If Chubb is not available. They have to trade down right?— JR Johnson (@thatplacejr) January 27, 2018
Mike Wells: I think there’s a pretty chance that NC State defensive lineman Bradley Chubb will still be on the board when the Indianapolis Colts draft at No. 3 overall. That’s because the Cleveland Browns and the New York Giants, the teams with the top two picks, both need quarterbacks for the present or the future.
The bigger concern -- if you want to call it that -- is that the Colts might not be in the position to choose between Chubb and Penn State running back Saquon Barkley at No. 3. Indianapolis needs help at pass-rusher and running back, particularly with Frank Gore being a free agent and the fact that he'll be 35 next season.
Why do I say that?
Because what happens if the Browns, who have the first pick, take Barkley at No. 1 and then use the No. 4 pick, which they acquired from Houston last year, on a quarterback knowing the Colts aren’t going to use their pick on a signal-caller? What if the Browns go that route because they feel the top two quarterbacks -- UCLA’s Josh Rosen and Wyoming's Josh Allen -- are pretty even and they know one of them will still be on the board at No. 4? Going with Barkley would eliminate the possibility of having to wait and see if the Colts are going to take him at No. 3. It could end up being a win-win situation at running back and quarterback for the Browns.
As far as trading down goes, I think it’s safe to say anything is possible for the Colts. That could be the case if general manager Chris Ballard feels confident he could still land Chubb by trading back a couple of spots to acquire more draft picks. Or if Ballard has his eyes on another player he knows will be available if Indianapolis moves back some spots.
Here’s what Ballard told Colts.com during Senior Bowl preparations this week about having the third pick.
“Well, look, you get a chance to get a very good player at No. 3. Do I want to be there ever again? No. It’s the first time I’ve been this high in the draft, I think, since  when I was in Chicago,” Ballard told the website. “So we don’t want to get that high again. But, saying that, we’ve got to take advantage of the situation. We think there’s some very talented players at the top of the draft we’ll have a shot to get.”