Breaking down the New York Jets' roster, unit by unit, in preparation for training camp:
Projected starter: Ryan Fitzpatrick
Notable on the bubble: Bryce Petty
Top storyline: It's the same storyline from June, May, April, March and February: Will Fitzpatrick re-sign? It's not a stretch to say the outcome could be season altering. Common sense suggests Fitzpatrick and the Jets are meant to be together and a deal will be struck by the start of camp or shortly thereafter, but smart people in the know offer a hint of caution, indicating it's not a fait accompli. The Jets have been offering three years and $24 million, including $12 million in the first year. They should sweeten the second year, providing Fitzpatrick financial protection in the event he remains the starter in 2017. Jets general manager Mike Maccagnan is on a roll after re-signing Muhammad Wilkerson; he needs to make it happen with Fitzpatrick.
Player to watch: Smith earned praise from the Jets as the nominal starter in the offseason, but some of that could've been posturing. We'll know how they really feel about him by the way they approach the Fitzpatrick negotiations. If Fitzpatrick doesn't return, it's important that Smith maintain his momentum from the spring. He was having a nice camp last year, until he got popped in the face by IK Enemkpali; now we'll see if can recapture his pre-JawGate form. He won't be happy if he goes back to the No. 2 role -- nor should he be -- but that's life on the Jets. He would have to suck it up and be the good soldier for one more year. He's a free agent after this season.
Training camp will be a success if ... Fitzpatrick shows up in time to claim the starting job, Smith slides gracefully into the backup job and no one gets hurt on the field or in the locker room.
Wild card: Could all four quarterbacks make the 53-man roster? Yeah, it's possible, according to Maccagnan. It would be an unorthodox way to build a roster, but the Jets are trying to cover themselves for the short term and long term. If there's an odd man out, it would be Petty, who needs to rally after a mediocre offseason performance. Hackenberg, drafted in the second round, is the new golden child. If Fitzpatrick returns, however, practice reps will be hard to come by for Hackenberg and Petty.
By the numbers: Fitzpatrick helps the offense in many ways, but throwing downfield isn't one of them. He completed only 21.5 percent of passes that traveled at least 20 yards in the air, ranking 33rd in the NFL, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. It was a significant drop from his 2013-2014 mark with the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans -- a combined 43.6 percent, which ranked third. In case you're wondering, Smith hit on 38.2 percent of such passes in 2013-2014.