Rutgers' loss to Tulane didn't just spoil the Scarlet Knights' homecoming; it ruined my shot at perfection last week. Still, I'm picking at an 85 percent clip, and it's time to take that momentum into conference play.
Connecticut 20, Rutgers 16: This game is almost always close, and Rutgers has won four of the last five. But how can you have any confidence in the Scarlet Knights right now after the way they played against Tulane and the unsettled quarterback situation? UConn has all the momentum after two solid wins, and the Huskies will hold on for a hard-fought road victory here.
Notre Dame 27, Pittsburgh 24: This is my game of the week. Check my video post later today for a full explanation of this pick.
South Florida 24, Syracuse 17: This is a prove-it game for both sides, and I think the Orange will be more competitive against the Bulls than ever before. USF, though, gets the edge because of home field and a defense that's quietly been playing very well all season.
West Virginia 31, UNLV 14: The Rebels have lost to three ranked teams, but they're giving up more than 32 points per game. Even if Noel Devine isn't fully healthy, the Mountaineers should be able to score a lot of points and put pressure on a team traveling across two time zones. But I do expect this UNLV player to have a record-setting day.
Louisville 31, Memphis 10: The Tigers rank near the bottom of the FBS in just about every major statistical category. This is a bad, bad team, and Louisville will show just how far away Memphis is from being Big East-ready.
Cincinnati 35, Miami of Ohio 14: In the RedHawks' two games against BCS conference teams -- Florida and Missouri -- they gave up a total of 85 points. This should be a good opportunity for the Bearcats' offense to have some fun, provided they keep up the momentum from the Sept. 25 Oklahoma game.
Last week: 4-1
Season results: 28-5 (84.8 percent)