Fantasy NBA with Tom Carpenter
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Tom Carpenter (11:00 AM)
Whether you loved or hated the All-Star break, the real game action picks back up tonight. And that means we are entering the stretch run for fantasy hoops. Only 8.5 weeks left to get your team to the title! So let's get to it ...
Track Burnaz (Miami)
Kevin Love, do I keep him or pick up high upside A. Drummond (rostered previously before back injury)
Tom Carpenter (11:03 AM)
I would lean toward keeping Love. If he does get back in action by mid-March, he could have a huge impact on your squad -- especially in H2H leagues, when you hit the postseason. I am still very intrigued by Drummond, though. You should probably try to find a way to add him to your roster in the next 10 days or so, because it sounds like he will return on the early side of that 4-6 week timetable.
Sidd (New York, NY)
Hey Tom, Who has more value for the rest of the season, Chandler Parsons or Byron Mullens? Mullens has been playing well as of late, but can also be very streaky.
Tom Carpenter (11:05 AM)
I like Mullens better due to his rebounding production. I think he is going to have a very nice finish to the season.
Hi Tom: Something just doesn't make sense to me. All this talk of Dwight and Josh Smith... why aren't the Lakers making THAT move? Dwight and smaller pieces for Josh Smith, Lou Williams and ZaZaZaZa Pachulia?Wouldn't that make sense for both teams who might see their superstars walk for nothing?
Tom Carpenter (11:08 AM)
I think the Lakers are set to live or die with D12 going forward, so I really don't see why they would "settle" for Smoove. The big question for those of us in Fantasyland is will he take a hit in production if traded. I think he will take a bit of a hit in Brooklyn or the Lakers but would thrive in Milwaukee. I really sense that Phoenix is the best landing spot in terms of what they need as a team (anyone who can score or draw people in) and it would make him a true monster, I think, in fantasy.
Thoughts on Okafor ROS? Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:10 AM)
I keep waiting for the Wiz to give Seraphin more run, and that could well happen over the final 2-3 weeks of the season if the Wiz have no playoff hopes. If they are scrapping for the eighth, though, I think Okafor should continue to hang around a double-double, as usual.
john (new jersey)
best and worst playoff schedule?
Tom Carpenter (11:11 AM)
I go into quite a bit of detail on the remaining weekly schedules in my Running the Point piece this week: http://games.espn.go.com/nba-fastbreak/en/story?pageName=fastbreak\1213week16
I am stuck with Gragic and Gortat. Do you think things will get better for them? It is like they traded one headache of a coach for the exact same headache.
Tom Carpenter (11:15 AM)
The coach isn't the problem ... well, not the only problem, Nathan. The real problem is that the Suns have no legitimate scorers and a general lack of talent. That means that an OK PG like Dragic has no one to finish his dimes and an under-skilled but tough-nosed Gortat has to work for every little bit without any help. Landing Smoove would help, but outside of that, odds are they are both going to continue to struggle.
Hey Tom, do you think that Calderon will be able to keep up his pace in Detroit?
Tom Carpenter (11:17 AM)
Nafis, I really think that he is going to flourish in his new digs. He fits in well with the Joe D lunch-pail mindset and he has a lot of weapons in Knight, Monroe and, eventually, Drummond. We may even see an uptick in production over what he did in Toronto.
Tom Carpenter (11:17 AM)
Following up on the Pistons, I really think Monroe is going to finish particularly strongly. Definitely high on my players-to-target list, especially in points leagues.
Hi Tom, what do you think of Al Farouq Aminu in a points format? Would you rather have him or Gerald Henderson?
Tom Carpenter (11:19 AM)
Keanu, I would take Aminu overall, but if you are just looking for scoring, Henderson should be the better option.
should i drop ginobli for the playoffs?
Tom Carpenter (11:21 AM)
He carries to much upside to dump in all but the shallowest of leagues. Could be frustrating with random DNPs but, he should be worth a roster spot.
as always, love your chats. wish you could do them twice a week! Thoughts on Parsons rest of the way? he seems to just keep getting better, yet Mckitish's weekly dish has him ranked close to 100! in my opinion, Illyasova is a poor mans Chandler Parsons!
Tom Carpenter (11:24 AM)
Hey, Jeff. He certainly has been a revelation and doesn't seem to be slowing down at all. I'm a believer at this point and expect him to finish on a strong note. Fair comparison to Ilyasova ... Parsons is basically doing what Ilyasova was supposed to do!
David Chan (new york, ny)
With all the trade rumors circulating around regarding Josh Smith (my first round draft pick), should I trade him if he gets traded to the Brooklyn Nets or Washington Wizard? I'm currently 3rd place in a 10 team H2H league (9 categories).
Tom Carpenter (11:27 AM)
I think the only team rumored to be in the mix for Smoove where he would take a significant hit to his stat production is Brooklyn. Now that would depend some on which players they have to give up, but there are only so many touches available. That said, I'm growing quite concerned about D-Will's ankles and wonder if he is going to make it through the season. That could open up a bigger offensive role for Smoove. So, basically, I would hold him regardless ... he will still be playing for his next contract.
who will be better for the remainder of the season, Danny Granger or Chandler Parsons?
Tom Carpenter (11:28 AM)
Parsons, Ozzy ... I'm just not buying into Granger ROS.
In a H2H 10 roto league, Can i really believe Kirilenko can stay healthy or pick up Earl Clark
Tom Carpenter (11:31 AM)
I think you already know the answer to the first part of that question: No. Odds are that he will get hurt again, but I would still take his all-around game over Clark. Don't forget Clark, though, if the Lakers do pull off a trade of D12 or Gasol.
Good Morning Tom,Points league: pick 2 ROS, Kawhi, J. Green, Earl Clarkthanks
Tom Carpenter (11:32 AM)
Good morning, WK. I'll take Kawhi and Clark, primarily because Green doesn't do much besides score. That would change if PP gets dealt, though. At that point, Green would get enough play to make a difference.
Which player will have the biggest fantasy boost from the trade deadline?
Tom Carpenter (11:35 AM)
Sky, most likely it will be a player who isn't moved but gets extra burn do to some else being traded. I think Al Horford, Derrick Favors, Enes Kanter ... and any player traded TO the Bobcats or Suns will be the big winners.
I picked up Jonas V when Drummond got injured. With what you said about him coming back earlier than expected, does it make sense to drop Jonas for Drummond? Thanks!
Tom Carpenter (11:37 AM)
I don't think he'll be back sooner than expected, Adrian. I do think he'll be back on the 4-week side of things, though, barring a setback, of course. I would ride Valanciunas for now. He returned hot and has plenty of upside, too. Consider Drummond in a week or so, if things continue too sound promising.
Hey Tom, what's your thoughts on Brandon Knight ROS? I had thought he'd play better at the 2 with Calderon running the point but that hasn't been the case. Time to part with mr.inconsistent?
Tom Carpenter (11:40 AM)
I think there will be a learning curve for Knight, because he has to learn how to ball with a true point guard ... that's a process. I expect some big games and some rough shooting from Knight. If you can handle the ups and downs and the sketchy FG%, he should provide good scoring and 3s.
Who do you think Hinrich's return well impact Robinson's production?
Tom Carpenter (11:41 AM)
It should put a cap on Nate's production, Mike. He still should have plenty of value, but he likely will have more dud games as a result.
Should I be looking to trade Larry Sanders or you think he'll be OK?
Tom Carpenter (11:42 AM)
I would not trade him until he returns and posts a couple of good games. You just won't be able to get much value if he's out, Jason. I am a bit nervous about his back, though, so if you can get something decent once he is playing, I'd go for it.
What are your thoughts on Noah? Is this foot problem going to linger ROS?
Tom Carpenter (11:46 AM)
Honestly, no malady makes me more nervous about a fantasy player than plantar fasciitis, especially in a big man who has extra weight on his feet, Dan. Rest is the only option. I recommend moving him sooner than later. He got this treatment and a little extra rest, so he should come out big this week, which would make trading him that much better.
Traded Kyrie Irving for David Lee. Sad to say, but Kyrie was not helping my 7th place team much. I usually lose points and threes. Trying to strengthen my FG% and rebounds without hurting assist totals. Thoughts?
Tom Carpenter (11:47 AM)
I would have hoped for a little more in return for Kyrie, but that's a pretty fair deal if it helped you address your weaknesses at FG% and rebounding.
Patrick Patterson or J. Valanciunas ROS? Thanks.
Tom Carpenter (11:49 AM)
I would target PP for scoring, but Valanciunas for big-man stats, Justin. I was very high on Valanciunas pre-season and I think he will benefit from the rest he got while sidelined. He should finish the season strongly, maybe 12-13 ppg, 8-9 rpg and 1-2 bpg.
I have a playoff spot locked up, do i drop Aminu and pick up Rose for the playoffs or do u think Rose ends up sitting the ROS?
Tom Carpenter (11:52 AM)
Hey, Drew ... Since there are no true facts on which we can base an educated guess, I'll tell you my gut feeling: Rose will come back in early March, take advantage of a nice schedule (basically devoid of back-to-back games and several stretches with two days off between games), and play 30 minutes per night. It's entirely possible that he doesn't lace up this season, but I would rather invest a roster spot in his potential than Aminu's since you are looking ahead to the postseason.
Harden For My D-Wade? Do i Do This?
Tom Carpenter (11:54 AM)
Double-up with you here, Drew, since this is a good question. I do think D-Wade has a strong finish to the season and recommend him as a trade target, but I would rather have Harden.
Tom you seemed worried about L.Sanders! I own Larry but would I be better off adding Valanucius,Splitter,T.Gibson(if boozer traded),drummond and hold or just ride Larry? Need blocks,Rb's,steals and decent shooting %'s. Thanks
Tom Carpenter (11:56 AM)
Hey, EJ. Young players with back problems should make us nervous, because the wear and tear of an 82- game season is tough when your body is still maturing. That said, he has such terrific upside, I would not be looking to drop him for waiver fodder ... trading him for someone who is sturdier and can help your team would be a good idea, though. Still, you may have to ride him out since he gives you exactly what you need.
What are your thoughts on rookies such as Barnes, Waiters, Kidd-Gilchrist, Beal etc. the rest of the way?
Tom Carpenter (11:59 AM)
These are all quality waiver targets, King. I rank them Beal, Barnes, Waiters, MKG. Beal is by far the best option, IMO. Barnes has great upside if he can get that extra run down the stretch, but the Warriors' roster depth could make that tough.
Who wins this trade. Anthony Davis for Klay Thompson
Tom Carpenter (12:00 PM)
Dimitri, Looks like a fair swap of a big man for a 3-point threat. I really love both of these guys ROS.
Hanging on to Josh Smith cant be that bad of an idea, right?
Tom Carpenter (12:01 PM)
Exactly, Stewart. Whether he is traded or not, he is going to do everything possible to crank out big numbers for his next contract. If his scoring dips, I'd expect his peripherals to expand.
Tom Carpenter (12:03 PM)
Once again, time his flown right by during this chat. It's always fun rapping with all of you fantasy junkies, and I wish your fantasy squads and favorite NBA teams the best of luck as the trade deadline approaches. See you back here next Tuesday, and remember to follow me on Twitter @AtomicHarpua .