Matching wits with Manning

Tedy: You have to match wits with the mind that a quarterback like Manning has, to be able to take control at the line of scrimmage like he does. If you give him the answers to the equation pre-snap, and you just stand there, he will switch the play to the best possible play that has the highest possible percentage of being successful against that defense. For example, if you have only six men in the box -- because Peyton has you spread out with those Colts-like formations -- he's going to run the ball. In this case, that means Willis McGahee is going to get the handoff. Once that gets established, you might see a defense bring a safety down to help that, as the Steelers did in the season opener with Troy Polamalu. When that happens, Manning switches to a pass play. With the passing game -- one-deep, a two-shell look with two safeties high -- there are certain answers to those types of defenses that Manning knows. With two-deep, try to attack the middle of the field in that Cover 2. In Cover 3, attack the outsides. It's things like that, reading your leverage pre-snap. You can't give Manning that because he'll tell his receiver what to play. If it's obvious man coverage, he'll run that tear screen that Pierre Garcon ran, that Reggie Wayne ran, and now Demaryius Thomas is running. So you just can't show him the same thing every time.

Mike: I think these types of chess matches often bring out the best in Bill Belichick from a coaching perspective. With so much focus on Manning, you want to highlight another offensive player as the key. Explain, if you will.

Tedy: I think the key, if you want to stop Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense, is shutting down McGahee (69 carries, 325 yards, 4.7 avg., 3 TDs). You have to stop the run. Whatever focus you have on coverage and disguise, those six players in the box, they have to be able to handle the running game. That's something we used to tell ourselves during the week -- 'If we don't stop the run, we are in trouble.' We didn't want to have to bring down a safety to help in the running game. So if you can't stop McGahee, the defense is going to have a long day.

Mike: So basically, the question is whether the sub defense can stop the run. Sounds like a Vince Wilfork type of game. He can be a force as a defensive tackle, and he'll be in there with Kyle Love, Chandler Jones, Rob Ninkovich, Jerod Mayo and Brandon Spikes in the sub. They did a pretty good job against the Bills in this area, specifically to end the first drive of the game. In terms of the Broncos' passing game, Thomas and Eric Decker are top targets.

Tedy: Especially Thomas, who is a big run-after-the-catch guy. That's something the Patriots have struggled with at times this year -- just straight-up tackling and missing tackles they should make. You remember the Dennis Pitta touchdown in the Ravens game. They'll have to tackle. Against the Raiders, the majority of Manning's passes flew barely 5 yards in the air, according to ESPN's Stats & Information. But the catch-and-runs were big. A big part of that is where Peyton places the ball. He's so accurate and puts it where they can catch it in stride and run away from the defenders. You also have to realize that they know they have run that tear screen to Thomas often this year. I'm sure they scout themselves. As a defense, you have to beware of possible adjustments they are going to make. What I'm saying is watch out for the fake tear screen coupled with a go route.

Mike: In terms of storylines, a notable one this week comes with former Patriots center Dan Koppen (2003-11) making his first start for the Broncos after J.D. Walton broke his ankle last week.

Tedy: "Kope" was a member of this Patriots team as recently as five weeks ago. I don't know how much change has happened with the offensive line and Tom Brady's audibles in that time. So Kope could give them information on that. As for Kope playing, you wonder how much familiarity there is between him and Manning. You know they're working on it all week, but once you break the huddle and Koppen has all of his calls, Peyton is going to change them in a snap based on what he sees from the defense. Koppen is a smart guy, and he'll get things lined up that put the protection in the right places, but it's still new. From a Patriots perspective, it will be different to see.

Mike: What type of teammate was Koppen?

Tedy: I spent a lot of time with Kope. He's a great golfer. One of his claims to fame in the locker room was beating Brady in backgammon. Those offensive linemen are the tightest group in the locker room, and that was the case with Koppen, Logan Mankins and Matt Light. They'd be pulling up a chair in the locker room and setting up the backgammon board and Brady would come over. It was competitive, and more often than not, Koppen would hand it to him. That center-quarterback relationship was great. I'm sure it's going to be a strange experience for Koppen, coming back so soon.

Mike: Let's look at the Broncos' defense, under first-year coordinator Jack Del Rio, and some of the key areas for the Patriots' offense in this matchup.

Tedy: I think it's about the running game for the Patriots once again. They're going to have to get it going like they did against the Bills. The Broncos have an active, fast defense with a unique pressure package. You can take out all that speed and pass-rushing ability with a strong running game, just like the Patriots did to the Bills in totaling 247 rushing yards. You run right at them, and I see the Patriots doing the same thing against Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller, two guys who are exceptional pass-rushers. I think this new balance that the Patriots have is the key to taking advantage of the Broncos' defense.

Mike: In the passing game, cornerback Champ Bailey, now in his 14th season, is still getting it done. He had some good matchups in practice against Brandon Lloyd when they were together with the Broncos, and perhaps now they could square off as one of the key individual matchups in this game.

Tedy: We'll see how the Denver coaching staff handles that. Does Bailey go on Lloyd? Does he beat up on Wes Welker? You also have cornerback Tracy Porter, and he's been making plays for them. This offense has a lot of respect for Bailey, so much so that the Patriots will game-plan away from him. So if he's on Lloyd, I wouldn't expect a lot of targets for Lloyd in the game. If there is anywhere to target in the defensive backfield, it's the safety position -- Mike Adams and Rahim Moore. I know Moore has had his struggles. Those are the types of matchups you look for on your inside receivers. That's where this defense looks a little vulnerable.

Mike: In terms of the Patriots' personnel, there are health questions in some key areas on offense. Rob Gronkowski is not 100 percent. It was notable that he was held out of practice Wednesday (hip). I'd still think he will play, but he's clearly battling through pain (he's listed on the injury report with a hip ailment). Fellow tight end Aaron Hernandez (foot) is likely to remain out. But Mankins, a four-time Pro Bowl left guard, was back at practice on a limited basis and has a chance to play. The offensive line came up big without him.

Tedy: They did a great job in the running game, hammering and getting angles on the Bills. In the passing game, Brady wasn't under duress. The line came together, and once again offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia deserves mention. He's one of the best coaches in the NFL. He's one of those guys who is behind the scenes and doesn't care about credit, but he gets this offensive line right.

Mike: In special teams, we'll keep an eye on Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski, who missed from 42 and 49 yards against the Bills. It's been an up-and-down start to the season for Gostkowski, who also missed a game-winning 42-yard attempt against the Cardinals.