Wentz being let down from the outside
“Absolutely," Carson Wentz responded when asked if he still has confidence in his receivers following another rocky offensive performance Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks. "Down the stretch there I think they all made some really good plays. I see them in practice. I'm throwing to them every day. I see what they can do. I know they can get open, I know they can make plays. Drops happen. Mistakes happen. I've just got to encourage those guys to keep working."
The numbers, however, show that whatever confidence Wentz does have in the outside receivers has not been well-earned.
The hit rate has been good with slot receiver Jordan Matthews. Wentz is completing 66 percent of his throws to Matthews with three touchdowns to no interceptions for a 103.1 quarterback rating, per ESPN Stats & Information. Similarly, he has a 73 percent completion rate when targeting tight end Zach Ertz and a 70 percent mark with fellow tight end Brent Celek.
Those stats dip to 56 percent with a touchdown and three interceptions (almost half his total picks) when going in the direction of Nelson Agholor. Dorial Green-Beckham believes he needs to be targeted more, but Wentz is completing just a touch over half of his passes when trying to connect with him.
In total, the rookie is just 52-of-98 (53 percent) with three touchdowns to six interceptions when throwing to his current group of outside receivers.
Wentz suffers from the third-worst drop percentage in the NFL at 6.2 percent. Agholor (8.3 percent) and Green-Beckham (6.8 percent) are both among the league-leaders in drop rates.
The Eagles skill-position players are also tops in the NFL in offensive pass interference. Green-Beckham has three -- good for second-most in the league.
Speaking of flags, the Eagles are fourth in the NFL with 83 accepted penalties on the season. Veteran left tackle Jason Peters leads the league with seven false starts and is tops on the team with nine penalties in all. Jason Kelce is next with eight whistles (five for holding). Cornerback Nolan Carroll II is tied for first in the league with five defensive pass interference infractions.
A reason for hope
Despite sitting at the bottom of a competitive NFC East, the 5-5 Eagles still have a 40.5 percent chance of making the playoffs, per Football Outsiders. They have been dominant at home, and with four of the final six at Lincoln Financial Field, the oddsmakers seem to think the Eagles can make it interesting down the stretch.
Their chances of actually making some noise in the postseason, though, are going way down. Following a 3-0 start, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook put the odds of the Eagles making it to the Super Bowl at 20-1. Reality has since set in, and the Eagles are now 100-1 to make it to Houston.