Chat with Adam Rubin
Welcome to ESPNNewYork.com! On Thursday, New York Mets writer Adam Rubin will stop by to take your baseball questions.
Rubin has covered the Mets since 2003. He's a graduate of Mepham High School on Long Island and the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He joined ESPNNewYork after spending 10 years at the New York Daily News.
Send your questions now and join Rubin Thursday at 2 p.m. ET!
Adam Rubin (2:00 PM)
Thanks for joining me. Let's get started ...
firstname.lastname@example.org (Athens, OH)
Any chance the Mets would be interested in trading Johan Santana? If so what teams would be in the conversation? What would it take?
Adam Rubin (2:01 PM)
I'm sure the Mets would love to trade Johan Santana, as important as he is for any chance of success this season. The bottom line is that he is owed $31 million alone in 2013, with a 2014 buyout. That's way too much for a team with a payroll at the Mets' level. The problem is no one will touch a contract of that level -- unless he were pitching like Tim Lincecum. With the shoulder history now, Johan is virtually untradeable.
How can over half the shares be sold to related parties? Is this not the Wilpons creating their own Ponzi Scheme?
Adam Rubin (2:03 PM)
I hear what you're saying, but SNY and the Mets are separate legal entities. If SNY has profits and can borrow, or has cash on hand, and the Mets do not, then SNY buying shares of the Mets transfers some of the liquidity, if that makes sense.
The Post Reported that the Mets have 2 million in reserve for late in the Spring addition(s). If Johan is healthy, where do you see that $$$ being spent?
Adam Rubin (2:04 PM)
I don't see them acquiring anything unless they have to. They may get a lefty-hitting backup outfielder, if they are dissatisfied with Adam Loewen and Mike Baxter. People were adamant with me that the catchers they'll take north already are in camp.
Ira (Long Island)
Hi Adam, thanks for taking my question. Having had a herniated disc in my back, I know that any little turn the wrong way can still irritate it and me it debilitating. Given that, when the thought comes to trading Wright, do you think the broken back he had last year would help keep his trade value down?
Adam Rubin (2:05 PM)
Wright didn't have a herniated disc. He had a fracture. Supposedly it's healed, or stabilized. He does exercises specific to the area, still, I believe. But it's not something that needed to be addressed invasively or something that should persist.
Gary (Connecticut )
Adam, assuming we get a full year of Santana, Bay returns to form and Ike/Wright have reasonably good seasons, why can't we contend for the second wild card?
Adam Rubin (2:07 PM)
I'm not saying it's impossible, but I don't really foresee more than 70 wins. Rank the starting pitchers in the NL East. Not sure there's a Met in the top 10. And the more IFs you have, the more likely you'll have a bad season. You can go virtually position by position and the Mets have an IF. If Josh Thole shows he can be a No. 1, if Mike Nickeas can hit enough, if Ike Davis' ankle remains healthy, if Murph doesn't get injured at second base, if Ruben Tejada can adequately replace Reyes, if Wright and Bay's power numbers take off with new dimensions, if Torres is more like 2010 than 2011. You get the point.
RobPatterson83 (Gainesville, VA)
Whats the vibe of camp compared to years past? Seems to be a lot of horsing around early on. Is that what prompted Terry's premature 'us against the world' speech the other day?
Adam Rubin (2:08 PM)
It's pretty loose, but I think people trying to tell you it's significantly looser than any recent previous camp are selling you a false bill of goods.
Tony (Pt Jeff, NY)
Who is your LONGEST shot to make opening day roster??
Adam Rubin (2:09 PM)
Longest shot who has a realistic chance? Miguel Batista and Chuck James or Garrett Olson, maybe. Roster is pretty much set.
Hey Adam, with Jenrry Mejia recovering from Tommy John surgery, do the Mets view him as a starter in future, or will he now slot in as a potential closer?
Adam Rubin (2:10 PM)
Paul DePodesta told me the 2012 role when he comes back may be different than 2013. DePodesta also pointed to the Rangers having success using people as relievers and making them starters a year or two later. My gut then is that Mejia contributes at some point in the second half out of the bullpen and they see how it goes. Then if they need a starter next year, there's potential that he goes back to that role. But I don't believe it's firmly resolved.
Scot (Washington, DC )
I have to admit, despite missing Jose, I'm actually a little higher on this Mets team than I have been the last few years. A lot of these guys strike me as hungry, young players who want to play hard. That's kind of encouraging, even if it doesn't translate into a ton of wins. Is the vibe at camp that this year might be the start of something?
Adam Rubin (2:12 PM)
There are a lot of hungry guys in the low minors too. I don't want guys going through the motion, but there's no substitute for talent.
How can Major League Baseball see the LA Dodgers in such dire straights financially and take over the team but not force the Wilpons to sell the Mets?
Adam Rubin (2:12 PM)
Long story. MLB's position is that Frank McCourt was withdrawing money for his personal use -- divorce, properties, etc. -- whereas Fred Wilpon's borrowing was to try to stabilize his franchise. Plus, the relationship between Wilpon and Bud Selig that has been for three decades is worth something.
Hi Adam. Appreciate your great work. Since you are covering baseball, specifically the Mets, all the time, does it take away from your overall enjoyment of the game? For example, for us regular joe's, baseball is a distraction from our day to day lives, but for you, it is your livelihood, so does the idea of coming home and having a beer and watching a game just feel like work to you?
Adam Rubin (2:14 PM)
MacArthur basketball is what I root for, if you've seen the tweets. My brother coaches that high school team. ... More seriously, I try to do non-sports things when I'm not working (whenever that is). ... I do enjoy watching the Islanders on occasion. I grew up a diehard fan. My family used to share season tickets -- section 210, row E, seats 7&8.
Andre. (Plandome, NY) [via mobile]
Hi Adam Can't believe Ravens is hurt again. Is the organization getting close to giving up on him. Very frustrating situation because he can fill second base and be top order hitter. Unbelievable what has happened to him.
Adam Rubin (2:15 PM)
No sense giving up on Reese Havens. In fact, he was just added to the 40-man roster this past offseason to protect him from being taken in the Rule 5 draft. Obviously the repeated injuries are frustrated to everyone, including Reese.
Lucas Duda's power: is it what they say? Do you think he really has Giambi/Votto potential in the majors?
Adam Rubin (2:16 PM)
I'd like to see a full season in the majors first before heaping too much praise. He can definitely be a productive major leaguer. And he has a ton of raw power in batting practice. But Rob Stratton, if you remember the name, had a ton of raw power in batting practice in St. Lucie several years ago. (Duda is a vastly superior talent, but my point is that batting practice power shows don't mean as much as you might think.)
Matt (East Meadow)
Hear anything good about our new scouting director Tommy Tanous?
Adam Rubin (2:17 PM)
Just know he was with J.P. Ricciardi in Toronto. Don't know much more.
Do you think the Wilpons (i) don't really see things realistically with respect to how fans view the team and them or (ii) just don't care and continue to operate without regard for their viewpoint? Their comments last week were a little disingenous
Adam Rubin (2:17 PM)
Fred said last week that he was remaining owner for the long term, and added jokingly, whether the fans like it or not. So I'm sure he has some sense.
Adam, great tweets. Helps me follow the Mets in ST as I work.Reese Havens is hurt yet again. Do you know if he was injury prone when drafted? He seems to have all the offensive talent but can't stay on the field. Do the Mets even consider him for long-range plans?
Adam Rubin (2:18 PM)
Don't believe he had injuries when he was at the University of South Carolina. They're all back/side related too.
Hi Adam, the Mets situation is pretty depressing right now but I have confidence Alderson and his people will get the organization in order during this rebuilding phase. One thing that worries me about him is I've heard him repeatedly say he doesn't give 6-7 year contracts. Letting Reyes go was debateable, but you can't keep star caliber players with 3 year deals. Does he realize this? If not why should I get excited as a fan for guys like Ike Davis or any other young player who becomes a star if Alderson won't give them a long term deal. This is New York after all.
Adam Rubin (2:21 PM)
Something is going to have to give at some point, because otherwise -- as you noted -- the Mets will never be able to lock up a superstar again. I get a sense there's some realism/bend with Alderson, and the mid-20s guys from the system will get those six-year deals if that's what the market demands, say the Ike Davis and such when it reaches that point. The bottom line is you can think those deals are stupid all you want, but if everyone is doing them, then either you play the game or you don't get the talent. A certain percentage of bad contracts is acceptable any given year. Say they give David a six-year extension, knowing years 5 and 6 are going to be bad. And then say they do the same to Ike Davis in two years. Well, then at any given point there's only 1 or 2 contracts that are bad and in final years. And if you're maintaining a NY-size payroll, that's no real burden at all.
Scot (Washington, DC )
How's Ike's ankle? Everyone keeps saying it'll never be 100% again. Can you tell that from watching him move around the field?
Adam Rubin (2:22 PM)
He ranged far to the line for a ball today during infield work and got to it and looked fine. I haven't noticed him with big ice bags or anything either seeking treatment. My understanding is there will be some crankiness from time to time (from the ankle, not Ike himself), but that it will be manageable and he'll play without interruption.
Any chance we see Harvey or Havens in Queens this season ??
Adam Rubin (2:22 PM)
Harvey, September I bet. Havens needs to demonstrate he can stay healthy. Let's see how Murph at second base goes too.
Adam Rubin (2:23 PM)
I'm going to cut the chat off here. Hope you understand. Lot of news to write up, including more on Santana's session. Thanks for joining me.