Pace Law School in White Plains, New York, won the sixth annual Tulane National Baseball Arbitration Competition in New Orleans in 2013. This week, Dan Masi (Pace ’14), Steven Stieglitz (Pace ’16), W. Paul Alvarez (Pace ’16) and Bryan Kelly (Pace ’17) offer their salary projections for the New York Mets‘ arbitration-eligible players, including detailed analyses for Matt Harvey, Lucas Duda, Jeurys Familia and Addison Reed.
The Pace Law arbitration team is using the same methods agents and team officials employ.
On the fifth and final day, here is a roundup of other arbitration-eligible Mets.
Ruben Tejada -- previous salary: $1.88 million
The shortstop was enjoying another season of improved output in 2015 before suffering a fractured fibula in his right leg on a late slide from Chase Utley during the National League Division Series. Still shy of his 2011-12 production, Tejada batted .261 with three homers and 28 RBIs in 116 games. Using Emilio Bonifacio in 2013 and Cliff Pennington in 2014 as comps, he would be expected to earn a raise of about $700,000 on his 2015 salary, to a total of $2.58 million. However, the total salary would most likely exceed his value on the open market. Contributing a WAR of only 1.0, he is too expensive compared to the value he brings. Prediction: Non-tender
Jenrry Mejia -- previous salary: $2.595 million
The right-hander twice tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs in 2015 and, if tendered, should receive the same salary as the previous year based on minimal stats. (He would only receive a prorated portion for the time he is active, with his 162-game suspension due to run into late July.) The Mets will have to decide whether to keep Mejia on the roster. However, retaining the team's best reliever from the 2014 season on a relatively cheap salary could be an easy boost to the bullpen. Prediction: $2.595 million
Carlos Torres -- previous salary: $582,125
Torres provided adequate cover in the Mets bullpen in 2015. Entering his first year of salary arbitration, the right-hander will see a modest raise. Appearing in 59 games, Torres pitched to a 4.68 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. However, his advanced metrics suggest he actually performed much better. Contributing a 0.4 WAR, he is only slightly better than the fictional replacement player. Look to Chris Resop in 2011 ($850,000) as a comparable player. Prediction: $875,000
Josh Edgin -- previous salary: $520,625
Edgin missed the 2015 season while recovering from Tommy John surgery performed in March. Still, he was coming off a 2014 season with a 1.32 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. With a K/9 of 9.2 and BB/9 of 2.0 that season, Edgin held opponents' bats in check. However, his injury, lack of career workload and role as a lefty specialist will suppress his value. Prediction: $600,000