The San Diego Chargers are still short-handed, with several front-line players nursing injuries. At some point that is going to catch up them. San Diego faces a solid Kansas City Chiefs team playing well coming out of their bye week, so they will be well-rested.
Kansas City's Andy Reid is one of the best coaches in the NFL at devising innovative schemes to give his team an advantage, and he's had two weeks to prepare. The Chiefs do a good job of running the football with Jamaal Charles and Knile Davis, and the Chargers struggled to defend the run last week against Oakland.
The Chiefs will figure out a way to bottle up Branden Oliver and put enough pressure on Philip Rivers to get him off of the field on third down. The Chiefs are No. 4 in the NFL in third-down defense (34.4 percent).
These games between the Chargers and Chiefs are usually close, with four of the last six games decided by three points or fewer. We'll see another close one on Sunday. But after winning five straight, San Diego hits a bump in the road.
My prediction: Chiefs 24, Chargers 23