Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
Welcome to SportsNation! On Tuesday morning, ESPN.com fantasy basketball expert Tom Carpenter will drop by to take your questions and analyze all the latest hoops news from the hardcourt. Carpenter writes the weekly "Grand Theft Roto" column.
Send your questions now and join Carpenter Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET!
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Tom Carpenter (11:00 AM)
Welcome to our weekly fantasy hoops chat! Obviously, there are a ton of questions about some guy named Jeremy Lin. I'm not familiar with this kid, but I'm looking into it. Who does he play for? The Knicks? Seriously, though, I spent about 1,700 words discussing his trade value in my weekly Grand Theft Roto column, which should be published early this afternoon. So please take a look there to help you assess his value. Also, it would behoove everyone to read this article written by ESPN's Dana O'Neil in Dec., 2009 about Lin, his family background and his under-the-radar success at the high school and collegiate levels. We may not have heard of him, but that doesn't mean he doesn't have game.
DeAndre Jordan ((Lob City))
Is Kenyon Martin (of all people) REALLY going to kill my value for this year? He played all of the crunch time minutes last night and made two horrific plays. Are my owners sunk?
Tom Carpenter (11:04 AM)
K-Mart can play D and make junk scores, so he may well dig into Jordan's playing time late in games if the matchups require it. That being said, I think Jordan will be fine overall in fantasy terms. He may lose a little bit in minutes, but he'll still hit the glass and block shots.
whiskey vic (los angeles )
should i continue hoarding Zbo till hes active? I'm in 1st place in a 10team league head to head ctgs.... what should i do with Raymond Felton & Elton Brandt???hold on to them, drop 1 or the other
Tom Carpenter (11:07 AM)
I'm all for adding Z-Bo for the stretch run. Clearly, there is some risk involved -- will his knee hold up? can he produce big numbers with Gasol busting loose? -- but he has so much upside, it would be silly to let him go to waivers. I can do without Brand, but I would hold onto Felton and hope he figures it out eventually.
O.J. Mayo (Memphis)
Would you move me for J.R. Smith?Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:08 AM)
I would. In fact, Smith shouldn't be on any waiver wires at this point. He could score in the teens with tons of threes if he lands in the right spot.
Bl8ke Griffin (Los anglees)
i was just wunderin if you no how i wil performdown the strech
Tom Carpenter (11:11 AM)
Glad you could take a break from posterizing opponents to ask this question, Blake. I expect you and CP3 to continue developing a rapport down the stretch and posting huge numbers. Now go practice your free throws instead of asking fantasy hoops questions!
Seattle needs a Team (Seattle, WA)
With Eric Gordon gone for at least another 6 weeks, is Greivis Vasquez worth picking up?
Tom Carpenter (11:14 AM)
I'm surprised Vasquez is out there at this point. Go get him and ride him until Jack comes back. At which point, they may limit each others' fantasy value.
What do you think about a trade of Paul Pierce for Kyrie Irving?
Tom Carpenter (11:16 AM)
Depends on your particular needs, but it's a fair swap. There's consistency and reliability with Pierce versus risk (concussion, rookie) and upside of Irving.
Brayden (Piqua, Ohio)
Do you think Carmelo can play with Jeremy Lin?
Tom Carpenter (11:19 AM)
It's going to be interesting to see how Melo, STAT and Lin work together, but I don't see a problem with them playing together. Lin appears solid at the pick-and-roll, something that Amar'e, Chandler and even Melo are good at. Melo may prefer to handle the rock to find his rhythm, but he's underrated at playing off the ball and hitting open jumpers.
Dwight Howard (Orlando Fl)
Would you trade Dwight Howard for Tyreke Evans and Marc Gasol? Im worried about Dwight's unsteady team situation. What if he gets traded to a super star team? His numbers are sure to go down.
Tom Carpenter (11:22 AM)
I wouldn't trade Howard just due to concerns about where he might land. He's going to be a stud anywhere ... if it's a place like NJ, he could even improve his numbers. I would do this deal if you are trying to fight your way out of his free-throw chasm or if you need the particular stats or depth that would come with Evans and Gasol. I'd prefer to deal him straight up for another high-end stud, though.
Wes ((West Coast))
Which side of Curry (ankle, but stud) for Rondo (healthy, but holes) would you have?
Tom Carpenter (11:25 AM)
Since you've assessed the upside and downside of both of them, you may have answered the question yourself. I'd say it depends on your needs. Do you need the risk/reward of Curry's all-around game? Or do you need the reliability of Rondo's dimes? All things being equal, I'd take Curry.
Obviously it is not worth holding onto E Gordon at this point right ?
Tom Carpenter (11:26 AM)
I would only hold onto him if you have a very deep bench or an IR spot. Realistically, six weeks leaves just a few weeks of the season left to get into shape and perform. Pretty unlikely we'll see him play well, even if he manages to get on the court. Time to move on.
Would you trade Ryan anderson and Rudy gay for John wall and Ibaka?
Tom Carpenter (11:28 AM)
So long as it helps you in the categories you need, it's a no-brainer, imo. Wall's upside remains extremely high for the second half, as does Ibaka's. Anderson and Gay are solid, so it's a fair deal.
Would you pick up Zach Randolph now? Or would you wait a little while?
Tom Carpenter (11:30 AM)
Better pick him up now, before someone else realizes he's on waivers. As I noted before, there's risk, but the upside is too good to pass up if you have the space to stash him.
Do you think Ibaka is over the hump and gets better as the season goes on? Scotty Brooks factor is worrying.
Tom Carpenter (11:32 AM)
Yeah, Scotty's a thorn in Ibaka's fantasy side. I think it has mostly to do with Brooks gaining confidence in his young big man and Ibaka maturing on the court. I've see a lot of improvement in his understanding of the game this season, so I think we'll see his minutes pick up in the second half ... and so, too, will his production.
Captain Video (Khyber Space)
i just dropped Nene[for Pekovic]. i was sick and tired of his inj's, dtd's, gtd's; 1-4's and 2-7's from the FT line, plus 4-12's from the Field. crazy? whacky?
Tom Carpenter (11:36 AM)
You might want to see if you can deal him in a trade. A lot of people love Nene, so you might get some value out of him that way. I haven't been as sold on Nene as others, though. I also like what I've seen from Pekovic, so I would have no problem moving on from Nene if you can't get someone to bite on a trade. In the end, you can almost always snag some guy off waivers who is capable of racking up a double-double for a short stretch, so even if Pekovic tanks, you should be able to find another option.
Nathan J. (Western Illinois University)
I've been hanging on to Eric Gordon all season. Now that he's out I need a filler at SG and a boost in 3s - my worst position and stat category. Are you buying into this Jason Richardson surge of late, or should I look elsewhere to fill my void at SG?
Tom Carpenter (11:39 AM)
The only real question about J-Rich is how long he can hold up physically. So long as he's healthy, he should be able to crank out a ton of threes in this offense. Definitely a good pick-up if you need 3s.
in a 16-man roster, 12 team h2h league...waivers are getting thin. Is it time to say goodbye to Tyrus Thomas? I am weakest at 3s and was looking at Klay Thompson, should I grab him or try to stash JR Smith for playoffs? I am hurting with Jack/Melo/Galinari already sidelined though.
Tom Carpenter (11:43 AM)
I've been one of his biggest supporters, but it's time to move on from Ty. I just dumped him in two of my leagues. If you can't add J-Rich (see last question), Thompson is a good answer right now. But I would expect JR to be the better option down the stretch, so long as he lands on the right team. I'd go add Smith and hope he's playing for the Clippers or Knicks next week.
Max Marder (Los Angeles)
would u trade monta ellis for ricky rubio? h2 h 8 team
Tom Carpenter (11:45 AM)
Ellis is the far-better all-round fantasy option, so I would expect more in return than just Rubio.
Malik (Tucson, AZ)
How is it that no one seems to give any respect to David Lee? He puts up great numbers, but never gets any mention at all.
Tom Carpenter (11:48 AM)
If you don't hit threes, block shots, swipe balls or dish out dimes, there's only so much respect you can get in Fantasyland. He's a stud in three categories (scoring, FG% and boards), but he's basically absent everywhere else. I love his effort and what he does well, but we fantasy junkies want more.
Mr. TC, please give your thoughts on Maggette's ROS playing, with DJ and GH soon to be back. Any value ?
Tom Carpenter (11:52 AM)
Maggette clearly is the best -- arguably only true -- scorer on the Bobs. Even when DJ and Henderson are on the floor, that won't change. Maggette should be able to score and drain a lot of free throws, but that's about it. Plus, let's face facts: he's bound to get hurt again.
You expect JR Smith next week?
Tom Carpenter (11:54 AM)
His last CBA game is tomorrow (Feb. 15), so technically, he can sign with an NBA team as soon as the final whistle blows on his season in China. Realistically, it could take some time to be wooed by a few teams, pick one, ink a deal and get on the court ... but certainly we should be able to count on him as a fantasy asset after next weekend's All-Star break.
Tom, thanks for all your help this season. Thoughts on Foye ROS?
Tom Carpenter (11:57 AM)
As I noted last week, I wasn't convinced that Foye would be able to step up and take advantage of the opportunity created by Billups' injury, and so far he's lived down to my expectations. He's worth keeping an eye on, but I don't expect him to be a decent fantasy option the ROS. Especially if the Clips managed to pull in JR Smith.
Urosh Protic (Belgrade, Serbia)
Hi, Tom, I've been reading your column for 3 years now..love it.One question who do I trade Javale McGee for, I'm first in blocks and reb (12-team roto league) I need pts, steals & fg% (also I have Eric Gordon on my bench, what to do, wait?)
Tom Carpenter (12:05 PM)
Straight up, you might aim for guys like Ty Lawson, Iggy or Rondo (though he won't help your scoring). You may be best off trying to package McGee up with another player and aiming high for guys like Monta Ellis or Steph Curry. If this is a roto league, I'd begin by looking at who matches up best with your team: is there a team out there who is strong in points, steals and FG% and weak in blocks and boards? Then see what might make for the best deal for both teams.
pete (new orleans)
First off happy mardi gras. When do you expect brook lopez to return and do you think his return will negatively afffect humphies numbers
Tom Carpenter (12:11 PM)
And a big Fat Tuesday to you! Up here in the Detroit area, we are munching on Paczkis! My guess is that the Nets will wait until after the All-Star break before turning Lopez loose. As for Humphries, I don't see how Lopez will limit him as a rebounder -- since Lopez doesn't rebound in the first place. However, we'll probably see his scoring drop a point or two once Lopez is back in form. Still, a double-double with a block each night will keep Humphries a relevant fantasy option.
Tom Carpenter (12:13 PM)
That's all the time I have today. We had a great turnout this week. I hope you all return again next Tuesday with more great questions. Please be sure to read my Grand Theft Roto column this afternoon for detailed analysis of Jeremy Lin's trade value.