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2019 NFL Predictions

After a dazzling MVP season, Patrick Mahomes has NFL forecasters on notice. BEN LIEBENBERG/AP PHOTO

With the NFL's 100th season upon us, we had a panel of experts from ESPN's NFL Nation give us their predictions for the year and checked them against Football Power Index's prognostications.

PANEL PREDICTS ...

Forty-five writers and editors from ESPN's NFL Nation weighed in with their predictions for the 2019 season. And they foresee another TD-packed Year of Mahomes.

  • AFC division champs: Patriots, Steelers, Colts, Chiefs

  • Wild cards: Chargers, Texans

  • AFC Championship: Chiefs over Chargers

  • NFC division champs: Eagles, Bears, Saints, Rams

  • Wild cards: Falcons, Packers

  • NFC Championship: Saints over Eagles

  • Super Bowl winner: Chiefs

  • MVP: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs

  • Offensive player of the year: Mahomes

  • Defensive player of the year: Aaron Donald, Rams

  • Rookie of the year: Kyler Murray, Cardinals

FPI PROJECTS ...

Football Power Index is right there with the experts, giving last season's semifinalists a major leg up on the pack.

AFC East

  1. New England Patriots (Projected wins: 10.4 | Overall FPI rank: 4 | Offense rank: 4 | Defense rank 12)

  2. New York Jets (Projected wins: 7.2 | Overall FPI rank: 26 | Offense rank: 26 | Defense rank 22)

  3. Buffalo Bills (Projected wins: 6.7 | Overall FPI rank: 27 | Offense rank: 31 | Defense rank 11)

  4. Miami Dolphins (Projected wins: 5.6 | Overall FPI rank: 32 | Offense rank: 32 | Defense rank 28)

AFC North

  1. Cleveland Browns (Projected wins: 8.8 | Overall FPI rank: 15 | Offense rank: 17 | Defense rank 7)

  2. Baltimore Ravens (Projected wins: 8.5 | Overall FPI rank: 16 | Offense rank: 23 | Defense rank 4)

  3. Pittsburgh Steelers (Projected wins: 8.5 | Overall FPI rank: 17 | Offense rank: 8 | Defense rank 25)

  4. Cincinnati Bengals (Projected wins: 6.0 | Overall FPI rank: 29 | Offense rank: 27 | Defense rank 31)

AFC South

  1. Indianapolis Colts (Projected wins: 9.1 | Overall FPI rank: 5 | Offense rank: 10 | Defense rank 6)

  2. Houston Texans (Projected wins: 8.6 | Overall FPI rank: 8 | Offense rank: 12 | Defense rank 8)

  3. Tennessee Titans (Projected wins: 8.0 | Overall FPI rank: 13 | Offense rank: 16 | Defense rank 10)

  4. Jacksonville Jaguars (Projected wins: 7.5 | Overall FPI rank: 18 | Offense rank: 25 | Defense rank 1)

AFC West

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (Projected wins: 10.4 | Overall FPI rank: 1 | Offense rank: 1 | Defense rank 15)

  2. Los Angeles Chargers (Projected wins: 8.8 | Overall FPI rank: 6 | Offense rank: 6 | Defense rank 9)

  3. Denver Broncos (Projected wins: 7.0 | Overall FPI rank: 22 | Offense rank: 28 | Defense rank 2)

  4. Oakland Raiders (Projected wins: 6.5 | Overall FPI rank: 23 | Offense rank: 21 | Defense rank 27)

NFC East

  1. Philadelphia Eagles (Projected wins: 9.3 | Overall FPI rank: 10 | Offense rank: 9 | Defense rank 19)

  2. Dallas Cowboys (Projected wins: 8.3 | Overall FPI rank: 19 | Offense rank: 14 | Defense rank 16)

  3. New York Giants (Projected wins: 6.3 | Overall FPI rank: 24 | Offense rank: 24 | Defense rank 32)

  4. Washington Redskins (Projected wins: 6.2 | Overall FPI rank: 28 | Offense rank: 29 | Defense rank 26)

NFC North

  1. Chicago Bears (Projected wins: 9.1 | Overall FPI rank: 7 | Offense rank: 13 | Defense rank 3)

  2. Green Bay Packers (Projected wins: 8.6 | Overall FPI rank: 12 | Offense rank: 5 | Defense rank 20)

  3. Minnesota Vikings (Projected wins: 8.5 | Overall FPI rank: 11 | Offense rank: 20 | Defense rank 5)

  4. Detroit Lions (Projected wins: 7.0 | Overall FPI rank: 24 | Offense rank: 22 | Defense rank 30)

NFC South

  1. New Orleans Saints (Projected wins: 10.1 | Overall FPI rank: 2 | Offense rank: 2 | Defense rank 23)

  2. Atlanta Falcons (Projected wins: 8.4 | Overall FPI rank: 9 | Offense rank: 7 | Defense rank 17)

  3. Carolina Panthers (Projected wins: 7.7 | Overall FPI rank: 20 | Offense rank: 15 | Defense rank 18)

  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Projected wins: 6.4 | Overall FPI rank: 25 | Offense rank: 19 | Defense rank 29)

NFC West

  1. Los Angeles Rams (Projected wins: 10.0 | Overall FPI rank: 3 | Offense rank: 3 | Defense rank 13)

  2. Seattle Seahawks (Projected wins: 8.3 | Overall FPI rank: 14 | Offense rank: 11 | Defense rank 14)

  3. San Francisco 49ers (Projected wins: 7.7 | Overall FPI rank: 21 | Offense rank: 18 | Defense rank 21)

  4. Arizona Cardinals (Projected wins: 5.5 | Overall FPI rank: 31 | Offense rank: 30 | Defense rank 24)

Super Bowl chances (make, win):

  1. Chiefs (27.80%, 16.00%)

  2. Saints (26.45%, 15.74%)

  3. Patriots (23.12%, 12.06%)

  4. Rams (21.87%, 11.49%)

  5. Colts (10.73%, 5.55%)

  6. Eagles (9.80%, 4.36%)

  7. Bears (9.55%, 4.48%)

  8. Chargers (7.68%, 3.76%)

  9. Texans (6.74%, 3.32%)

  10. Packers (5.91%, 2.62%)

FPI is a forward-looking measure of team strength based on the expected points added from offense, defense and special teams. Using preseason FPI as of July 29, ESPN Stats & Information has projected each team's strength of schedule rank as well as its chances to win each game on its schedule.