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Florida will win, but in a tight one

SPECIAL TO ESPN.COM

Will Billy Donovan lead Florida to its first national championship? Can Ben Howland lead UCLA to its 12 title?

It is amazing that the Bruins are in contention for another championship in Howland's third season as coach? Howland bought solid defense in as a key to UCLA building another winner. The Bruins took away angles inside from LSU in the national semifinal. Can they do it again vs. Joakim Noah and Al Horford?

This will be the toughest defense Florida sees all season. UCLA was so impressive in holding Memphis and LSU each to 45 points. Noah has to make good decisions with the ball and limit turnovers.

Remember, my friends, Florida can defend too. Donovan's club held George Mason to two for 11 on three-pointers.

One key on Monday night will be Lee Humphrey. He hit six trifectas on Saturday, including three straight at the start of the second half to break open a five-point game.

Humphrey is tough when he squares up his body and gets open looks. Then that opens up the inside game for Noah and Horford, as it did against George Mason.

Florida has to control the tempo of the game, forcing a faster pace while eliminating a five-on-five situation.Taurean Green has to push the ball up and create that faster pace. The Gators also have an edge on the free throw line against UCLA.

The championship game will be very intense, but in a Maalox Masher I see the Gators winning the national title, bringing back the gold trophy to the Rowdy Reptiles in Gainesville.

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