Bill Belichick dismisses early weather forecasts

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. -- Patriots coach Bill Belichick probably doesn’t have friends who are meteorologists, and if he did, he probably offended them when he discussed how weather forecasts factor into football games.

“If I did my job the way they do theirs, I’d be here about a week,” Belichick said during his Friday morning news conference.

Belichick meant no disrespect to local meteorologists.

“Look, I’m not saying I could do it better than them, I’m just saying they’re wrong a lot,” Belichick said. “That’s a fact. They are wrong a lot. We all make mistakes. I’m not being critical of them. I’m just saying I don’t think you go based on that.”

When the Patriots take on the Broncos at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, the high is expected to be 44 degrees with a 50 percent of rain, according to Weather.com. But, the winds could be the biggest factor at 22 mph from the North-Northwest with gusts up to 40 mph.

“It is what it is,” Belichick said. “You know as well as I do that it starts one way and changes during the game. So we have to be ready for whatever it is. But in my experience of going with a forecast in this area two days before a game, I would bet a lot that they are wrong just based on history because they are almost always wrong.”

If anyone is used to poor weather conditions, it’s Belichick and the Patriots.

“When you play in New England you have to be ready for everything,” Belichick said. “Based on the forecasts that we have gotten so far this year, none of them were very close to what the game conditions were. There was a 100 percent chance of rain last week and the only water I saw was on the Gatorade table.”

When the temperature drops, quarterback Tom Brady is at his best. Brady is 42-6 with a completion percentage of 63.2 percent with 88 touchdowns and 32 interceptions in games played with temperatures below 40 degrees. And when the temperature drops below freezing, Brady’s record is a staggering 25-5.

Meanwhile, Brady’s rival, Peyton Manning, is just 8-11 with a 62-percent completion percentage with 30 touchdowns to 23 interceptions in games below 40 degrees. Manning’s record drops to 4-7 when the temperature drops below freezing.

With kickoff temperatures expected in the low 40s, the temperature will drop as the game goes on, as it is a 4:25 p.m. start time. And that could bode well for New England.

Belichick said he doesn’t look into the forecast until just prior to kickoff.

“An hour before the game, maybe,” Belichick said. “There might be something to work with there. If you start game-planning for what the weather is going to be, you gameplan wrong and you’ve wasted a lot of time.”

Considering that Belichick won’t be listening to any meteorologists’ forecast prior to kickoff, Belichick isn’t expecting any curveballs with the weather.

“I don’t think we are going to see anything out there we haven’t practiced in,” Belichick said.