NFC West game changers (almost forgot)

The weekly item breaking out the most pivotal plays from NFC West games would normally appear by Tuesday. All these Thursday night games must be throwing off my internal clock.

Patrick Peterson's 80-yard touchdown on a punt return for Arizona against St. Louis ranked third on the list for Week 12.

The play seemed more pivotal than the 17.1 percent shift in win probability would suggest. That could be because those of us watching knew the Rams' limitations on offense would make it tougher for them to rebound.

Win probability, while taking into account how similar plays in similar situations affected previous outcomes, is not specific to an individual game or opponent.

The chart breaks out the five most pivotal plays from Week 12 games involving NFC West teams.


2011 NFC West Game Changers: Week 12