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Betting tips for Week 10 English Premier League games and more

Phil Foden and Erling Haaland both notched hat tricks in City's win Man U. Michael Regan/Getty Images

Soccer continues this week with Premier League games and more.

So which team should you be betting and what are the big storylines? Our analysts are here to offer all the input you need.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.


Manchester City handled Manchester United quite handily last week (6-3) with hat tricks from both Erling Haaland and Phil Foden. This time around they get Southampton. Is there any value in betting Foden (+150) or maybe even Kevin De Bruyne (+175) for an anytime goal? Will the goals keep coming for City or dare you go under 3.5 total goals for the game (+100)?

Paul Carr: This feels like a match in which City can name its score. Playing any City attacker to get a goal is reasonable, as long as he's starting. I have a hard time seeing Southampton getting a goal, given that the Saints have the fifth-fewest expected goals and take the third-worst shots in the league this season. City has scored in every game and put up at least 1.8 expected goals in all but one while posting four clean sheets in eight games. City will score and Southampton won't, so I'll take a City win to nil at -117.

Wolves sacked Bruno Lage -- clearly fearful, even after just eight matches -- that he's not the one to keep them from relegation. Are they right to be concerned? They're currently (+260) to be relegated. More to the point, Wolves are (+850) this weekend against Chelsea. Anybody believe in some magic for Wolves after the shakeup?

Carr: Yes, Wolves are right to be concerned about relegation, since they have a league-low three goals and the underlying numbers to match, with the second-fewest expected goals and second-worst shots in the league. Keeper Jose Sa hasn't been bad; he just hasn't been superhuman like he was last season. I don't love any of the prices for this game. If I had to play something, I'd look at under 2.5 (-110). In three games under Graham Potter, Chelsea hasn't generated a ton of great chances (1.2 xG per game) or conceded much either (0.4 xG per game), and Wolves likely won't change that. A Chelsea win to nil (+103) isn't a bad shout either.

Dan Thomas: Wolves obviously hoping for the new manager bounce and they might just get it against a Chelsea side that chalked up their first Champions League win of the season. I think that victory may have taken it out of Potter's side, so I fancy a draw.

Brighton have scored eight goals in its last two EPL games and now get to really try and make a statement that the side belongs in the top-four of the table against Tottenham. Do you expect this to be a high-scoring affair? Over 3.5 goals (+230)?

Carr: I do like over 3.5 goals at +230, considering how open both teams' matches have been lately. Brighton's last two games have had at least six goals each, and four of Brighton's seven games this season have had at least 2.9 expected goals. Tottenham's last two games have had at least four goals, and four of the last five have had 3.4 expected goals. That's a long way of saying that both teams are creating and conceding a lot of scoring chances. Both teams look for good shots on the counter, so this could be cagey early, then open up once a goal is scored.

Thomas: I don't believe anything involving Spurs will be a high-scoring affair at the moment. They just aren't clicking, and Brighton have a really good chance to take advantage of that. I go Brighton win.

What is your best bet for the weekend?

Carr: I'm a broken record, but give me both teams to score in Bournemouth-Leceister City (-140). Of Leicester's last 30 away games, 27 have had both teams score. That trend will be tested by a Bournemouth team that has a league-low 51 shots (24 fewer than any other team) and 3.7 expected goals (half of any other team) this season. But Leicester's leaky defense should be up to the task, having allowed a league-high 22 goals this season and allowing the third-best shots in the league.

Thomas: I'd take the over in the Sevilla Athletic Club tie. Sampaoli back in charge of the host combined with Atheltic scoring for fun I think this is going to be a very entertaining high-scoring game.