Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Information revisits the worst of the bad beats from the weekend's gambling action.
Note: Closing lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and pick percentages are via Wunderdog sports.
Closing line: East Carolina minus-14
There was an even split of action on this game, and the 50 percent of bettors who took East Carolina are wishing that they had been on the other side. While the Pirates shut Tulsa out through three quarters, they couldn't stop them when it mattered in the fourth.
East Carolina led 23-0 entering the final quarter but allowed Tulsa to score the next 10 points, cutting its lead down to 13. The Pirates needed to respond if they were going to cover, and James Summers did just that. Summers' six-yard touchdown run put East Carolina up 20 with 1:23 left. All the Pirates needed to do was keep the Golden Hurricane out of the end zone.
That was easier said than done. Tulsa's Dane Evans had been held without a touchdown pass all game until he connected with Keyarris Garrett for a 47-yard score. That touchdown, along with Redford Jones' extra point, cost East Carolina backers the cover.
Final score: East Carolina 30, Tulsa 17 (Tulsa covers)
Closing line: TCU minus-21, Over/under 68.5
It seemed like the 22 percent of bettors who wagered on Iowa State and the 72 percent who bet on the over were on the right side. Unfortunately for them, the "right side" is not always the winning side.
The Cyclones led 21-14 in the first quarter and were covering by 28 points. Not only that, but it was looking like the total might go over in the first half. It didn't. The scoring slowed down in the second quarter, and TCU led 24-21 at halftime. Still, both Iowa State plus-21 and over-68.5 were looking good as the first half came to a close.
Iowa State drove into TCU territory on every one of its second-half possessions, but the Cyclones didn't score on any of them. The third-ranked Horned Frogs outscored Iowa State 21-0 after halftime, and the first quarter proved to be a tease for those who bet on either Iowa State or the over.
Final score: TCU 45, Iowa State 21 (TCU covers and game goes under)
Closing line: Over/under 51.5
After three quarters, Utah was in danger of being upset by Arizona State, and the 35 percent of bettors who took the under were feeling good. That all changed in the fourth quarter.
The fourth-ranked Utes took control of the game in the final 15 minutes, turning a four-point deficit into a nine-point lead. With Utah leading 27-18, the total was at 45 and those who bet on the under needed to avoid a late Arizona State touchdown. When the Sun Devils turned it over on downs with 1:33 left, it looked like that late touchdown would indeed be avoided.
All Utah had to do to run out the clock was to get a first down, but on third-and-five, Devontae Booker got well more than that -- taking it 62 yards to the house for a touchdown. It marked the second-longest rush of Booker's career. Andy Phillips nailed the extra point and the total went over by half a point.
Final score: Utah 34, Arizona State 18 (game goes over)
Closing line: Patriots minus-8.5
No game had more action on it than this Sunday Night tilt, with 82 percent of bettors taking the Patriots to cover. Why wouldn't you take New England in this spot? Not only had Andrew Luck never beaten the Patriots in four tries (including playoffs), but the Colts had also failed to cover in all of those games.
After trailing by one at halftime, the Patriots scored on their opening drive in the second half and took control of the game when Tom Brady hooked up with LeGarrette Blount for an 11-yard score early in the fourth. With just over three minutes left, the Patriots, leading by 13, needed just one more stop to preserve the cover.
New England had stymied the Colts' offense in the second half, having not allowed Indianapolis to score since the 2:38 mark of the second quarter. The Colts broke loose on their last drive of the game when Luck found Griff Whalen in the end zone with 1:19 left. Whalen's first touchdown since 2013 left New England backers feeling quite deflated.
Final score: Patriots 34, Colts 27 (Colts cover)