Who's going to win? Week 14 Pac-10 picks

Went 4-0 last week to improve to 54-17 for the season.

Clearly, I've blown all my luck before my annual Vegas trip.

Oregon 31, Oregon State 28: Obviously, since I’ve been projecting Oregon in the Rose Bowl for weeks, I’ve been favoring the Duck. They have been the most consistently good team in the Pac-10 this season, and my feeling is they’d have a pretty fair shot against any team in the country. But this isn’t any team. It’s Mike Riley’s Beavers. There’s a pang in my gut that whispers upset. But not enough of one (and that may just be a bad breakfast burrito). I will say that if this game isn’t close, I’ll be surprised (and disappointed after all the build-up).

USC 24, Arizona 20: If Wildcats quarterback Nick Foles were healthy -- that non-throwing hand injury certainly bothered him vs. Arizona State -- and running back Nic Grigsby were starting, I’d pick Arizona. But that poor second half vs. the Sun Devils is stuck in my craw. And USC in the Coliseum remains hard to pick against.

California 35, Washington 21: The Bears have steadily -- and quietly -- risen in the Pac-10 since suffering those embarrassing consecutive losses to Oregon and USC. It seems like things are clicking on both sides of the ball, and the Bears certainly have the athleticism on defense to handle a scrambling Jake Locker. Moreover, Cal seems to have an advantage coming off a bye week while the Huskies might not be focused after winning the Apple Cup last weekend.