Best bets for Week 5 college football games

SVP likes the underdogs in Week 5 (2:20)

Scott Van Pelt picks his winners for Week 5 of the college football season. (2:20)

Every Thursday during the season, Bill Connelly, Preston Johnson, Doug Kezirian and Phil Steele will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.

Here are their best bets for the second full week of the college football season:

Season ATS records:

Connelly: 10-2 (2-1 last week)
Kezirian: 15-7 (3-0 last week)
Johnson: 11-9 (3-1 last week)
Steele: 7-15 (1-4 last week)

Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.

Saturday's games

New Mexico Lobos at Liberty Flames (-7)

Connelly: Seven points? Are we sure this is the right line? My SP+ ratings give Liberty an 18.6-point edge. The Flames have recently caught fire offensively, scoring 35 points in a surprising blowout of Buffalo and putting up 62 on Hampton. The run game is improving, and receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden is one of the best in the country.

New Mexico's defense is closer to Hampton's than Buffalo's. The Lobos are 129th in defensive SP+ after giving up 66 points to Notre Dame and 52 to New Mexico State. The UNM offense is fun and explosive. Quarterback Tevaka Tuioti is averaging 22 yards per completion, and the run game is solid enough to keep play-action opportunities open. If the Lobos