Some coaches consistently have their teams exceeding expectations in March. Others do not. Count John Beilein in the former group.
Beilein is 19-7 against the spread in the NCAA tournament, including 11-5 ATS at Michigan. The Wolverines are 2-point favorites over Oklahoma State in a first-round game Friday. Beilein has lost only once in 10 games as the favorite in the NCAA tournament since 2005.
The over/under on Oklahoma State-Michigan opened at 155.5, one of the highest of the opening round. The Cowboys and Wolverines each rank in the top five in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, per kenpom.com. Seven of Michigan's past nine games have gone over the total, with one push. However, Beilein has had a tendency to get involved in lower-scoring games than expected in the first round. In fact, all nine of Beilein's opening games in the NCAA tournament with posted over/unders have stayed under the total.
Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski is an impressive 90-26 straight up in the NCAA tournament since 1985, the year the field grew to 64 teams, but only 58-57-1 ATS. The Blue Devils are 21-28-1 ATS as double-digit favorites in the tournament under Krzyzewski. Duke is a 19-point favorite over Troy in an opening-round game Friday.
Under coach Bill Self, 26 of Kansas' past 36 NCAA Tournament games have stayed under the total.
Coach Sean Miller is 16-9 ATS in the NCAA tournament for his career but only 8-8 ATS at Arizona in the tournament. Miller went 8-1 ATS in the tournament while at Xavier.
Current Xavier coach Chris Mack is 9-3 ATS in the NCAA tournament.
Notre Dame's Mike Brey is 5-11 ATS in the NCAA tournament since 2005.
Here's a look how the coaches in this year's NCAA tournament have fared, against the spread and straight up, in the Big Dance: