Our passing stunk Monday night but Maroney played well with that stretch play.
KC Joyner (4:49 PM)
Good day, Kmac! The Pats O line is run blocking pretty well. I think that is why Belichick ended up going with the run game. He figured his secondary wasn't good enough to slow the Saints down and going slow on O was the way to go.
If Miami falls even farther out of the playoff race and is basically eliminated, do you see Pat White getting an increase in playing time at QB?
KC Joyner (4:50 PM)
In a word, no. Unless Henne falls apart, they are going to stick with him as their QB.
Zach (Mpls, MN)
KC, pick 1 - Lee Evans, Collie, Floyd or Hakeem Nicks. BTW, can you tell I'm a subscriber to TFS? Thanks!
KC Joyner (4:51 PM)
I can tell! Tough call there. I'll go with Floyd on the idea that the Browns will move McDonald to RCB (see today's CB Corner article for more details).
Josh (Knoxville, TN)
What evidence do we have that Charlie Weis is better than the average OC in the NFL? I read somewhere that the Patriots ranked poorly when he was the OC and got better after he left. Anecdotally, I sure don't remember the Pats as an offensive juggernaut until recently - after he was gone.
KC Joyner (4:52 PM)
Great point. The Pats did make their big offensive run when Weis was in South Bend. Having said that, after the way they played this past Monday, NE might do well to go back to the old Weis offensive days. I don't remember their pass blocking having those issues in quite the same way back then.
How bad is the JETS Management? They drafted a QB in the weakest QB draft in years...decided to start him and "throw" the season away. Why didn't they draft a WR and see what they had in their 2nd round pick K.Clemens? Doesn't the Idea of Bradford/Sneed/Washington QB to Crabtree/Maclin look a lot better long term then the "Sachize-Edwards" connection? ps Edwards Contract is up and they have to pay him $$ now just to keep "Sir Drops alot"
KC Joyner (4:55 PM)
I think they figured that Clemens wasn't starting level material, so why waste a year on a guy you know won't pan out? Edwards is a heckuva lot better than Chansi Stuckey, so that was a plus. NY's issue isn't talent - they've got a great collection of players. Their issue is the QB. If Sanchez does get to the next level, they will be challenging the Pats for the division. All one can ask of management is to get the players and NY's braintrust has done that.
True or False: The Jet are built to win now! And they blew it on a rookie HC and an inept overhyped rookie QB who was a defacto starter in college (injury to other qb) who only played 15 games on the most talented team in college football?
KC Joyner (4:58 PM)
Not to be an apologist for their management, but let's go through this real quick. Pennington wasn't going to win a Super Bowl, so they figured lets go for Favre. Until he got hurt, he had them in a Super Bowl caliber position. He leaves after the injury and they have to decide if they go with Clemens or go with a rookie. With the way Ryan and Flacco did in 2008, they figured let's give the rookie a dominant D and run game and it'll work out. They even added an upgrade at WR. It just didn't turn out that Sanchez was as good as Ryan or Flacco (or at least not yet).
what position do you think the raiders will adress with there 1st pick
KC Joyner (4:59 PM)
I could see them going for Eric Berry. They always want the "killer" safety help and he'd fit that bill perfectly.
Oakland would draft a trainer if he was the fastest guy on the field
KC Joyner (5:01 PM)
Might as well end this on a humorous note! Well, dinner is about ready so I've got to run. Just a quick note, you can keep up with all of the TFS material and get comments on games on my Twitter account - kcjoynertfs. Hope to see you all next week!