Preview: How will Sox fare in AL East?

In ESPN.com’s American League East preview, the Red Sox are projected to finish in last place in the division for a second straight season.

ESPN Insider Dan Szymborski and ESPN The Mag’s Tim Kurkjian combined to come up with each team’s best- and worst-case scenarios. Here they are for the Red Sox:

* Best case -- 93 wins: If new manager John Farrell mends clubhouse relations, a revitalized Jon Lester and a revamped pen (Joel Hanrahan and Koji Uehara averaged 10-plus K/9 in 2012) form the pitching core, and Will Middlebrooks' bat provides pop.

* Worst case -- 79 wins: If the changes aren't enough, Mike Napoli's injury woes continue, Shane Victorino's .245 BA in L.A. doesn't improve, and Ryan Dempster doesn't enjoy the AL East.

Meanwhile, former Sox pitcher and current ESPN analyst Curt Schilling makes a case for the Red Sox to win the AL East in the video below:

And finally, here are the projections for the AL East using Szymborski’s ZiPS projection system, in which seasons are simulated a million times using a Monte Carlo method:

Where do you think the Red Sox will finish in the AL East? Vote in the poll above and share your thoughts in the comments section.