NFL playoffs: Can Ravens defense keep Titans' Derrick Henry in check?

No. 5 Ravens at No. 4 Titans

Sunday, 1:05 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC

Matchup rating: 84.5 | Spread: BAL -3 (54.5)

What to watch for: Titans running back Derrick Henry has been a thorn in the Ravens' side. Henry rushed for 195 yards in the divisional-round playoff game last season and 133 yards -- including a 29-yard touchdown run in overtime to seal the victory -- against them this season. Baltimore will be focused on keeping Henry in check, so keep an eye on how Tennessee offensive coordinator Arthur Smith counters. -- Turron Davenport

Bold prediction: Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson will throw four touchdown passes. He has totaled three in two career playoff games combined (both losses), but the Titans gave up 36 touchdowns through the air this season, which is tied for the most ever by a playoff team. -- Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: According to research by the Elias Sports Bureau, the Ravens' 1,337 rushing yards over their past five games is the most by any team in a five-game span since the Super Bowl era began in 1966. They had 3,071 rushing yards this season, the fourth most in a season in NFL history, one year after setting an NFL record with 3,296. But none of top five teams in single-season rushing yards won a playoff game that season.

Injuries: Ravens | Titans

Matt Bowen's game key: We know that Henry is going to get his touches Sunday. But if a team wants to beat Tennessee, it has to take away the big-play ability of the play-action passing game with quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Watch out for outside-zone looks with wide receiver A.J. Brown running the in-breakers. Read more.

Betting nugget: The Titans have failed to cover consecutive games when the over/under is 50-plus after opening the season 6-2 ATS in such spots. Read more.

Hensley's pick: Ravens 31, Titans 23

Davenport's pick: Titans 28, Ravens 24

FPI prediction: BAL, 62.7% (by an average of 4.3 points)

Matchup must-reads: Remember the Titans? Ravens not thinking about past in playoff rematch ... How Titans' Henry can withstand a heavy workload to keep delivering ... Jackson's titanic hurdle: Capturing that elusive playoff win for the Ravens ... Titans have had Jackson's number, but can this defense stop him? ... How to watch Ravens-Titans wild-card MegaCast