Whoever the Ravens eventually pick with the No. 6 overall pick Thursday, there's a really good chance that prospect will become a Pro Bowl player. Actually, there's a 71.4 percent chance of that happening.
Since 1996, when the Ravens had their first draft, five of Baltimore's seven top-10 picks have reached the Pro Bowl. That's the best success rate over that span of any team selecting in the top 10 this year, according to ESPN Stats & Information.
In comparison, the Jacksonville Jaguars, who sit one spot ahead of Baltimore this year, have only had two Pro Bowl players in their 13 top-10 picks since 1996. That's 15.3 percent.
If the Ravens' selection is Bosa, it would follow a familiar pattern for Baltimore. The Ravens' success in this part of the draft comes from sticking to their draft board and taking educated risks on certain players. Here are their seven top-10 picks:
Jonathan Ogden, offensive tackle, No. 4 overall (1996): The top-rated player on the Ravens' board that year surprisingly slipped past the Arizona Cardinals. Still, Baltimore selected Ogden over Lawrence Phillips even though they had five-year starting left tackle Tony Jones and needed a running back. Ogden was an 11-time Pro Bowl lineman who was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2012.
Peter Boulware, outside linebacker, No. 4 (1997): Marvin Lewis, then the Ravens' defensive coordinator, aggressively campaigned for Boulware. He was convinced that Boulware could make the switch from a 4-3 defensive end in college to a 3-4 outside linebacker in the NFL, which wasn't as commonplace back then. Lewis was right: Boulware was the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year, went to four Pro Bowls and finished his career as the franchise's all-time leader in sacks.
Duane Starks, cornerback, No. 10 (1998): His career gets downgraded because he failed to dominate like many of the team's first-round picks in the franchise's first 12 drafts. But Baltimore took a chance on the smaller Starks (5-foot-10). It certainly paid off, as Starks made 20 interceptions in four seasons and he returned an interception 49 yards for a touchdown in the Ravens' first Super Bowl championship.
Chris McAlister, cornerback, No. 10 (1999): The Ravens drafted a cornerback for the second straight year because McAlister ranked near the top of the team's draft board and they thought Rod Woodson could become of the first cornerbacks to make the transition to safety. While everything fell into place, the frustrating part with McAlister is he had the talent to be even better. Still, he is remembered by many as the best cornerback in Ravens history and was voted to the Pro Bowl three times.
Jamal Lewis, running back, No. 5 (2000): This was not a well-received pick. Lewis suffered a major knee injury in college, and Thomas Jones was considered by others as the best running back in this draft class. Lewis carried a pass-challenged offense to a Super Bowl title in 2000, rushed for over 2,000 yards in 2003 and ranks as the leading rusher in team history. Lewis only went to one Pro Bowl, which happened in the same year (2003) he won NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
Travis Taylor, wide receiver, No. 10 (2000): He was the worst top-10 pick in Ravens' history. In five seasons, Taylor eclipsed 60 catches once and produced a grand total of two 100-yard games for Baltimore. The Ravens thought his physical tools outweighed mediocre production in college, but they turned out to be very wrong. Taylor didn't score a touchdown in his final 22 games with the Ravens.
Terrell Suggs, outside linebacker, No. 10 (2003): The Ravens originally wanted to trade up to get quarterback Byron Leftwich, but a botched trade forced Baltimore to settle for Suggs. He ran disappointing times in the 40-yard dash and never played linebacker in college. Despite all of that, the Ravens happily picked Suggs, who was the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year in 2011 and made the Pro Bowl six times.
The history of the Ravens' ability to find impact players high in the draft is a dated one. Baltimore hasn't selected a player in the top 10 since 2003.
Back in the upper third of the draft once again, Ravens officials believe they can continue their impressive track record on Thursday.
"We’re at a position at [pick No.] 6 where we think we’re going to get a very, very good player," assistant general manager Eric DeCosta said.