The Green Bay Packers have covered seven straight games, tied with the Dallas Cowboys for the longest active streak in the NFL. But for that streak to continue, they will need to do it without Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay is now the first team with a winning percentage of at least .875 to be an underdog of at least seven points this late in the season since 2014.
The Cowboys have yet to taste defeat against the spread all season. Dallas puts that 7-0 ATS record on the line against the Denver Broncos. Teddy Bridgewater is 18-3 ATS in his career as a road underdog. If Dallas covers, it would be the first team to start 8-0 ATS since the 2007 New England Patriots.
The Tennessee Titans will be without Derrick Henry for the foreseeable future. Without Henry, the Titans are underdogs for the fourth consecutive game as they visit the Los Angeles Rams. Only three other teams in the Super Bowl era have won four straight games, all as at least a three-point underdog. Tennessee is 4-0 outright as an underdog this season.
Home teams: 5-9-1 ATS last week; 54-67-1 ATS this season (6-9 SU last week, 59-63 this season)
Favorites: 4-10-1 ATS last week; 54-67-1 ATS this season
Unders: 8-7 last week; 66-54-2 this season
Best teams ATS: Dallas (7-0), Green Bay (7-1), Tennessee (6-2), Arizona (6-2)
Worst teams ATS: Washington (1-7), Kansas City (2-6)
Best over teams: Los Angeles Rams (5-2-1), Dallas (5-2)
Best under teams: Seattle (6-1-1), Pittsburgh (5-1-1)
Teams favored in every game: Kansas City, Tampa Bay
Teams underdog in every game: Houston, Detroit, New York Jets
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5), Sunday, 1 ET
Cincinnati has covered 10 of its past 12 meetings with Cleveland including both meetings last season.
Cleveland is 0-7 ATS against divisional opponents since the start of last season.
Cleveland is 0-3 ATS against teams with winning records this season.
Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (-10), Sunday, 1 ET
Dallas is the only team in the NFL undefeated against the spread (7-0). Last season, Dallas failed to cover its first eight games of the season. Dallas is the fourth team in the last 20 seasons to start 7-0 ATS. The only better start in that span was by 2007 New England (started 8-0 ATS).
Denver is 0-3 ATS this season against teams with winning records.
Teddy Bridgewater is 18-3 ATS in his career as a road underdog.
Dak Prescott is 8-3-1 ATS in his career when favored by a touchdown or more.
Teddy Bridgewater is 7-1 ATS in his career when an underdog of a touchdown or more.
Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (-7), Sunday, 1 ET
Miami is the fifth team since the AFL/NFL merger with a 0.125 or worse win percentage to lay at least seven points in any game after Week 8, and the first to do so since 1976.
Miami has failed to cover five straight games.
Detroit, Houston and the Jets are the only three teams to not be favored in a game this season.
This is the second time Tua Tagovailoa has been favored by a touchdown or more in his career. He covered the only other instance.
This will be the eighth time that Houston has been an underdog of a touchdown or more this season, they are 3-4 ATS in that spot.
Miami has failed to cover at home this season (0-3 ATS), while Houston has failed to cover in each of its past three road games.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-6), Sunday, 1 ET
New Orleans has covered five of its past six against Atlanta.
Sean Payton is 2-0 ATS since the start of the 2019 season when starting a quarterback not named Drew Brees or Jameis Winston.
New Orleans is 26-12 ATS against divisional opponents since the start of the 2015 season, the best mark in the NFL.
Taysom Hill is 3-1 ATS and SU in his career as a starter. All three wins/covers, the game went under the total, while in his only career loss, the game went over the total.
Las Vegas Raiders (-3) at New York Giants, Sunday, 1 ET
Since the start of the 2018 season, New York is 5-16 ATS as a home underdog, the second-worst such mark in the NFL over that span.
New York is 1-5 ATS against AFC opponents since the start of last season.
Rich Bisaccia is 2-0 ATS as Las Vegas interim head coach this season.
New England Patriots (-3.5) at Carolina Panthers, Sunday, 1 ET
Carolina is 3-0 ATS when Christian McCaffrey plays and 1-4 ATS when he does not.
New England has gone over the total in four consecutive games.
Since Tom Brady left New England, Bill Belichick is 1-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Sam Darnold is 0-3 ATS in his career against Bill Belichick, all with the New York Jets. His teams scored a combined 17 points in the three losses. P.J. Walker won and covered his only start last season (beat Detroit as one-point home underdog, 20-0).
Buffalo Bills (-14.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, 1 ET
Buffalo is double-digit favorites for the second consecutive week. Buffalo hasn't been double-digit favorites in consecutive weeks since 1992, when they were double-digit favorites in four straight weeks.
This is also the first time that Buffalo has been double-digit road favorites since 2004.
This is the third time in Jacksonville history that it has been at least a 14-point home underdog. The largest upset in franchise history is as a 14-point road underdog against Denver in the 1996 Divisional Playoffs.
This is the third time that Buffalo has been favored by double-digits this season, tied with Tampa Bay for the most such instances in the NFL.
Buffalo has covered games by an average of +9.6 points per game, best in the NFL. Jacksonville has a -7.4 cover margin per game, second-worst in the NFL.
Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens (-6), Sunday, 1 ET
All three of Minnesota's road games have gone over the total this season.
Minnesota is 31-16-1 ATS following a straight-up loss under Mike Zimmer.
Baltimore is 9-4 ATS off of a bye under John Harbaugh.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, 4:05 ET
All three of Los Angeles's road games have gone under the total this season.
Jalen Hurts has never been a home favorite in his NFL career. He is 3-2 ATS entering this week at home in career.
Los Angeles is 2-1 outright as a road underdog this season.
Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5), Sunday, 4:25 ET
Green Bay is 7-1 ATS with seven straight covers. That's the 2nd-best ATS record in the NFL. Dallas is 7-0 ATS.
Green Bay is the first team with a winning percentage of at least .875 to be an underdog of at least seven points since 2014 (Arizona +7 at Seattle). Green Bay is the first team with that high a winning percentage to be a seven-point underdog against a team .500 or worse since 2009 when Indianapolis was +8 in Week 17 against Buffalo.
Matt LaFleur is 7-2 outright and ATS as an underdog with Green Bay (since 2019). Aaron Rodgers started all of those games.
Green Bay has been an underdog of at least seven points one time under Matt LaFleur - the 2019 NFC Championship Game against San Francisco (+8, lost by 17). Green Bay has not won as at least a seven-point underdog since 2005.
Kansas City is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games including the postseason. It is 0-8 ATS in that span when favored by at least seven points.
Patrick Mahomes is 2-6 ATS as a favorite this season.
Kansas City is 0-4 ATS at home this season.
Arizona Cardinals (-1.5) at San Francisco 49ers, Sunday, 4:25 ET
Jimmy Garopplo is 10-3 ATS in his career as an underdog.
Arizona has covered five of its past six games.
Arizona is 3-0 ATS against teams with a losing record this season.
Arizona is 4-0 ATS on the road this season, while San Francisco is 0-3 ATS at home this season.
Arizona has covered games by an average of 9.3 points per game, second-best in the NFL.
Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams (-7.5), Sunday, 8:20 ET
Tennessee has won three straight games as at least a three-point underdog. The only teams to win four consecutive games, all as at least three-point underdogs, in the Super Bowl era are 2012 Minnesota, 2011 Denver and 1974 Houston.
Tennessee is 4-0 straight up as a betting underdog this season. With a win Sunday against Los Angeles, they'd be just the fourth team since 1990 to win each of its first five games played as an underdog (2009 Cincinnati, 2007 Green Bay, 1992 Pittsburgh).
Tennessee is 5-0 outright and ATS against teams that made the playoffs last season.
Mike Vrabel is 15-10 outright as a betting underdog in his head coaching career. That's the second-best win pct (.600) as an underdog by any head coach in the Super Bowl era, among over 280 head coaches with a minimum of 5 games.
This is the fifth time that Los Angeles has been favored by a touchdown or more this season, tied with Tampa Bay for the most such instances in the NFL (2-2 ATS).
All four of Tennessee's road games have gone over the total this season.
The over is 26-7-1 in Ryan Tannehill starts with Tennessee.
Chicago Bears at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5), Monday, 8 ET on ESPN
Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS as a favorite this season (1-2 outright).
Chicago is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
Chicago has failed to cover in each of its past three games.
The under is 5-1 in Justin Fields starts. Last week was the first Fields start to go over the total.
Home teams are 6-2 ATS and 7-1 outright on Monday Night Football this season.