In what has become an annual tradition at the start of the early signing period for women's college basketball, a statistical formulation developed by contributor Joe Montes has been applied to produce an initial ranking of the top recruiting classes for 2011, based on the ESPN HoopGurlz 100.
Based on these initial findings, we see the usual suspects in Tennessee, Connecticut, Duke and Stanford leading the pack, with rising programs such as UCLA and Texas A&M beginning to narrow the gap.
However, with a handful of high-profile prospects -- including No. 6 Briyona Canty, No. 9 Morgan Jones, No. 11 Betnijah Laney and No. 22 Reshanda Gray -- still undecided, these initial rankings most likely will change.
Total Value Points = (1.0 x Value Points for No. 1 Recruit) + (1.0 x Value Points for No. 2 Recruit) + (1.0 x Value Points for No. 3 Recruit) + (0.75 x Value Points for No. 4 Recruit) +(0.5 x Value Points for No. 5 Recruit) + (0.5 x Value Points for No. 6 Recruit) based on the following scoring structure.
Tabulation of Value Points corresponding to player rankings:
No. 01 to No. 05 : 15 value points
No. 06 to No. 10 : 13 value points
No. 11 to No. 15 : 11 value points
No. 16 to No. 20 : 10 value points
No. 21 to No. 25 : 09 value points
No. 26 to No. 30 : 08 value points
No. 31 to No. 40 : 07 value points
No. 41 to No. 50 : 06 value points
No. 51 to No. 60 : 05 value points
No. 61 to No. 70 : 04 value points
No. 71 to No. 80 : 03 value points
No. 81 to No. 90 : 02 value points
No. 91 to No. 100: 01 value points
ESPNU HoopGurlz Statistical Class Rankings
(as of Nov 9):
4T. Duke (29.5 pts)
No. 2 Elizabeth Williams (15 pts)
No. 20 Amber Henson (10 pts)
No. 73 Whitney Knight (3 pts)
No. 82 Ka'lia Johnson (1.5 pts)
Note: Duke is still in contention for No. 11 Betnijah Laney (11 pts)
4T. Stanford (29.5 pts)
No. 15 Amber Orrange (11 pts)
No. 31 Taylor Greenfield (7 pts)
No. 49 Alex Green (6 pts)
No. 61 Bonnie Samuelson (3 pts)
No. 78 Erica Payne (1.5 pts)
No. 83 Jasmine Camp (1 pt)
14T. LSU (15 pts)
No. 5 Krystal Forthan (15 pts)
20T. Louisville (11 pts)
No. 12 Sarah Hammond (11 pts)
20T. Harvard (11 pts)
No. 13 Temi Fagbenle (11 pts)
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Joe Montes is a software consultant who divides his time between the Pacific Northwest and Southern California. He has been a women's college basketball fan since his college days during the championship years of Stanford in the early 1990s. Joe likes to dabble in numbers, influenced by two sisters, both of whom have doctorates in statistics.