NFL picks and best bets for Week 11: Cowboys cover, Seahawks offer value

Dak Prescott and the prolific Cowboys offense should be able to keep up with the Chiefs. Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Intro by Doug Kezirian

Riding a three-game win streak, are the Chiefs back as a juggernaut and Super Bowl contender? That is what many bettors and oddsmakers are asking themselves, and we should get a solid answer this Sunday when they host the Cowboys as 2.5-point favorites.

"We did open this game pick 'em, which would indicate in our opinion that Dallas is the better team because Kansas City gets a little bit of a bump with the game being at home," John Murray told ESPN, explaining the line prior to Kansas City's game in Las Vegas on Sunday night. "We reopened it with Kansas City as a 2.5-point favorite after the Chiefs' performance on Sunday night."

Many bookmakers expect this game to be the most heavily bet of the weekend. Early action indicates this will be fairly evenly bet, but the public will certainly back the over.

"You almost can't have a high enough number on a game like this," Murray said. "At some point you will see some resistance from the wise guys who will bet the under, but we haven't gotten there yet."

Kansas City covered last week against the Raiders but is still just 3-7 ATS this season. Dallas is 8-1 ATS, which is the league's second-best mark behind only Green Bay at 9-1.

Every Friday during the season, betting analysts Doug Kezirian (12-19-2, 0-1 last week), Tyler Fulghum (8-20, 0-1), Joe Fortenbaugh (34-23-1, 1-5) and Anita Marks (165-146, 13-24), Fantasy and Sports Betting analyst Eric Moody (79-60, 6-7), ESPN Stats & Information's Seth Walder (41-39, 3-2) and Mackenzie Kraemer (3-8, 1-1), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (21-17-1, 1-3) and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz (34-24, 1-4) will provide their top plays across the NFL landscape.

Here are their best bets for Week 11 of the NFL season.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Thursday (unless otherwise indicated).