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Bad news for Chiefs in Todd McShay tier rankings

One of the best things about analyst Todd McShay's tier rankings is they provide a general idea of what players might be available at certain areas of the draft.

McShay’s final tier rankings are not good news for the Kansas City Chiefs. He has only 22 players in his top three tiers, which includes all of those he believes are deserving to be drafted in the first round.

The Chiefs have the 28th pick, so unless one or more of the 22 players drops, the Chiefs will be taking someone who at least in McShay’s estimation is a second-round talent.

McShay’s fourth tier contains 16 players, those he has rated from 23 to 38 overall. He describes this group of players this way: “Would rather not reach for these prospects late in the first round, but they're good value picks in the first half of Round 2.’’

That doesn’t mean the Chiefs necessarily agree with McShay’s rankings. But it’s reasonable to think the Chiefs will probably be picking from a group of players similar to those listed by McShay.

His Tier 4 players include three cornerbacks (Florida Vernon Hargreaves, Ohio State’s Eli Apple and Miami’s Artie Burns), two safeties (West Virginia’s Karl Joseph and Ohio State’s Vonn Bell), five defensive lineman (Louisiana Tech’s Vernon Butler, Mississippi State’s Chris Jones, Clemson’s Kevin Dodd, Mississippi’s Robert Nkemdiche and Alabama’s A’Shawn Robinson), a tight end (Arkansas’ Hunter Henry), an offensive tackle (Texas A&M’s Germain Ifedi), a center (Alabama’s Ryan Kelly), an outside linebacker (Boise State’s Kamalei Correa) and a quarterback (Memphis’ Paxton Lynch).

No guarantees, certainly, that the Chiefs will get to pick from all those players. But there’s a decent chance their No. 1 pick will come from that group.

The Chiefs’ second-round pick is No. 59 overall. McShay has 46 players in his Tier 6, which includes pick 59. He says of these players, “These players are third-round prospects. They could develop into solid starters, but they either have limited upside or come with a higher element of risk than players worth drafting in the first two rounds.’’

His 59th-rated player is Kansas State guard Cody Whitehair.