KANSAS CITY, Mo. -- Their five-game losing streak has dropped the Kansas City Chiefs into the middle of the discussion about the No. 1 overall draft pick.
So the Chiefs are squarely in the race for the No. 1 overall pick. As of now, they would pick no worse than fourth. The other 1-5 teams are the Lions, Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, none of which needs a quarterback quite like the Chiefs do.
So if this is the scenario that develops and the Chiefs wind up picking fourth, there’s a chance that the top quarterback in the draft, as of now California’s Jared Goff, falls to Kansas City.
Goff is the third-rated player and the top quarterback on ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr.’s latest Big Board.
ESPN Analytics suggests the Chiefs will have the 11th pick after having a final record of 6-10. Six wins for the Chiefs sounds optimistic at this point. They’ll have to win five of their last 10 games.
ESPN Analytics has the Chiefs with a 3.2 percent chance to have the draft’s top pick, a 21.7 percent chance to pick in the top five and a 50.7 percent chance to pick in the top 10.
For what it’s worth, ESPN Analytics has the Chiefs with a 5.2 percent chance to make the playoffs and a 1.3 percent chance to win the AFC West.
The Chiefs have a 48 percent chance to beat Pittsburgh on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. That also sounds high even if the Steelers have to go with their third-string quarterback, Landry Jones.