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Big 12 bowl projections: Is Baylor Sugar Bowl-bound?

The Big 12 seems poised to make its first-ever appearance in the College Football Playoff.

Oklahoma remains No. 3 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings and seems a near lock to land playoff spot after winning the Big 12 title with a dominant performance against Oklahoma State in Bedlam on Nov. 28. The Sooners have a strong résumé with wins over four top-25 teams, including three on the road.

TCU saw a nice boost off its double-overtime win over Baylor, jumping to No. 11. The Bears landed one place behind the Horned Frogs at No. 12.

Nonetheless, Baylor appears bound for the Allstate Sugar Bowl with a win over Texas on Saturday. The Bears would win the Big 12 tiebreaker between Baylor, TCU and Oklahoma State. In addition, Ole Miss appears likely to be the SEC representative in the Sugar Bowl, making a rematch of last year's Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl unlikely despite TCU ranking higher than Baylor in the rankings.

Thus, TCU seems bound for the Valero Alamo Bowl. Oklahoma State, fresh off a pair of home losses to end the season, slides into the Russell Athletic Bowl to round out the conference's top four.

It becomes interesting after that with West Virginia (7-4), Texas Tech (7-5) and Kansas State (5-6) in play to land bowl games. The Wildcats need to beat West Virginia on Saturday to make it to six wins but even if they don't, they could be selected as a 5-7 bowl participant. Plenty of uncertainty remains surrounding the landing spot of all three teams. West Virginia returning to the AutoZone Liberty Bowl seems to be the least likely scenario.

College Football Playoff semifinal: Oklahoma

Allstate Sugar Bowl (New Year's Six): Baylor

Valero Alamo Bowl: TCU

Russell Athletic Bowl: Oklahoma State

AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl: West Virginia

AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Texas Tech

Cactus Bowl: Kansas State

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl: no qualifier