Predicting the 2016 season: Week 5

Preseason camp has not begun so making predictions may seem like folly. Some of our annual Big 12 season predictions have been on the money while others have been way off base in the past. But why should that stop us?

Over the next couple of weeks we will be making predictions for every Big 12 game this season. We continue our predictions with Week 5:

Texas Tech 48, Kansas 24: The explosive speed of Justin Stockton is the highlight of the Red Raiders win as the junior running back has a 73-yard touchdown run and 64-yard touchdown reception in the first half. After a slow start to the season on the ground, Tech has its best performance, rushing for 273 yards in the blowout win.

Oklahoma State 27, Texas 24: A game-winning field goal from Ben Grogan hands Oklahoma State a win over the Longhorns for the second straight season. The Cowboys win the turnover-filled game (seven total turnovers) after Jalen McCleskey's long punt return sets up Grogan’s last-second winner. After spending the first few weeks going back and forth with Tyrone Swoopes and Shane Buechele at quarterback, the Longhorns announce after the game that Buechele will be the guy moving forward.

TCU 31, Oklahoma 21: The Sooners slip up after their nonconference success due to three turnovers including a red zone fumble that halts Oklahoma’s momentum early in the fourth quarter. TCU capitalizes on the ensuing drive as Shaun Nixon's touchdown run gives the Horned Frogs a 10-point lead that they never relinquish. TCU's defense is the difference, holding Oklahoma under 6 yards per play and recording four sacks of Baker Mayfield.

West Virginia 38, Kansas State 20: A pair of true freshman make their mark for West Virginia as running back Kennedy McCoy and receiver Marcus Simms each score touchdowns in the win. The Mountaineers’ defense also shows signs of growing up with four sacks and 11 tackles for loss against the Wildcats, who struggle to make West Virginia’s blitz-heavy defense pay for its aggressive approach.

Baylor 45, Iowa State 28: The Bears rebound from their first loss of the season by focusing on the running game. Shock Linwood and Johnny Jefferson each rush for over 100 yards and Seth Russell accounts for three touchdowns in the Bears' road win. Iowa State has a solid showing offensively, gaining more than 400 yards, but its defense simply can’t keep up with the overall speed and explosiveness Baylor’s brings to the table.

Week 5 standings

1. TCU -- 5-0, (2-0 in Big 12)

2. Oklahoma State 5-0 (2-0)

3. Texas Tech -- 4-0 (1-0)

4. West Virginia -- 4-0 (1-0)

5. Baylor -- 4-1 (1-1)

6. Oklahoma -- 3-1 (0-1)

7. Kansas -- 2-2 (0-1)

8. Kansas State-- 2-2 (0-1)

9. Texas -- 2-2 (0-1)

10. Iowa State -- 2-3 (0-2)