Chat with Brad Edwards
Welcome to SportsNation! On Monday, resident BCS expert Brad Edwards will drop by to chat about what the latest BCS standings mean to the nation's top teams going forward.
Send your questions now and join Brad Monday at 11:30 a.m. ET!
Brad Edwards (11:31 AM)
Let's get started. I have to take a brief break in the middle of the chat to spend a few minutes on The Herd. I'm sure we'll be talking about a lot of the stuff I'll be discussing here. My apologies in advance for that delay.
If Auburn beats Alabama do you see them overtaking Oregon for the top spot in the rankings?
Brad Edwards (11:34 AM)
The only way Auburn passes Oregon in the BCS is for the Tigers to take away more of those first-place votes in the polls. Not sure if that would happen simply from Auburn beating Alabama. I, for one, am hoping Oregon finishes No. 1 in the BCS, because the top-ranked team is the designated home team and, therefore, gets its choice of uniform color for the title game. I'd look forward to see what the Ducks would come up with.
Does Ohio State have enough left to move ahead of Wisconsin should they both win out? Or is at Michigan and at home vs Northwestern enough to hold them off?
Brad Edwards (11:38 AM)
For those not in the loop, the Big Ten could end in a three-way tie between Wisconsin, Ohio State and Michigan State that would be decided by the BCS Standings. With Northwestern beating Iowa over the weekend, I'm not sure Ohio State's remaining schedule is much more difficult than Wisconsin's, as far as the computer element is concerned. I think the Buckeyes have to gain some ground on the Badgers in the polls to pass them in the BCS. That's a good reason for Wisconsin to keep scoring 80 whenever it has the chance.
Napoleon (Preston, ID)
Any chance of a rubber match between Boise State & TCU in the Fiesta Bowl this season?
Brad Edwards (11:39 AM)
Not in the Fiesta (fortunately). The only place those teams could meet would be in that same stadium for the national title.
Is there a win amount you need for the bcs and if you don't get there will the big east not get their bid?
Brad Edwards (11:40 AM)
The Big East champion will automatically get a BCS bid. It doesn't matter if that team is 7-5 and not ranked in the top 25 on any ballot or by any computer.
Brad, Please help me understand how the Orange Bowl selects a team after the ACC champ. For example, if the season ended today, what options would the Orange Bowl have to choose from? Could they pick Alabama, Ohio State, LSU? Could they avoid picking TCU an Boise? Please enlighten me with you're expertise. Truly appreciate it!
Brad Edwards (11:44 AM)
The Orange Bowl's options will depend on what the national championship matchup is. Assuming it's Auburn vs Oregon, the Rose will have to take a non-AQ team (let's say Boise State) to play the Big Ten champ. The Sugar would get a pick to replace the SEC champ and would go with another SEC team, then would likely take a second Big Ten team with the at-large spot. Then it's the Orange's turn to pick. The options would be TCU, Stanford, Big East champ or an at-large out of the Big 12. That Big 12 team is guaranteed to have at least two losses, so I think TCU would have a decent chance of landing there. Really depends on momentum of the Big 12 options and whether any fan base would actually be excited about going to a bowl.
Brad Edwards (11:44 AM)
If the SEC doesn't have a team in the national title game, there's a pretty good chance the Orange would take a second team from the SEC (the conference champ would be in the Sugar).
lukw lagattuta (Nashville, TN)
Why isnt LSU a Championship contender
Brad Edwards (11:45 AM)
LSU is strong enough in the computers, but history says voters aren't going to rank them high enough to be a factor, because they won't have a conference title.
Brad Edwards (11:52 AM)
Back from radio now. Thanks for waiting.
IF Auburn losses to Alabama or SC who do you see getting that number 2 spot if tcu and bsu win out?
Brad Edwards (11:56 AM)
I think the odds are in Boise State's favor to finish ahead of TCU, but don't think it's automatic that Auburn is out of the race with a loss to Alabama. If the Tigers bounce back and win the SEC, I think they'll be higher in the computers with that one loss than undefeated BSU and TCU. That means Auburn still has a chance to finish top two in the BCS if enough voters rank them at No. 2. Don't underestimate the fact that there are some major-conference guardians who vote in the coaches' and Harris polls who would rather see a 1-loss SEC champ play for the title.
Thank you :)
Brad Edwards (11:56 AM)
Can Wisconsin back door its way in to the title game?What has to happen?
Brad Edwards (11:58 AM)
I don't think any of the Big Ten one-loss teams can get high enough in the computers to make a serious run at the national title. They didn't schedule well enough out of conference to offset the fact that there are some bad teams already on the conference schedule.
Nebraska still has Texas Am and as of right now would play Oklahoma St in the Big 12 championship. If they win out in blowout fashion could they jump TCU or Boise?
Brad Edwards (12:00 PM)
I hate to kill a team for one game result, but seriously, Nebraska lost at home to Texas! The Huskers should be ineligible to play for this season's national title on that alone. And I truly do believe voters would never rank them high enough because of that.
Brad: Do you think an Oregon loss will seal the deal and get a non-AQ team into the BCS title game? If not, what could happen?
Brad Edwards (12:01 PM)
I do think Oregon couldn't survive a loss in the same way that Auburn might, so, yes, an Oregon loss should get a non-AQ team into the championship game. That said, I'll be as shocked as anyone if Oregon loses.
Whats it take for Michigan State to overtake OSU and Wisconson?
Brad Edwards (12:03 PM)
Michigan State's best shot at the Rose Bowl is probably for Iowa to beat Ohio State this week. That would leave a two-team tie between MSU and Wisconsin, which would go to Sparty because of the head-to-head win.
So if Boise wins out and keeps its ranking above TCU in the human polls, is it safe to say we will jump TCU? Are we so far back in some of the computer polls, because we are two games behind TCU in games played?
Brad Edwards (12:06 PM)
Having played two fewer games makes a little bit of a difference, but the bigger factor is that two of those games are against teams with a winning record, most notably Nevada. I think BSU at least catches TCU in the computers and maybe passes them. The only chance for TCU is to retake the lead in the polls, and that will only happen if Boise lays an egg. The tough question to answer is how the voters would treat a narrow win by Boise over Nevada. Would that hurt? Is a win in that game good enough? Hard to say.
Brad Edwards (12:07 PM)
If Oregon loses one game, what happens to the rose bowl? Will they play a Big10 champ or will they still have a shot at the title game?
Brad Edwards (12:09 PM)
As I said a few questions ago, I don't think Oregon can lose and still reach the title game. That means the Ducks would fall to the Rose and play a Big Ten team. That would mean this clause we've been discussing lately, where the Rose has to take a non-AQ team if it loses the Big Ten or Pac-10 champ, would carry over into next season.
Brad Edwards (12:10 PM)
Thanks, as always, for your questions. Will be an odd Saturday without any of the top four teams playing, but something compelling is bound to happen. We'll chat again same time next week.