Fantasy NFL with Chris Harris
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Christopher Harris (11:01 AM)
Hi, everyone. It's championship week (or the beginning of your two-week championship), so let's get down to it. As always, if you have single-position questions for standard scoring leagues, I'm not going to answer your question here. Because it's already been answered: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=12ranksWeek16QB You can also ask me stuff @CHarrisESPN, or friend me on Facebook (www.facebook.com/writerboy). Let's get to it!
Would you start me over Romo? I'm thinking it will be a high scoring game in Big D.
Christopher Harris (11:02 AM)
I like Romo a bunch this week, but Newton is my #1 QB. Again, single-position questions are answered here: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=12ranksWeek16QB
1st year keeper. Keep 3. Brees, Julio, Harvin, Hilton, McFadden, Sproles and Hernandez. In a vacuum
Christopher Harris (11:03 AM)
Hi, Jason. In a vacuum, with no "value" attached to lower-round picks, I'd go Brees, Julio and....I guess Harvin? I would love to say DMC, but honestly, I'd just rather not have that headache next year. And Hernandez would be good, too, but with Gronk around it becomes a little dicey....
I see you have T-Rich considerably higher than everyone else. I'm nervous about him going against the Denver D. Wrong to start CJ2K and Moreno over him?
Christopher Harris (11:04 AM)
Hi, Nick. I'm writing about Richardson for tomorrow's Hard Count column. I understand why folks are worried about him...his YPC has taken a nosedive, and Denver's run D is legit. But if he's taken me this far? I can't sit him. I can't see 12 carries happening again next week.
Where does Wilson rank if Bradshaw sits? Ahead of Reggie Bush and BJGE? He looked pretty decent if they wouldn't have gotten so far behind...
Christopher Harris (11:06 AM)
Hi, Josh. I haven't given it a thorough re-thinking because I think Bradshaw will play. But off the cuff, I'd say he'd be in the 19-23 area? I wouldn't put him ahead of BJGE, I don't think, but I probably would put him ahead of Bush.
Matthew (Fort Huachuca)
morning Chris! haven't listed to the underground yet so i don't know what was covered on there. I'm looking forward to next year since i'm down 72 points in my AFC-only championship match heading to week 2 (big thanks to Rice, Charles, Demaryius, Palmer). what are your thoughts on the SD WR's next year? DX, V Brown, M Floyd.
Christopher Harris (11:07 AM)
Hi, Matthew. Sorry about your title game! My thoughts in SD are that it's a total re-do. New coaching staff, new offensive system, heck who knows, maybe they do something with Rivers? Alexander is a great building block and they've got him cheap next year, though obviously he has to stay healthy. And remember Meachem will still be there, making all that $.
turn on auto update please
Christopher Harris (11:08 AM)
It's on, Corey. Sometimes the page you're looking at doesn't indicate it. But I'm looking at the questions refresh -- I promise it's on.
Noticed that you're the lowest on Moreno and one of the highest on Forte. Care to elaborate? I think in a championship I'd take the higher floor of Moreno vs the higher ceiling of Forte (although is it that much higher anymore?)
Christopher Harris (11:10 AM)
Hi, Rafi. Yeah, I get that logic. I mean, Forte's issue is, has been and will always be his stinkiness near the goal line, something Moreno fortunately doesn't suffer from. If you went that way, for safety's sake, I think I understand that. But Forte has what I think is a sneaky-good matchup against a ARI D that's been worse than usual against the run of late, and I'm just never going to go crazy about Moreno because I don't love what I see on tape. However, the TD upside would appear to be higher with Moreno, I'll grant you that.
I'm having Championship game trust issues. I know what the ranks say but can I really trust Romeo Crennel? Am I crazy for thinking Moreno over Charles?
Christopher Harris (11:11 AM)
Hi, Mark. Another Moreno question, and a same answer: I completely understand what you mean. If the Chiefs won't give it to Charles -- and they've done that a few times a year -- you'll wind up completely out of luck. It might depend on how you feel about your chances in the game, and whether you need the homer that we all know Charles can provide, or whether you just need to get *something*.
Hi Chris, I was wondering what the thought was behind your high ranking for the Bengals Defense this week? Everyone else seems much lower than you
Christopher Harris (11:12 AM)
Hi, Earl. They are. I'm writing about the Bengals D for the Hard Count tomorrow, so I'll have a fuller explanation there. The bottom line is that this is one of the hottest defenses (and fantasy defenses) in the league, and the Steelers haven't been stingy giving up points to opposing fantasy D's. That said, if it smells bad to you, I wouldn't begrudge a different call...it's your team, and you have to live with the ramifications!
Hey Chris, In your opinion for a flex, who would you start Brandon Gibson @TB, or Dwyer vs Cincy?
Christopher Harris (11:13 AM)
Well, when it's close, I'll always tend to go with the RB, and I'm not sure Gibson gives me enough upside (with Amendola healthy) to make up for his WR-ness. That said, it's a sweeeet matchup against the Bucs, and Dwyer hasn't lit the world on fire lately. I give Gibson the better chance at a *big* game, and from the title of your post, you consider yourself an underdog. That being the case, I could see going with Gibson.
Peter (Staten Island)
Chris, How do you deal with a soul crushing playoff loss? I led my league from wire to wire until week 15, when my whole team ____ the bed. Curse you, Ray Rice!
Christopher Harris (11:14 AM)
Hi, Peter. I guess you should know how *many* people share your pain. It stinks. Fantasy football is pretty dang random when it comes down to it, as reliant as it is on a single week's output. It can be pretty ugly. I think I don't get as down about crushing losses because I keep that in mind...so much of it is way beyond my control......
One year keeper / round given up: AP(3), Martin(8), or RGIII(14)? Please? Thanks!
Christopher Harris (11:16 AM)
Hi, Jimmy. Well, all of 'em look swell to me. You're never going to get any of those guys anywhere *close* to where you drafted 'em last year. AP is going to be my No. 1 next year. But RG3 is going to be a top-five QB, probably. Personally, while RG3 is clearly unbelievable value? I would probably take the top player in fantasy in the third round, and figure that I can solve my QB issue elsewhere....
Not Favored (FF Super Bowl)
Flex spot, PPR, please pick one: B Wells, J Battle, B Gibson? Which would be safest bet for 7 pts, which has biggest upside? Thanks CH!
Christopher Harris (11:18 AM)
Hm. I think "safest" is going to be s super-relative terms here...they're all a bit nausea-inducing. If I'm looking for the biggest upside as an underdog, I probably go Gibson vs. TB. Beanie has scored TDs, but I don't like his CHI matchup this week at all.
Brett (Austin, TX)
Thoughts on Lamar Miller next season, possible upside like a C.J. Spiller? Daniel Thomas sure gets hurt alot!
Christopher Harris (11:18 AM)
Hi, Brett. Yup, mentioned him on this week's Fantasy Underground podcast -- it presupposes that Reggie Bush goes somewhere else, but there's a ton of speed there for Miller. But it's a bit alarming how little playing time he was able to win while Thomas was injured earlier in the year.... That's a little bit of a red flag.
Ricardo (El Paso)
Of everybody on ESPN I feel like you are the most knowledgeable due to your film study. Curious about your background - coaching or scout aspirations? I feel like very few writers put as much effort in to their writing as you do.
Christopher Harris (11:20 AM)
Thanks, Ricardo. As of yet, no coaching or scouting aspirations. Honestly, I watch so much film because I feel like I wouldn't know very much otherwise...the box score really is an easy way to fall into traps. My background is mostly as a writer, though I have an MBA and was a Creative Director for an ad agency long ago.
How is Bradford ranked so low with his great matchup vs Tampa. Only one quarterback in the last seven games against the Bucs has failed to net at least 20 Fantasy points.
Christopher Harris (11:22 AM)
Hi, Kevin. I get it. All I know is that middling QBs have failed to take advantage of cherry matchups for the past month, y'know? Bradford had a big game last week in a total mopup effort, but before that he hadn't been above 14 fantasy points in a month. Remember last week how everyone thought I was an idiot for not loving the Lions D in a sweet matchup against the Cardinals? Not that I'm always right (not by a longshot!), but you have to consider the quality of the player in addition to the quality of the opponent.
how concerned about timeshare/pt should I about McCoy? Hilton v KC or DeAngelo v Oak are my other flex options...
Christopher Harris (11:23 AM)
Hi, Cole. I'd be pretty concerned. I put D-Willy and McCoy in the same neighborhood this week but for different reasons...Williams just isn't going to find the end zone unless he runs a long one, whereas I think we're looking at enough Bryce Brown to have it be a problem for Shady. Now, that said, I think McCoy gives you by far the most upside here.
Chris, if Torrey Smith is forced to miss this week, will Boldin rise up in your rankings?
Christopher Harris (11:24 AM)
Hi, Kyle. Yes, he would...he'd go into the mid-30s probably? Maybe early 30s? I'm just not in love with the Ravens passing game right now. Kind of easy to understand why, after last week.
DF (The Underground)
Chris - I know TE after the top 3 is a crapshoot, but can you expound a bit on your Martellus vs Rudolph rankings? Matchups are obviously in Rudolph's favor this week IMO
Christopher Harris (11:26 AM)
Hi, DF. I guess mostly it comes down to: Look at Rudolph's game log. Look at those frustratingly low target numbers the past two weeks. I mean, YICK. So that's the logic, feeling burned by Rudolph previously. It's like Brandon Myers...when he gives you nothing in two straight, it feels mighty faulty to go out and say, "He's #5!" or whatever. However, the larger point is how you framed your question -- it's a total crapshoot. If your gut is screaming Rudolph because of the matchup, and you're not as scared as wimpy me of the possibility of a donut, rock on.
Chris, I have used your rankings as my preference all season. I am really struggling with the decision to start Trent. I get that he has gotten me there but I am worried that he doesn't get a TD vs stingy D and puts up 4 points. Am I crazy to really consider Deangelo Williams instead?
Christopher Harris (11:27 AM)
Hi, Tom. I'm glad I've been able to help. As I mentioned earlier, I'm writing at length about Richardson in tomorrow's Hard Count, so make sure you check that out. If it's me in this case, I'm starting Richardson. (We also talked at length about DeAngelo as our first subject on the Fantasy Underground podcast this week....) But I get why you'd be worried....
Mike (Alexandria, VA)
No question, my lineup is set. Just wanted to let you know I finally bought 'Slotback Rhapsody' this week and am looking forward to reading it over the holidays.
Christopher Harris (11:29 AM)
Thanks, Mike. That's thoroughly awesome, and very much appreciated. Tweet me your thoughts after you read it. Anyone else who wants to take a look, go to www.slotbackrhapsody.com. I already know you like football, and if you want the story of a scrappy little dude trying to make it in the league with the help of Buddhism and HGH, here's your book. :-)
I know questions are coming in on your end, but auto update is not auto updating on ours, is there really nothing on your end you can switch on?
Christopher Harris (11:29 AM)
Hi, Frank. There isn't. I'll send an email to the people in charge. But there's no button for me to push that will make your page refresh automatically. Sorry.
Colton (Atlanta )
You were a creative director? Work on any interesting campaigns? Also, Can Lloyd be trusted this week?
Christopher Harris (11:32 AM)
Hi, Colton. I'm writing about Lloyd for this week's Hard Count, too, so be sure and check it out. I think he represents high risk (because he was crummy for so long) but high reward (190 yards last week isn't shabby). One thing that's good...over the past month, the Pats are finally throwing it down the field. I worked on a bunch of financial-services campaigns...I remember doing work for Ameritrade, S&P, and many others...... But not really TV stuff. More web and print....
Last try for my last question of this FF season. In a PPR who sits Lynch, Charles, Forte, or Spiller and why? Happy Holidays to you and yours!!!
Christopher Harris (11:33 AM)
Hi, Chris. I think Lynch and Spiller have to play. And while I think Charles has more upside, I trust Forte to actually get a workload and to catch the ball a bunch. I think you have to choose between those two, and it probably comes down to how scared you are of a repeat of last week for JC.
Mike V (Chicago)
What does IMO mean?
Christopher Harris (11:33 AM)
Hi, Mike. In My Opinion.
Who do you like more as a flex? Mccoy, Kenny Brit or Miles Austin? who is in your opinion the safest play?
Christopher Harris (11:34 AM)
Hi, Yoshi. I think McCoy is pretty clearly the LEAST safe, even though he has the most upside. I would say Austin is safest to get something done with Dez's finger mangled, but I don't see him as a big-upside player....
Happy Holidays and thanks for your help this fantasy season. Two decisions -- Defense -- Jets or Chargers, pick three of four in ppr, Megatron, Welker, Cobb and Bryant, all have good matchup except Megatron, who I never sit.
Christopher Harris (11:35 AM)
Hi, Devin. I'll let you look up the D/ST ranks on ESPN.com...as for the PPR wideouts of course you're right, Megatron needs to play. And in a PPR, I can't get away from Cobb & Welker, despite how scorching-hot Dez has been......
Leshoure or Shorts in the FLEX?
Christopher Harris (11:37 AM)
Hi, Ian. Boy, Leshoure is a big ol' woofer in my mind. But amid the mediocre play, he sure does find the end zone a lot! I clearly think Shorts is the higher-upside player here. But if you're looking for safe, I think Leshoure is your guy.
Hi, and thanks for all of your advice this season. Who would you play as Flex - C. Palmer or S. Jackson? Also, Do you think it's bogus to be able to play a QB as Flex? I do.
Christopher Harris (11:37 AM)
Hi, Edge. Yeah, not crazy about leagues that have an "offensive player," but since those are the rules, I think you have to go with Palmer, as lousy as he often is. I mean, QBs are going to get you 13 or 14 points minimum most weeks...that would be big production for S-Jax.
You think Roddy is a must start this week? His knee is concerning.
Christopher Harris (11:39 AM)
Well, I don't have any clear indication that last week's lack of production was related to the knee. He played 50 out of 68 snaps and he told reporters he felt good enough. It just didn't click for him, as Julio was going ballistic. I would probably roll with Roddy. But of course, it does come down to what else you have, and how concerned *you* are.....
need a flex please from leshoure - j jones - blackmon dmc or nicks
Christopher Harris (11:40 AM)
Hi, Missy. I'm assuming that's James Jones (not Julio). In which case I probably go ahead and use McFadden, and then get ready to curse his name. :-) But I do think he probably gives you the best chance.....
Hey Chris. Do you think Bryce and Dwyer have similar floors but Brown is higher upside, thus your ranking? Trying to weigh risk/reward. Thanks.
Christopher Harris (11:41 AM)
Hi, Cody. You may be right...maybe I should lower Bryce a bit more. I do think he probably does have the bigger ceiling -- there are scenarios where McCoy doesn't play that much and Brown breaks one. Dwyer (aka mini-Bettis) doesn't tend to break much. Plus I'm just very enamored with that CIN defensive front. But listen, they're close enough either way.... if you're rather just make sure you get *some* form of workload, Dwyer is a better bet to have more touches......
Hey Chris, for some reason I really thought Field was moonlighting as a law student. Could you please explain why you were so much higher on Josh Freeman than the others? I might need some reassurances before I do something crazy like start Nick Foles...
Christopher Harris (11:43 AM)
Hi, Mark. It's funny: Drew Brooks, the Underground producer, said exactly the same thing after the show -- he thought I wasn't kidding at first. Ha! Listen, Freeman was a total dog in at least a neutral matchup last week. But otherwise he's been pretty decent, and I certainly can't get excited about Nick Foles. I would roll with Freeman.
HAPPY HOLIDAYS Christopher - If I need upside to equal my competitions three top 10 ranked WRs (Dez, AJ and Welker) to win the championship. Do I strike with Marshall and 2 of... homerun =TY Hilton, Junk Time = Blackmon or Skill set = Britt
Christopher Harris (11:45 AM)
Hi, Steve. Hilton is the upside guy here, no question. So he's in. As for Blackmon v. Britt? I think Britt probably is also a bigger upside play, but as you say, garbage time is a possibility for Blackmon. If it's me, I think I play Britt, but would be sympathetic if your gut told you otherwise.
Jason (New Orleans)
Where would you rank Gronk if active?
Christopher Harris (11:46 AM)
Hi, Jason. That's a really, really good question. One I kind of hope I don't have to deal with on Sunday! Because the instinct of course would be to put him at No. 1. But is he really *back* back? Or will he just be "worked in"? Put it this way: If I have Gonzalez or Witten or Heath or Graham? Maybe I just go ahead and ride them, and let the chips fall where they may. But if I'm out there with Martellus Bennett or Kyle Rudolph or something? Man, I'm just gonna go take my shot with Gronk and hope for the best.
Who's a better stash as a free keeper for 2013: Lamar Miller, Isiah Pead, Rueben Randle, Joseph Morgan, Rod Streater or LaMicheal James? Who's your 1st and 2nd picks?
Christopher Harris (11:48 AM)
Hi, Tony. I'm ruling out Morgan, Streater and Randle off the top because of the depth their teams have. Pead might be interesting if S-Jax leaves, but I'm not sold he will. And James suffers because Gore has had such a solid year and will definitely be installed as the starter. So I'm going Lamar Miller -- lots of possibility for a total flop, plus if Bush re-signs, all bets are off. But you have to love the speed.
Would you rather keep Dez as a 3rd round keeper or Britt as a 6th round keeper in a 14tm league? Or is it neither?
Christopher Harris (11:49 AM)
Hi, DF. I'd rather have Dez. I think he probably has a chance to go earlier than that next year, whereas Britt might go later. As for neither....hm....you probably have a better sense of your league's drafting habits than I. I think the 3rd might be close to right for him, but this way at least you'd be sure you have him, if you want him again.
Christopher -great help this year following your advice. You mentioned earlier concerns about the Ravens passing game - what about their running attack?
Christopher Harris (11:49 AM)
Thanks, Wendy. Well, listen, after last week you never want to say Ray Rice is a lock for anything. But he's got 10 double-digit fantasy point days out of 14 games. I think I have to run him right back out there.
I kind of feel the same as you on Richardson. Since he spoke up on his usage, I think he will get plenty. However, if you have Morris & Martin to start over him, how do you not do that?
Christopher Harris (11:51 AM)
Hi, Nathan. Well, I'm with you on Morris, because he seems like a more reliable version of Richardson at this moment in time. As for Martin? I guess I see your point, though the Rams have been pretty stout up front. I think I agree though that Martin probably has less of a chance to get shut all the way down, which has to be a concern with what the Broncos did to Rice last week. But as you see, I have T-Rich ranked higher. I write about him at length in tomorrow's Hard Count...take a look.
Chris Johnson (Still Got Speed)
What do you expect from me next year? My O-line has to get better, right? But my QB...
Christopher Harris (11:52 AM)
I think it'll be more of the same. We'll have to see if Muchak gets canned (definitely a possibility), and how they change the line around. The skill is still there, but it's a skill that makes CJ a boom-or-bust guy by nature. That'll continue next year. In my book he'll be a high-upside RB2.
Ridley safer than Colston this week?
Christopher Harris (11:53 AM)
Hi, Sheila. Hm. I would like to say yes. I wish I could say for sure that Belichick has no plan to punish Ridley for his fumbling; if that's the case, then I do think Ridley would be safer. Other things being equal, I probably would start Ridley. But if I had to *make sure* I definitely get something no matter what? Colston actually might be the better bet.
Mike (State College)
I've been riding TY Hilton the last four or five weeks and I made it to the finals with him. You guys have Austin ranked a considerable bit ahead of him, but I'm hesitant to make the switch because of the ol go with who got you there philosophy. What do you think I should do?
Christopher Harris (11:55 AM)
Hi, Mike. I get it. I think if I'm you, I just ignore us and roll with the guy who got you there. Hilton has defied the odds with his three catches and big fantasy points every week, and I think our ranks are trying to capture the risk of a regression to the mean. But if he's been doing it for you, why bet into a winning streak, especially with Austin, a player who, while he looked good last week and could maybe be the Cowboys' co-No. 1 with Dez hurting, is having a hard time finding the end zone?
Tara (So Cal)
Do you have any kids? What boys and girls names do you like? Ha, I know not related in the least to FF, but fun and just curious. Obviously expecting soon...
Christopher Harris (11:56 AM)
Hi, Tara. Heh. I don't have kids. Just a dog. Good luck with everything.........
James (A Giant Peach)
Where do you think AJ Green will rank overall next year?
Christopher Harris (11:57 AM)
Hi, James. It's an exercise I'm going to have to go through pretty dang soon. I would think he's maybe 2 or 3 at WR? And that might put him in the mid-teens? RB safety is once again going to be a massive issue.....
Jason (Ottawa Canada)
Start Kaepernick over Eli Manning if Sherman is suspended or do it regardless?
Christopher Harris (11:58 AM)
Hi, Jason. I like Kaep either way.
Steve (Los Angeles)
How do I rewind time to last Thursday and pick Luck over Freeman, thereby saving my fantasy season?
Christopher Harris (11:58 AM)
Heh, Steve, I wish I could be right there with you. Some calls -- like Freeman and Ridley last week -- were very painful for me.
Please before you go..Aren't you worried about Kaepernick in SEATLE?....No QB goes to Seattle and plays well...Why is he ranked to high..
Christopher Harris (12:03 PM)
I'm having Internet trouble gang, and it's the end of the hour -- I'm sorry about this, but follow me @CHarrisESPN and ask me stuff there, and I'll do my best to get to as many as possible.
What kind of dog do u have?