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QB Paxton Lynch fading, others emerging on Jets' draft board

The Jets have been thought to be a possible landing spot for Paxton Lynch for weeks, but that scenario seems less and less likely. Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Finally, it's draft day, the NFL's version of Christmas morning.

The New York Jets, picking 20th, probably won't be on the clock until 10 p.m. ET or so, which means another 15 hours of rumors and speculation. Here's what I'm hearing:

1. Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch is the player most commonly linked to the Jets in mock drafts (including by me in the televised NFL Nation mock draft on Tuesday night), but I no longer believe that will happen. I received late information on Lynch, and the sense I get is the organization has concerns about his maturity and ability to adjust to a pro-style offense. There's a lot of smoke leading up to the draft, and sometimes it takes a while to see through it.

2. If the Jets use one of their six picks on a quarterback, it could be Penn State's Christian Hackenberg. Yeah, I know, he was mediocre at best over the last two seasons, but I hear the Jets like him. I spoke to officials from two other teams and they, too, made positive comments about him. He'd be an absolute reach at 20, but there's a good chance he'll go in the second round. By the Jets? We'll see.

3. The Jets' No. 1 need is outside linebacker. As one AFC scout told me, "The one thing they're still missing on defense is an edge rusher. They can play the run and rush from the inside, but they need someone on the edge who can win in one-on-one situations." The top edge rushers figure to be gone by 20. Too bad, because Georgia's Leonard Floyd would be a nice fit in the Jets' 3-4 scheme. I'm told they like Boise State's Kamalei Correa, widely projected as a late first or early second-round pick. He'd be a reach at 20; he'd be a better value in a trade-down scenario.

4. They could be targeting a wide receiver at 20, according to the NFL Network. As I noted last week, a wide receiver could come into play if general manager Mike Maccagnan drafts strictly based on best-player-available, which he says he does. At first glance, it's not a pressing need because Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker form one of the better tandems in the league, but take a closer look. The Jets employ a three-receiver base offense and use more four-receiver packages than any team. Beyond Marshall and Decker, the talent is average. Also remember that Marshall is 32 years old. If they pick Ole Miss' Laquon Treadwell or TCU's Josh Doctson, both of whom fit the Jets' profile from a size standpoint, it would be an indictment of Devin Smith (ACL surgery), last year's second-round pick.

5. The top four offensive tackles and top edge rushers figure to be gone at 20. If Maccagnan sticks to his BPA philosophy, the pick could be a receiver, a cornerback or Alabama inside linebacker Reggie Ragland. The corners would be Ohio State's Eli Apple and Houston's William Jackson III. A corner or receiver would have a chance to see significant playing time from Day 1.