Chubb and Browns' ground game will prove too much for Texans

Nick Chubb's injury derailed a surging Browns team at the time, and a running game that dipped significantly in productivity afterward. AP Photo/David Richard

Texans (2-6) at Browns (5-3)

1 p.m. ET | FOX

Matchup rating: 38.4 | Spread: CLE -3 (53)

What to watch for: Cleveland running back Nick Chubb, who has been out since Week 4 with a knee injury, is expected to return Sunday. The Browns were leading the NFL in rushing when Chubb was healthy, and they will look to get rolling on the ground once again. -- Jake Trotter

Bold prediction: Regardless of who starts at running back for the Browns, the team will rush for more than 175 yards. Before Chubb injured his knee on Oct. 4, Cleveland led the league in rushing, but it has ranked 24th since then with 96 rushing yards per game. Chubb could be activated from injured reserve in time to play the Texans on Sunday, and a date against the last-place rushing defense (Houston is allowing an average of 159.5 rushing yards per game) could be the ticket to get the Browns' running game back on track. -- Sarah Barshop

Stat to know: Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson has six straight games with multiple passing touchdowns, the second-longest active streak in the NFL after Seattle's Russell Wilson (9).

Injuries: Texans | Browns

What to know for fantasy: Texans receiver Will Fuller V's 2.43 fantasy points per target rank second among qualified receivers, right on the heels of DK Metcalf's 2.46. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: Houston is 0-5 ATS as an underdog and 0-4 ATS on the road this season. Overall, the Texans' 1-7 ATS mark is tied with the Jets for the second-worst ATS mark. Read more.

Barshop's pick: Browns 27, Texans 20

Trotter's pick: Browns 31, Texans 27

FPI prediction: CLE, 61.7% (by an average of 4.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: Watson: Would've been hell if Texans traded Fuller ... Chubb's return will power Browns ... Is Baker better without OBJ?