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2022 NBA playoffs: Betting tips for Tuesday's Game 2 matchups

Anthony Edwards could have another big game against the Grizzlies after his 36-point performance Saturday. AP Photo/Brandon Dill

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.


What you need to know for Tuesday's playoff games

Ice Trae Set To Thaw?: Trae Young was held to a season-low eight points (1-of-12 from the field) in Sunday's Game 1 loss to the Heat with more turnovers (6) than assists (4). But he is rarely shut down in consecutive games. He was held to 15 points on five occasions during the regular season and averaged 31.2 points and 9.2 assists the following game.

Passing Profit: Young is in a good spot to hit his assist prop given at 8.5 tonight. While Miami held Young to just 7.3 APG in four regular-season games and had just four dimes in Sunday's loss, he averaged 15.3 potential assists against Miami in the regular season. Young's modest assist number speaks to Miami's unique defensive prowess, but with greater usage and distribution rates coming, Young is due for double-digit dimes.

Don't Get Too Cute: The Suns are the biggest favorite on the board Tuesday. While Phoenix is 24-3 outright when favored by more than eight points this season, it is only 14-13 ATS in those games. If you are looking for New Orleans exposure, there's no shame in taking the points.

Back On My Grizzlies: Did the Grizz burn you in Game 1? It's very possible that may prove to be an outlier. Memphis won 15 of their final 17 regular-season games when favored at home, so while they fell short Saturday, they still are in a good spot to come away with a win tonight.

Block Party: The Grizzlies have seen their defensive production pop when the Jaren Jackson Jr. is on the floor. Jackson had an absurd seven swats in 24 minutes Saturday, hitting his block prop early. No player in the NBA possesses the same upside as a rim protector heading into Tuesday.

P.J. Parlay: P.J. Tucker has an amusing 3-point prop of 0.5 tonight. Even though this prop is heavily juiced, Tucker is likely to see three to four clean looks from the corner against Atlanta. Tucker is a good play for those seeking to build out single-game or larger parlays.

-- Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe


Game of the night

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m. ET, FTX Arena, Miami


Line: Heat (-7.5)
Money line: Heat (-330), Hawks (+260)
Total: 217.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 215.5 points
BPI Win%: Heat (79.4%)

Key players ruled out: Clint Capela, John Collins

Best bets: Over 217.5 points; Heat (-7.5). The Hawks and their opponents have gone over 216 points in their past 22 games. Both teams have several offensive playmakers and the Heat rank 11th in points scored per 100 possessions and accumulate a ton of offensive rebounds. While the Hawks ranked second in points scored per 100 possessions, Miami's physical defense stifled them Sunday. Tuesday's game should be more competitive and higher scoring and the Heat should cover the spread as well. -- Eric Moody

Best bet: Heat (-7.5) I picked the Heat to cover in Game 1 because the Hawks lack the overall talent to compete with a focused team of the Miami's caliber. These factors remain true for Game 2, and the absence of Clint Capela will have a unique effect on Bam Adebayo. Adebayo will be free to wreak havoc defensively on the Hawks' offense and limit Trae Young and the Hawks' pick-and-roll/pop game. -- André Snellings

Best bet: Bam Adebayo over 28.5 points + rebounds. Adebayo didn't take full advantage of the Hawks' weakness inside. The Heat outscored Atlanta 38-26 in the paint in Game 1. Adebayo was superb defensively but will be more aggressive on the offensive end of the floor in Game 2 -- Moody

Best bet: Jimmy Butler over 1.5 steals. The Heat have been one of the best defensive teams in the league all season, allowing the fewest points per 100 possessions. Butler had the highest steal percentage on the team and the Hawks consistently turn the ball over. In three of the four games Butler has played against Atlanta this season, he recorded two or more steals -- Moody


Breaking down the rest of the slate

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
8:30 p.m. ET, FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennessee


Line: Grizzlies (-7.0)
Money line: Grizzlies (-300), Timberwolves (+240)
Total: 241 points
BPI Projected Total: 223.8 points
BPI Win%: Grizzlies (71.1%)

Key players ruled out: none

Best bet: Anthony Edwards over 24.5 points. Edwards has been on a scoring tear for weeks. He averaged 27.7 PPG over the last six games in the regular season, before scoring 30 points in Minnesota's play-in victory over the Clippers and 36 points in the Game 1 win over the Grizzlies. He also had four good scoring efforts in five games against the Grizzlies this season and averaged 29.0 PPG in those four games. -- Snellings


New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns
10 p.m. ET, Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona


Line: Suns (-9.5)
Money line: Suns (-550), Pelicans (+400)
Total: 221.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 212.2 points
BPI Win%: Suns (86.9%)

Key players ruled out: none

Best bet: Jonas Valanciunas over 30.5 points + rebounds. Valanciunas had a strong Game 1 against the Suns with 18 points and 25 rebounds. This shouldn't be a surprise, given how well he played against Phoenix during the regular season. Valanciunas averaged 21 PPG and 15 RPG in four games against the Suns and it would be wise for the Pelicans to keep him involved if they intend to make this series competitive -- Moody

Best bet: Chris Paul over 28.5 points + assists. Paul has a history of elevating his play in the playoffs. A great example of this is his performance against the Pelicans in Game 1. As a result of his accomplishment, Paul is only the fifth player in NBA history with 10 career playoff games of 30 points and 10 assists. In Paul, the Suns have one of the best point guards of all time. The Pelicans will adjust, but Paul will exploit them. -- Moody


Analytics edge

BPI highest projected totals

1. Memphis Grizzlies (120.1 points)
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (113.7 points)
3. Phoenix Suns (112.5 points)

BPI lowest projected totals

1. New Orleans Pelicans (100.2 points)
2. Atlanta Hawks (103.3 points)
3. Miami Heat (112.2 points)

BPI top probability to win (straight up)

1. Phoenix Suns (86.9%)
2. Miami Heat (79.4%)
3. Memphis Grizzlies (71.0%)