McShay's latest mock: Phil to Jets

Todd McShay's latest mock draft is up on ESPN.com (Insider content), and -- no surprise -- he has the Jets selecting Baylor NT Phil Taylor at No. 30. In this mock, McShay has Arizona DE/OLB Brooks Reed off the board at 21 to the Chiefs. Another player on the Jets' radar, UCLA OLB Akeem Ayers, lasts to 32 for the Packers.

McShay's take, with different scenarios:

Scenario 1: Taylor is the kind of massive nose tackle (334 pounds) who can eat up space and be a centerpiece in New York's 3-4 defense.

Scenario 2: Take the best available pass-rusher, whether that's Reed or Georgia's Justin Houston, or move back and target someone like (Pitt's Jabaal) Sheard.

Scenario 3: If (Iowa's Adrian) Clayborn or (Ohio State's Cam) Heyward is available upgrading at the 5-technique is also an option.

MY ANALYSIS: I agree with scenario 1. In scenario 2, I think Houston would be a poor choice. Scouts tell me he's a second-round prospect due, in large part, to his hot and cold motor. Sheard could be a sleeper for the Jets. He was the Big East Defensive Player of the Year and has the measurables to play OLB. Most projections, though, have him in the second round. I'm not buying scenario 3. Clayborn is a bad fit in the 3-4, and his shoulder condition is a concern. Heyward is a solid player, but I can't see the Jets investing a first-round pick on a 5-technique that would only be a first- and second-down run stuffer.