Of the three RFAs, my gut feeling says Benn will be the first of the three to sign. But that’s not sure thing.
I just don’t think they’re that far apart.
Look no further than the obvious comparables to see which deals are influencing this negotiation:
• John Tavares, six years, $33 million ($5.5 million average)
• Evander Kane, six years, $31.5 million ($5.25 million cap hit)
• Phil Kessel, five years, $27 million ($5.4 million cap hit)
Those are good comparisons because Benn is also coming off an entry-level contract and is a key offensive force on his team, just like those three players.
First off, the Benn camp won’t do six years. So there’s that. Benn has moved though from wanting three years to now being willing do to five years.
My guess is if the Stars were willing to sign off on something just north financially of the Kessel deal, then a deal will be done.
Also keep in mind, Benn's entry-level deal didn’t have any bonus money. So you can understand his desire to get paid now.
Meanwhile, the Subban and O’Reilly fronts are still very much in stalemate.
Colorado, I believe, has offered a two-year, $7 million deal to O’Reilly, which is the same deal teammate Matt Duchene signed. But O’Reilly led the team in scoring last season and that offer won’t cut it. He remains in the KHL, where he’s making good money, tax-free, so he’s got that leverage.
In Montreal, meanwhile, status quo on the Subban situation. There has been nothing there for a while between both sides. The offensive blue-liner wants a long-term deal while the Habs want to do a two-year contract. So until that philosophical divide is overcome, this thing isn’t going anywhere.
Leverage points: the Habs power play on opening night was brutal, which helped P.K.’s case.
Bergevin insists he’s not going to trade Subban but one can’t help but wonder if this thing drags on too long if he’ll have to reconsider.
One thing is clear, Montreal’s insistence on doing a short-term deal signals that the Habs just aren’t sure about what they have in Subban just quite yet.
As Luongo Waits
Eyebrows were raised Tuesday when veteran Vancouver Sun columnist Cam Cole quoted Canucks GM Mike Gillis saying there’s essentially a trade that could happen with an unidentified NHL team, but it depends on that team being able to move a player first.
Gillis confirmed the same in an email to ESPN.com Tuesday.
All I know is that that team is not Toronto, which remains the most logical destination, no matter what anybody says, given Toronto’s goalie issues. The Leafs and Canucks have had on-again, off-again dialogue since last June, although there’s been a detente in talks of late as both teams wait out the other early in this season, hoping wins and losses will change the leverage in that conversation.
And what of Philadelphia? My guess is that the Flyers’ only interest in Luongo would come in the summer and that’s only if A) Luongo is still in Vancouver and B) Ilya Bryzgalov had another brutal season. If Bryzgalov hasn’t rebounded, it wouldn’t shock me to see Philly use a compliance buyout on the goalie (which doesn’t count vs. the cap) and then try to trade for Luongo. A lot of ifs there and we’re talking about months from now. So much can happen in between, not the least of which is Bryzgalov having a good season and staying in Philadelphia, and Vancouver moving Luongo elsewhere during the season.
In the meantime, Luongo has been the ultimate pro about it all, waiting patiently for this to figure itself out.
For the Canucks, they are trying to get something in return that helps further their cause as a contender right now. And Canucks management shared that sentiment with Luongo last weekend, explaining that they’re trying to get something in return for him that will help his teammates in Vancouver take another run at the Cup.
So far, the Canucks have been offered good pieces, just not the right ones.
And so the waiting continues. This is a deal that could honestly get done this week, next week, next month or next summer. Be ready for anything.
Team Canada For Sochi
I traded emails with Team Canada GM Steve Yzerman on Tuesday, wondering about when he would announce his coaching staff for the Sochi Games.
Yzerman said he would wait until the NHL commits players to Sochi 2014 before announcing his coaching staff. Makes sense, of course.
Another source told ESPN.com that the Team Canada management staff hasn’t decided yet who for sure would be part of the staff. There has been internal discussion but no final decisions made.
Certainly, reigning Olympic gold medal coach Mike Babcock remains the favorite.
But there are certainly a lot of names you can throw in the mix as you figure out who could be part of the staff.
Dave Tippett, Claude Julien, Barry Trotz, Alain Vigneault, Todd McLellan, Ken Hitchcock and the list goes on an on, Canada has no shortage of quality coaches to choose from.
Senators Still Looking
Off to a quick 2-0 start, the Senators still feel they need more depth on the blue-line despite the solid play of rookie defensemen Patrick Wiercioch and Andre Benoit, who have dressed as the third pairing.
But veteran GM Bryan Murray says he’ll continue to make phone calls, even if so far those calls have produced very little.
"Not much has presented itself. I’ve talked to a number of teams and I hear the same story from a number of general managers -- everybody is looking for depth on the blue-line," Murray told ESPN.com Tuesday. "I don’t know that there will be many quick deals made at this point. But that’s not to say we’re not talking. We’ll look and if we can find somebody that upgrades us, we will. We’d got Lundin coming back at some point, so we’re not in a panic, but if we can get a more experienced guy, we’re certainly going to pursue it."
Lundin is getting the pins removed from his finger later this week.
"And he needs a couple of weeks after that, I think," said Murray.
Out in Los Angeles, the Kings are also one of the many teams on the lookout for help on defense and that was even before losing Matt Greene to a long-term injury.
L.A. was among the teams that pressed hard in an effort to land Wade Redden last week but lost out to St. Louis.
If the Kings ever trade Jonathan Bernier, and there’s no guarantee they will, they’ll be getting a defenseman as part of the deal.
Two early-season contract extensions tell you that some agents are wisely weary of what next season might have in store for players in the form of escrow payments.
Each of the new extensions for Alexander Edler and Travis Zajac have compensation in the first season of the deal (2013-14), the lowest of any in the contract. This is because there’s fear escrow might be at its highest next season as the salary cap drops to $64.3 million, down from the $70.2 million teams can spend this season.
Edler’s new deal is worth an average of $5 million per season but his actual compensation next season is $3.25 million. It jumps to $6 million from 2015-16 through 2017-18 before dropping to $4.5 million in the last season.
Zajac, as I wrote last week, begins at $3.5 million next season in a deal that pays him an average of $5.75 million per season.
Smart moves by the agents in question, Kurt Overhardt (Zajac) and Mark Stowe (Edler).
Both are valued power forwards in the NHL and both are slated to be UFAs July 5.
The Sharks, I hear, have had preliminary talks with Clowe. Nothing yet between Clarkson and the Devils.