Fantasy NFL with Christopher Harris
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Christopher Harris (3:03 PM)
Hey, everyone. Welcome to your Wednesday afternoon chat! As always, I'll try and answer the most "universal" questions I can, to try and get at the leading issues of the day. If you have single-position questions, my answer is here: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=13ranksWeek6QB And you can follow me on Twitter @CHarrisESPN. Let's get to your questions.
Cook or Eifert ROS? Thanks Chris!
Christopher Harris (3:04 PM)
Hi, JT. I'd probably still say Cook, not least because he's not *really* battling anyone for looks (Lance Kendricks' annoying TD notwithstanding). In some ways I think Cook is a buy (very) low. Though I don't feel great about starting him just at the moment.
Tavon Austin (Rams)
Am I worth waiting around for? Or should 10 team leagues cut ties with me?
Christopher Harris (3:05 PM)
It obviously depends on your situation, but if you're in dire need of a roster spot, I'm okay cutting ties. Not a must-cut. But an NFL-high 6 drops, and only 20-some snaps played last week doesn't bode super-well.
Would you prefer Ellington in 0.5 ppr or the law Firm ROS? Is the Law firm the safer play while ellington has more upside for this week? Thanks.
Christopher Harris (3:06 PM)
Hi, George. Yeah, you pretty much nailed what I think. I like Ellington as an add in all leagues (as long as you have the roster room), but there's no doubt Mendy is still getting the more valuable work. And the coaching staff in Arizona may be onto something when they say they don't think Ellington is big enough to take every-down pounding. To me, he's Jamaal Charles sized (without quite the long speed), but it doesn't sound like A.E. is ready to be an every-down back soon.
Any thoughts on Larry Fitzgerald? Any hope of things getting better, or is this what he's going to be with the Cards' problems?
Christopher Harris (3:07 PM)
Hi, Peter. Going to talk about Fitz on tomorrow's Fantasy Underground podcast, so tune in for more detailed thoughts. This week is a tough matchup for him, vs. SF, but yeah, I think assuming the "best" for him, where he lives up to his preseason #11 WR rank, is probably too optimistic. Palmer is awful. The line is awful. The only bright side is it's not as bad as *last* year for Fitz.
Hug a Beagle today! I'm a Julio owner - ROS do I pick up Douglass or Harvin (also have Cobb, A. Brown, and Blackmon)
Christopher Harris (3:08 PM)
Yay beagles! I mean, Harvin is going to produce more if/when he's in there and fully healthy. But can you wait 6 to 8 weeks? I still think that's what we're talking about for a time frame. So presuming we're not just talking about a bench stash, but someone who actually needs to play, I guess Douglas. Douglas should probably be owned in all leagues, even if I've always been pretty underwhelmed when he's gotten chances. He may be *it*, if Roddy isn't ready to go after the bye.
Hi Chris, In need of some serious Harris waiver love. Harry Douglas, Leonard Hankerson, Vincent Brown, Ted Ginn, Jerome Simpson or Donnie Avery.Thanks for your time as I?m extremely grateful.
Christopher Harris (3:10 PM)
Hi, Mark. The guys I'd be tempted by are Brown and Douglas. You just heard my Douglas thoughts -- the role looks valuable, I'm not sure the player is ready to take advantage. As for Brown...I think he's a better player, and he's produced well very recently, but it's hard to see him as more than the No. 3 or 4 target in a Chargers offense that wants to keep it between the numbers. If it's me, I probably try Douglas first, though obviously he's on bye this week.
Is Steven Jackson a good buy-low candidate?
Christopher Harris (3:11 PM)
Hi, Zak. Definitely depends how low. But yeah, I think he can make a difference in the Falcons offense. What ails them most of all is that offensive line, which isn't playing as well as it has in the past. But is that because they're bad, or is it because the offense is relatively one-dimensional without a dynamic power back they can trust? I don't know the answer for sure. But I look forward to seeing Jackson try. Listen, he's gonna have a lot of crummy, short runs with nowhere to go. But eventually the hope is that he becomes a playmaker who can lift everyone's level.
Hi Chris. If Reece starts for the Raiders this week would you start him over Fitzgerald at flex?
Christopher Harris (3:12 PM)
Hi, Mitch. First off, while I'm nothing close to inside knowledge, from how Rashad Jennings talked, I kind of think he'll play...he was able to practice today, which is a good sign. And that would probably render this question moot. But yeah, if Jennings were out, I would be pretty tempted to go with Reece.
Chris J. (Seattle)
Hi Chris H. this is Chris L. How do you feel about Ridley ROS? I've given up on him as a every week starter but will he have some really good games?
Christopher Harris (3:14 PM)
Hi, Chris. Listen, we don't know. It's very difficult to predict future performance for a struggling player *anyway*, and then you factor in the Patriots' misinformation factor, and the fact that they really change their attack on a game-by-game basis, and I'm kind of just flummoxed. If I had to guess, I would say yes, we're going to see him post a few very good games. But that offense just isn't the same. I'm doing a Fantasy Underground: Film Room segment on Tom Brady tonight -- look for it on the site tomorrow morning.
Uncle Drew (Ohio)
Why has New England abandon the running game Steven Ridley scored 13 TDs last year
Christopher Harris (3:16 PM)
First off, I don't know that they really did abandon the run...they tried 18 carries Sunday, which certainly isn't a huge total, but it's not Ravens-esque from a couple weeks ago. But even if they had a tendency to shy away from the run, I'd understand it, because LeGarrette Blount is terrible. I mean, he gives you a good run here or there. But his mental errors always hurt you eventually.
UPDATE: McFadden and Jennings both practiced today, Chris.
Christopher Harris (3:18 PM)
Hi, Anthony -- I saw that, though it seemed to me that DMC was listed as participating in "drills," which I didn't necessarily take to mean that he'd play. Oakland has a bye in Week 7, which has led me to think he'd sit out one more. But yeah, this *is* an issue. Stay tuned.
Reggie Bush (Lion's Den)
Should people sell high on me? Or do you believe that I can be a top-10 RB the rest of the season?... provided I stay healthy of course.
Christopher Harris (3:19 PM)
But that's the rub, isn't it? I have a hard time imagining that Bush is going to play, completely unhindered by injury, the entire rest of the season. And as such, I don't mind the sell high. You never want to give up a quality RB unless you're getting a haul, so I'd want it to be pretty high. But yeah, I think Bush qualifies, because I don't trust the health situation.
Ryan F. (Tulsa, OK) [via mobile]
On the Underground, you weren't particularly high on Celek. Don't you think the combo of Foles + Revis leads to some increased TE targets?
Christopher Harris (3:20 PM)
Hi, Ryan. Thanks for listening. Celek has 17 targets in five games. I just can't get excited. Hey, you're right, you can see the stars aligning for someone else to get involved...but by the same token, Revis hasn't trailed a single WR all over the field through four games. Maybe he does that to D-Jax this week. But it would be the first time of the season. Me, I'm having a tough time starting Celek unless I'm desperate... (you can see the ESPN site for my TE ranks...he's TE19...)
Hey Chris. Love the podcast! Who, in your opinion, is the better lottery ticket RB I should grab with my last roster spot, PPR? Michael, Reece, Franklin or Jacobs?
Christopher Harris (3:22 PM)
Thanks, Bill. Of that group, I guess I'm still going Franklin, if what I'm looking for is a lottery ticket who'll hit it big. Reece *probably* winds up with the most PPR points from this point forward. But you kind of know what he is, and what his ceiling is. Franklin has fumbled twice in two games and could be in the doghouse in a major way. But he's also really, really talented. He'd be the guy I can envision surprising everyone with studhood if injuries crush the Packers at RB again.
Are you growing leery of Calvin Johnson's knee isuues?
Christopher Harris (3:23 PM)
Hi, Matt. Well, it's a great question. Jim Schwartz sees himself as a mini-Belichick...and he treats injuries as a cause for misinformation, so really, we don't know. We don't know. But I'll give you an example...I'm looking to make a trade where I get a tippety-top WR in place of Julio Jones. Megatron is on the short list. But would I put him ahead of Dez? Ahead of Welker? I'm just not sure. He seems a bit riskier than those guys at the moment....
What is your take on the T Rich saga? Top 10 or not? Thanks.
Christopher Harris (3:25 PM)
Hi, Jamie. There's not enough time here for me to go into full "T-Rich" mode...you can listen to the podcast for more detail. (We talked about Richardson at the very end of Tuesday's show, as he relates to Ahmad Bradshaw's injury.) I'm *tired* of apologizing for the kid. I'm *tired* of Donald Brown producing nice runs in a couple straight games. But yeah, I think if I were figuring a RB top 10 for the rest of the year, I think Richardson would be close. IN FACT: We're going to GIVE our top 10 RBs for the ROS in *tomorrow*'s podcast. Listen!
Giants just playing out the string. Why wouldn't they move Nicks to ATL or DET and get what they can for him in the way of draft picks, or maybe LeShour from DET
Christopher Harris (3:27 PM)
Hi, Brad. Well, *they* wouldn't admit they're playing out the string. And the NFL Trade Deadline moved back this year, and is October 29th. So we're still nearly three weeks away. But yeah, I mean, it's a scenario I can imagine. Nicks is a FA, and if the Giants make the decision they're not interested in keeping him, they could do this. The Falcons could also inquire about Josh Gordon at some point. That said, they haven't *officially* ruled Julio Jones out for the season yet, so I'm probably putting the cart before the horse.
How do you feel about Gronk this week? We can start two TE's in my league and I have Vernon Davis. Play Gronk or go with a WR like TY Hilton instead?
Christopher Harris (3:31 PM)
Hi, Hank. The Gronk question is a big one, and the truth is, once again: It's the Patriots, and nobody really knows. All I can do is tell you what I'd do. I think I'd start him. Enough good stuff can happen that even if he's not at full "wind" and not playing all snaps, that I wouldn't want to miss out. In the case of comparing him to someone like Hilton, who's completely feast or famine, it's not a hard choice for me. But again, anyone who tells you they *know* what Gronk will look like this week is stretching the truth.
Who do you think turns it around Doug Martin or CJ Spiller?
Christopher Harris (3:33 PM)
Hi, Harrison. If I'm choose one to buy low on here, it would be Martin. And I do think the price tags could be pretty similar...the last time we saw Martin he had 76 carries and 77 yards or whatever, while Spiller had his long TD run on national TV. But I trust Martin's situation and offensive line more...though obviously Mike Glennon isn't confidence inspiring. (Then again -- is Thaddeus Lewis?)
Scott (Northglenn, CO)
Probably need the upside play..so Gronk worth waiting for? Other TE is Bennett so if Gronk is a surpise inactive I'm screwed.
Christopher Harris (3:34 PM)
Yea, Scott, but you're saying you need the upside play, and with upside comes downside. The downside would be a surprise inactive, or a decoy role as he works back into shape. I would be hard-pressed to find anyone who'd tell you Bennett has Gronk's upside, however, plus Bennett himself sounds like a game-time decision.
Hi, Chris. How do you feel about Moreno and McGahee ROS? RB1/RB2/Flex? Thanks!
Christopher Harris (3:35 PM)
Hi, Bennet. Well, as much as I think Knowshon is Slowshon, he's cornered the market on backfield touches in the NFL's premier offense. That's nothing to sneeze at. So I think he's a solid, very clear RB2 for the foreseeable future. McGahee is probably even slower than Moreno, and is on a much worse offense. So he's a flex at best.
How does Chris Johnson fair the ROS?
Christopher Harris (3:36 PM)
Hi, Sally. I think it'll be exactly what he's done so far. Talk about truth in advertising...CJ?K has literally been exactly what I thought he'd be. He'll get some big plays. Those weeks will be amazing. He might rack up some yards here and there. But the TDs are either going to be breakaway long ones, or they're not happening. RB2, pure and simple. Feast or famine.
Jack (white plains)
Hi Chris, what can you tell me about Miles Austin, do I drop him for Harvin? will Austin be ready before Harvin?
Christopher Harris (3:38 PM)
Hi, Jack. I think I can answer the second question better than I can the first. Yeah, by all indications, Austin will be ready either this week or soon thereafter. As I said earlier, Harvin sounds more like a 6-to-8 week thing. Now that said, Austin could play again between now and then, and hurt the hammy again. I have very little faith in him at the moment.
Blackmon top 20 ROS? What kind of RB would you package with him to try to trade for Cobb?
Christopher Harris (3:39 PM)
Hi, Darren. Simple answer: no. Nice first game (nice first *play* really), and I admit that at least it was nice seeing the Jags throw something *other* than short little hook routes to J.B. once Gabbert was out and Henne was in. And you can certainly make the argument that there'll be garbage time aplenty Sunday vs. Denver. But the bottom line is: I think there'll be too many ups and downs to think of him as Top 20. Henne isn't an above-average player. The line stinks....
ALFREDO (LEHIGH, PA)
Any chance D. HOPKINS starts to produce more now that DANIELS is out?
Christopher Harris (3:41 PM)
Hi, Alfredo. There's a chance. It's possible. But it doesn't seem like the likeliest outcome. Garrett Graham is a good Daniels fill-in. He's a really similar player. I think he's a smart fill-in for Gonzo owners, for example. I'm as high on Hopkins as anyone, and Schaub definitely looked for him a bunch in the second half last week. But investing heavily in *any* of Schaub's outside WRs seems like a shaky bet right now.
why are you so low on hilton this week. hes inconsistent, but 35 is really low
Christopher Harris (3:42 PM)
Hi, Jeremy. I think you answered your own question. The Miami and Seattle games were stellar. 12 and 26 points. You wish you'd started him. But what about those two matchups indicated that it would have been a good idea, against one pretty good defense, and one great one? The other three games? Hilton has combined for 7 total fantasy points. So you tell me: which is it this week? Is this one where he breaks a long one? Or is this one where he sits on the bench, and the Colts run 2-receiver sets all day?
Over/under on RGIII 3 rushing TDs this year?
Christopher Harris (3:43 PM)
Hi, Nick. It's a great question. He's stuck on a big ol' zero at this point. Obviously game situations dictate whether a QB scores a TD in large part, but yeah, I have a hard time seeing the player I saw before Washington's bye and imagining him busting any long TD runs. So I'm gonna say under. I'm willing to revisit, if his legs look way better after the bye.
Bryce (Charleston, SC)
I know you are not a knee-jerk reaction kinda guy. But are you freaking out on Matt Ryan's value, even a little bit based on the mounting injuries on the offensive side of the ball there in ATL?
Christopher Harris (3:45 PM)
Hi, Bryce. A little. It's a fair reaction. The thing is: the Falcons are in *major* trouble at 1-4, and the things that are plaguing them most -- poor offensive line play, terrible linebacker play -- aren't going away. But NFL teams are resourceful. IF Roddy can get back to being himself, and IF Gonzo can stay healthy, and IF S-Jax can approximate what we hoped he'd be...there's still a chance for Ryan to be a good fantasy player, even if the Falcons aren't going anywhere. So all hope is not lost in my opinion. But is he going to be in my top 10 QBs in Week 7? Not sure, because I'm not sure who's on bye in full. But I tend to be skeptical of that.
Chris Givens a drop now? St. Louis is looking like a fantasy wasteland with their upcoming schedule.
Christopher Harris (3:47 PM)
Hi, Garrett. It really isn't even the schedule. I did a Film Room segment on checkdown QBs last week, and came up with this stat: the top 3 wideouts in the NFL who've had the most targets that have traveled 5 yards or fewer in the air are....Tavon Austin, Chris Givens, Austin Pettis. Ruh? Do I think dropping a speed merchant like Givens could haunt you, at least occasionally? I do. But if there was someone much more consistent and a good player available? I'm not saying no......
Tom (Seattle )
Wasn't Blackmon top 10 wr last 6 weeks of 2012 with Henne? Seems top 20 not out of question?
Christopher Harris (3:49 PM)
Hi, Tom. It's not out of the question. But would I rank him there? No. (To be fair, I wouldn't have ranked him there for the last half of last year, either....) They had a left tackle, at least. But yeah, you're right, it shouldn't be ruled out. Blackmon is obviously a must-add in any league where he's available. But he doesn't qualify as top 20 ROS for me....
Has MJD's trade value or lack therof reached the point where owners might as well wait on him and see if things get any better?
Christopher Harris (3:52 PM)
Hi, Eric. I think this is *pretty* much spot on. Even on good runs last week, MJD kind of looked...sluggish. Does he look *thicker* to you? He does to me. Of course, the main problem is the offense, and that's well-chronicled. But he *did* get 86 yards last week, albeit in a cake matchup. I might actually see if I could get someone interested in him *now*, selling the 86 yards. But yes, in general, I'm probably in "hold" (and bench, if I can) mode.
Joey Joe Joe Junior Shabadoo (Moes Bar)
Do I need to start panicking if I have Kaepernick? SF seems to be neither passing with him nor running him. Best uninjured backup available is Fitzpatrick, hence the panic.
Christopher Harris (3:53 PM)
Hey, I mean, you're stick. Fitz isn't going to be any better on a weekly basis. But yes, it's fair to be concerned that the Niners' mickey-mouse offense is creating a morass where there doesn't need to be one. Every time I see the Niners run the pistol, it works great. They just run it like twice a game. It's ugly. I'm hopeful that they start taking advantage of his abilities soon -- but they just haven't over the past two games.
What do you hate more in Fantasy world? Losing or choosing the wrong players that go off on your bench?
Christopher Harris (3:54 PM)
Hi, Sam. Losing! If I mess up and take the wrong dude, but still win, I can live with it. I definitely tend to err on the side of not chasing last week's points, because the most frustrating thing for me is benching a player I know is talented but hasn't produced much, and seeing *him* go off. But winning...it's an awfully good deodorant.
PLEASE BEFORE YOU LEAVE... (New York)
Which WR is the best to own for ROS: Kerley, Pettis, Douglas or T Williams????
Christopher Harris (3:58 PM)
They all have their merits. (Kerley really only in a PPR, though.) I think the best player, the one most capable of hitting you the occasional homer, is probably Williams...but if Austin is around, he really doesn't have any value. Douglas would appear to have the best *role*, but I'm not sure he's got the talent to take advantage. So for me, it would be one of those two, whichever profile you need more....
Christopher Harris (4:00 PM)
OK, gang. I can see from some of your posts that some of you are frustrated that you didn't get your Q answered. I wish I could answer everyone. I got 2,700+ questions in one hour. I know you feel yours is most important, but one can only do so much. I hope you have a great afternoon....I very much appreciate all the interest. I know I wouldn't have this great job if it wasn't for all of you. So thank you very much!