We're reaching a tipping point on some of Tuesday's selections where it might be your last opportunity to get them in a lot of leagues so act now. There are a host of pitching options, though none of them look like guys you should be holding much beyond their Tuesday outing. A couple of Rockies are available and have an extend home stay starting soon.
Pitchers to stream
Vince Velasquez (R), rostered in 16 percent of ESPN leagues, Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: Velasquez is off to a fast start, though he's no doubt riding a .228 BABIP and 96 percent LOB rate to his 1.99 ERA/1.01 WHIP combo. He will come back to earth at some point, but I don't think it will be in this start against Detroit. The Tigers are fanning at a 27 percent clip against righties, fourth-highest in the league, while their .663 OPS is fifth-worst. This is one of the juiciest spot-starts you can get all week.
Sandy Alcantara (R), 5 percent, Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Indians: Matchup drives our decision here as Alcantara gets the Indians for a second straight start. He was solid against them in five innings his last time out after a pair of clunkers and now gets them at home. Cleveland is second-to-last in ISO (.135) behind only Alcantara's teammates with a 26 percent strikeout rate (seventh-highest) and .208 AVG (28th). Alcantara hasn't fully leveraged his 12 percent swinging strike rate with just a 17 percent strikeout rate, but this matchup gives him a good chance to do just that.
Spencer Turnbull (R), 3 percent, Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies: Turnbull's whiffs have come down a bit over his past two starts, but it hasn't kept him from being successful with a 0.00 ERA in 11 innings (1 unearned run). He has walked six in those two outings, but you can survive that when you allow just five hits. The Phillies are no pushover, but they sit middle of the pack in strikeout rate (23 percent, 16th) and OPS (.775, 14th). If Turnbull can keep Bryce Harper from beating him, this could be a really sharp outing as he's much better against righties with a 189-point platoon split favoring his .565 OPS against them.
The Giants have an MLB-best 2.79 bullpen ERA so when you are spot-starting the likes of Jeff Samardzija, Derek Holland, Dereck Rodriguez, and Drew Pomeranz, you should feel good about their leads being held if they leave in the fifth or sixth while ahead. Reyes Moronta, Trevor Gott, and Sam Dyson have been standout performers while the expected guys -- Will Smith and Mark Melancon -- have held up their end of the bargain, too.
Projected game scores
Tony Wolters (L), under 1 percent, Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Jhoulys Chacin): Catcher took a hit this week with Willians Astudillo hitting the injured list, but a widely available Wolters seems like a perfect fill-in. He opens the week with four at Milwaukee before a nine-game homestand that makes him a viable option in all two-catcher formats and even with considering in one-catcher leagues if you are still running out the likes of Danny Jansen, Francisco Cervelli or Mike Zunino.
Hunter Dozier (R), 49 percent, Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays (LHP Blake Snell): Last Chance Saloon here! Dozier was part of my recommendations last week at 28 percent roster rate, but even with a 21-point surge to 49 percent, he's still too available. He has been 23rd among corner infielders this year on the Player Rater with a lot of underlying support for his fast start. He's absolutely mashing the ball while also striking out less and walking a lot more. His R/RBI numbers hold him back a bit on the Player Rater, but he's been elevated to the 4-hole regularly over his past 10 games and seen both totals rise substantially. This isn't an elite offense in Kansas City, but it's capable at the top and Dozier is a big reason why.
Ryan McMahon (L), 12 percent, Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Jhoulys Chacin): Breaking our general rule of trying to keep to one hitter per team to make sure you're rostering all the available Rockies this week as they get a four-game set at Milwaukee before heading home for nine games. McMahon has an .816 OPS in 39 plate appearances since returning from the IL and should continue to play regularly, even against lefties as Garrett Hampson has been positively brutal this year.
Renato Nunez (R), 22 percent, Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox (RHP Ivan Nova): Nunez is a full-timer in a great hitting ballpark so I think he should be on more than 22 percent of rosters. I understand the Orioles aren't good, but that's more because of their pitching than hitting. OK, their hitting is below average, too, but once the weather heats up in Camden Yards, the ball will start flying.
Eric Sogard (L), 6 percent, Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels (RHP Griffin Canning): We've been here before. Sogard put up an absurd .400/.571/.686 line with 2 HR and 2 SB in 49 PA with Milwaukee back in May of 2017 (he didn't play in April). He even kept it up through June with a .949 OPS by the end of that month, but then had just a .575 OPS in his final 53 games. Sogard's 1.210 OPS definitely won't last, but he gets a rookie righty in his MLB debut so just ride the hot hand for now.
Eric Thames (L), 8 percent, Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies (RHP German Marquez): Thames could be Jesus Aguilar-ing right after getting Jesus Aguilar'd last year. Thames, currently the backup 1B, is smashing the opposition with a .963 OPS and 5 HR while Aguilar languishes with just a .368 OPS in search of his first homer. Thames might not start taking the time against lefties just yet, but the Brewers are facing a righty here (albeit a tough one) and get righties in seven of their next nine games starting on Tuesday so this could be a big stretch for Thames.
Danny Santana (B), 7 percent, Texas Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (RHP Jordan Lyles): That Rangers offense has quietly been a top-10 unit and the 28-year-old Santana has been a key piece. Originally filling in for an injured Rougned Odor, he got three starts at 1B over the weekend and had two three-hit games. The .345 AVG and two home runs are nice, but it's the five steals that make him an appealing option going forward. If they keep playing him, Santana could nab 20-plus stolen bases by season's end.
Dwight Smith Jr. (L), 46 percent, Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox (RHP Ivan Nova): Smith has been a top half of the lineup contributor for the O's and could be a legitimate all-formats option this summer. He already has 5 HR and 3 SB while maintaining a useful .267/.318/.485 line. Nova is getting absolutely blitzed by lefties with a .984 OPS allowed with just five strikeouts in 52 PA. Even if you aren't interested in Smith beyond Tuesday, he's a must-use against Nova.
Gregory Polanco (L), 29 percent, Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers (RHP Adrian Sampson): This roster rate could triple as Polanco establishes himself again. The 27-year-old was in the midst of a breakout year last season before suffering injury. He popped 23 HR and swiped 12 bases in 535 PA and might've chased down a 30 HR/100 RBI season had he stayed on the field. He's only been back for six games since returning from his shoulder injury and the power could be down a bit initially, similar to what we saw with Michael Conforto returning last year, but as he gets healthy, he should surge and be a dynamic option. Jump on board now while the price is low.
Leonys Martin (L), 7 percent, Cleveland Indians at Miami Marlins (RHP Sandy Alcantara): Martin suffered a very scary viral infection last year, but he's returned healthy this year and been one of the lone bright spots in the struggling Cleveland lineup. I mentioned the Indians' issues when profiling Alcantara as a possible spot start, but Martin is going off against righties with a .264/.361/.514 including 5 HR and 2 SB in 84 PA. He was pacing toward a strong 22 HR/14 SB season last year before the infection so he's another guy whose roster rate could jump a good bit going forward.