Packers' Aaron Rodgers poised for big game against Texans

Packers (4-1) at Texans (1-5)

1 p.m. ET | Fox

Matchup rating: 56.3 | Spread: GB -3.5 (57)

What to watch for: Can the Texans' run defense rebound from a terrible performance against Derrick Henry and the Titans? Packers running back Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in five consecutive games, which is tied for the longest active streak in the NFL, according to research by ESPN Stats & Information. -- Sarah Barshop

Bold prediction: Jones' streak of consecutive games with a touchdown will end at five, but quarterback Aaron Rodgers will more than make up for it. It won't be a six-TD game like his only previous career start in Houston (in 2012), but look for Rodgers to get back on track after the abysmal showing at Tampa Bay last weekend. -- Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Texans running back David Johnson has 350 rushing yards and three rushing scores this season, more than he had in all of the 2019 season. But he is still currently sitting at 25 straight games without a 100-yard rushing outing.

Injuries: Packers | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Jones has been a top-15 running back in all five of his games this season, and after the Henry experience last weekend, the Texans are allowing the third-most points to fantasy running backs this season. See Week 7 rankings.

Betting nugget: Green Bay has covered five consecutive games following a loss (3-0 ATS under coach Matt LaFleur). Read more.

Demovsky's pick: Packers 31, Texans 24

Barshop's pick: Packers 35, Texans 31

FPI prediction: GB, 57.9% (by an average of 2.8 points)

Matchup must-reads: Karaoke, trivia and frat parties: Tales of Rodgers' inner weirdness ... For Texans to win in 2020, it likely will have to be a shootout ... Barnes, Love continue their role reversals with Packers ... "One out of five" dud games doesn't define 4-1 Packers to Rodgers ... Time running out for J.J. Watt to achieve ultimate goal in Houston