Don't expect these players to fall to Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens' draft success has been built on talented players falling to them, from Ed Reed (2002) to Terrell Suggs (2003) to Haloti Ngata (2006).

So, who is going to slide down to the Ravens at No. 17 on Thursday? The Ravens would be extremely happy if a top-rated player like Michigan offensive tackle Taylor Lewan, North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron or Alabama safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix slipped out of the top half of the first round.

But ESPN draft analyst Todd McShay feels the Ravens should temper their expectations.

"To be totally blunt with you, I don't think any of those three wind up getting to 17," McShay said. "I would be shocked if any of those three did."

Some believe Lewan, the draft's third-best tackle, could fall because of off-the-field issues. McShay projects Lewan to go to the Oakland Raiders at No. 5 or the Atlanta Falcons at No. 6.

"There is a 2 percent chance that Lewan gets out of the top six," McShay said.

McShay doesn't like the odds of Ebron or Clinton-Dix falling because there are too many teams needing a tight end or safety. He sees Ebron going to the Buffalo Bills (No. 9), Tennessee Titans (No. 11), New York Giants (No. 12) or possibly the Pittsburgh Steelers (No. 15). McShay thinks Clinton-Dix will get selected by either the Minnesota Vikings (No. 8), Detroit Lions (No. 10), Titans (No. 11) or Dallas Cowboys (No. 16).

"It's much more likely they're looking at [Virginia offensive tackle] Morgan Moses," McShay said. "I know they like [Notre Dame offensive lineman] Zack Martin, but I don't know if they're going to take him at No. 17. He's a player that a lot of teams in that range are really interested in and hopeful that he can play right tackle."

Martin has been a popular pick for the Ravens in mock drafts. McShay had the Ravens taking Martin in his latest mock draft.

But Ravens assistant general manager Eric DeCosta said last week that the top four offensive tackles in this draft -- Auburn's Greg Robinson, Texas A&M's Jake Matthews, Lewan and Martin -- will "most likely" be gone before the Ravens pick at No. 17.

With all of these players not expected to slide, do the Ravens even know who is going to be sitting there at No. 17?

"I think I can predict it. I think I know who we're going to get," DeCosta said. "I could give you three names and it'll be one of those three guys."