Memorial Day weekend betting guide

Scott Dixon is the favorite to take the checkered flag at this year's running of the Indianapolis 500. AP Photo/Darron Cummings

Memorial Day weekend is synonymous with parades, picnics and plenty of action from the wide world of sports. We've got you covered with everything you need to watch and what you can bet on to make this holiday weekend one to remember.

Sunday morning, it's more tennis from Roland Garros in Paris, as the French Open moves to fourth-round matches before a trio of auto racing's most prestigious races run back-to-back-to-back. Have breakfast with Formula One and the Monaco Grand Prix, followed by brunch and the Indianapolis 500, and then an afternoon snack of NASCAR's Coca-Cola 600.

For a nightcap, we've got some Sunday Night Baseball and some NBA playoffs drama. The Phillies visit the Mets in a NL East clash while the Heat and Celtics series will indeed need a seventh game to decide who will face the Warriors in the Finals.

Got it? Good. Here's what to watch and what to bet this weekend.

Sunday's schedule

French Open fourth round
5 a.m. ET, Stade Roland Garros, Paris

Men's favorites: Novak Djokovic (+160); Carlos Alcaraz (+275); Rafael Nadal (+275); Stefanos Tsitsipas (+500)
Women's favorites: Iga Swiatek (-335); Amanda Anisimova (+1000), Cori Gauff (+1200); Dana Kasatkina (+1600)

André Snellings: Tsitsipas has the fourth-best odds to win the men's tournament, but in many ways this is the best opportunity he's ever had to win a major. Tsitsipas, still only 23 years old, has made at least the semifinals of a major five times in his career. Clay is his best surface, and in the past two years, he made the French Open semis in 2020, then the finals in 2021, when he had a two-set-to-love lead over Novak Djokovic before ultimately losing in five. This season, he already has a win on clay at the Monte Carlo Masters, and he made the semis and the final at the Madrid Open and Italian Open, respectively. Tsitsipas is also on the opposite side of the draw from the three favorites, Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Carlos Alcaraz, meaning that he would only potentially have to go through one of them to win and he wouldn't face any until the final at the earliest.

Men's pick: Tsitsipas to win (+500)

Iga Swiatek is playing tennis on a level that no other woman in the world is currently approaching, and she's playing on her best surface. She won the French Open in 2020, and has won 85% of her matches on clay in her career. She has won 30 matches in a row, the longest streak since Serena Williams won 34 straight in 2013. And she's not just winning -- she's dominating. According to ESPN Stats & Information research, she has already won 15 sets this season with a bagel (6-0), only 10 behind Serena Williams' 25 for the entire 2013 season for the most since 2000. If the -335 to win isn't enough juice for you, there's a very reasonable chance she runs the table without dropping a set.

Women's pick: Swiatek to win (-335); Swiatek to win without dropping a set (+172 on FanDuel)

Formula One: Monaco Grand Prix
8:55 a.m. ET, Monaco, ESPN

Race favorites: Charles Leclerc (-225), Max Verstappen (+400)
Podium finish: Leclerc (-450), Verstappen (-200), Carlos Sainz (-175), Sergio Pérez (+125), Lando Norris (+300) George Russell (+450), Lewis Hamilton (+650)
Play: Formula 1 Racing Pick'em

Mike Clay: The last time I made an F1 pick in this column, I told you to pick Verstappen at even money after pointing out that he's won every single race he's finished this season. Three weeks later, that streak remains alive. Including the sprint in Italy, Verstappen has won five of a possible seven races, and he was in contention for the win in the two in which he had to retire early with car issues. Verstappen also won this race last season, though he benefited from a prerace car issue that knocked out pole sitter LeClerc. LeClerc is the favorite at -225 on Sunday Morning, but landing Verstappen at four-to-one is an easy bet.

Pick: Verstappen to win (+400).

Ryan McGee: Yes, Mercedes is way off pace, but Monaco has a way of leveling the playing field. Also, Lewis Hamilton hasn't forgotten how to drive and this place rewards experience. Then again, it also punishes it.

Pick: Hamilton to win (+8000).

Note: Odds were updated at 8:00 a.m. on race day and are longer than when picks were originally made

Indianapolis 500
11 a.m. ET, Indianapolis Motor Speedway, NBC

Race favorites: Scott Dixon (+400), Alex Palou (+450)
More: Qualifying Grid

Ryan McGee: Scott Dixon is without question the greatest Indy Car driver of his generation and has a pretty good argument for best all time. But he has "only" one Indy 500 victory and that was 10 years ago this week. History tells me not to buy into all of the hype surrounding his ridiculously fast month, but it also feels foolish to pick against him.

Pick: Dixon to win (+400)

NASCAR Coca-Cola 600
6 p.m. ET, Charlotte Motor Speedway,

Race favorites: Kyle Larson (+600, Kyle Busch (+550), Martin Truex Jr. (+600), Denny Hamlin (+650)
Winning manufacturer: Chevy (+130), Toyota (+125), Ford (+430)

Mike Clay: We're going with somewhat of a long shot here, as Joey Logano has the 12th-longest odds to win. It doesn't make a ton of sense considering Logano owns a 12.4 average finish at this track, which is fourth best among active drivers. That includes a win in 2015, and he also won the All-Star Race here in 2016. Speaking of the All-Star Race, the three Team Penske cars dominated last week's event at Texas (also a 1.5-mile speedway), with Logano's teammate Ryan Blaney earning the win (Logano finished fourth). Logano looks like the best value, but other intriguing plays include Tyler Reddick (+1800), Ryan Blaney (+1000), Martin Truex Jr. (+600) and Chase Elliott (+850).

Pick: Joey Logano to win (+2500)

Ryan McGee: In a season of parity, it feels like we have spent a lot of time this spring looking at the championship standings and asking, "Well, that guy is ranked really high. When is he actually going to win a race?" We did that with Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Now it feels like Truex's turn, since 2014 he has finished outside the top 10 on the Charlotte oval only twice and he has also won this race twice. That's pretty good.

Pick: Martin Truex Jr. (+600)

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
7 p.m. ET, Citi Field, New York, ESPN2

Line: Phillies (-105), Mets (-115)
Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-200), Mets -1.5 (+170)
Over/Under: 7.5 (-105/-115)

Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler (PHI) @ Chris Bassitt (NYM)

Derek Carty: The Mets project to have the least strikeout-heavy lineup of the day (19.5 K%, via THE BAT X) with 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler. Wheeler's fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (95.3 mph) below where it was last season, and he has been lucky with his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.12 K/9 despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 9.79 - a 0.33 K/9 difference.

Pick: Zack Wheeler Under 6.5 K (-155)

Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
Game 7, 8:30 p.m. ET, FTX Arena, Miami, ESPN

Line: Celtics (-2.5)
Moneyline: Celtics (-145), Heat (+125)
Over/Under: 195.5

Trend: The Celtics have lost 5 straight games with a chance to go to the Finals, dating back to 2012, tied for the 2nd-longest streak all-time. --ESPN Stats & Information

Anita Marks: The Heat surprised the world with an unbelievable performance in Game 6 - to win back home court and momentum heading into Game 7 on Sunday night. I don't expect Jimmy Butler to have another 47 points performance, which was needed for the Heat to win by 8 points. Let's marinate in that for a minute. I believe the Celtics underestimated an injury riddled Heat team on the road. Game 6 was a wakeup call and Bostons typically follows a loss with a win. Al Horford had an off night, going 1 for 6 from deep, Smart 1 for 9 from deep, Tatum had 7 turnovers, Brown had 4 turnovers, and I don't expect to see that again. I am also playing the over here, where this total is WAY too low, considering the over has hit 4 of the 6 games. I respect the defense, but there is way too much firepower on this court.

Pick: Celtics -2.5