Pitching is incredibly thin today, but we can still find some value utilizing lesser-acknowledge factors like weather and shifts in league context. On the hitting side, there's plenty to like with Coors Field, wind at Wrigley Field, and some struggling pitchers to attack.
If you haven't yet read my primer on how weather can give you a massive edge in fantasy baseball, be sure to check that out now, as it will help provide context for my player evaluations each week.
Here are Tuesday's choices to bolster your fantasy squad, with everyone available in at least half of all ESPN leagues.
Eduardo Rodriguez (L), rostered in 52% of ESPN leagues, Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays: E-Rod is the most talented (nearly) sub-50% rostered pitcher on the slate, and the matchup is a good one. He gets a massive park upgrade going from the No. 3 hitters park in baseball to No. 29, and he faces a Rays offense that is worse against lefties because several of their best hitters (notably Austin Meadows, Brandon Lowe, and Ji-Man Choi) are left-handed.
Ryan Yarbrough (L), 49%, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: Boston's offense is overperforming a bit this year, and they get the reverse park upgrade that E-Rod gets: a massive one in the negative direction. Yarbs is a solidly average pitcher, so in a decent spot you could do worse on a slate that lacks many appealing pitching options. The left-hander will return to the "primary pitcher" role which has served him well in the past. Right-hander Andrew Kittredge will open and save Yarbrough from facing right-handers J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts the first time through the lineup.
Tyler Anderson (L), 9%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: Speaking of a lack of appealing pitching options, can I interest you in Anderson against the White Sox? He projects next best despite Chicago being a solid offense. But like Boston, they are a bit overrated, and they will lose a DH going into the National League. They'll also take a big park hit, and this game has the highest air density of the game, making it an extra good environment for pitching.
Ross Stripling (R), 16%, Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins: Stripling is in a similar situation, except reversed. He is the one getting the big park upgrade (loanWhatever Field is No. 4 in baseball for pitchers), and he'll get to face an offense with a pitcher instead of the DH he's established his baseline numbers against. Not only that, but it's a weak offense that is also usually among the most strikeout-prone.
The best pitching matchup of the day belongs to the Chicago White Sox. While Lucas Giolito is almost surely rostered in your league, if you're looking to stream a reliever for ratios, consider a member of the Sox bullpen. Closer Liam Hendriks is also probably long gone, but Aaron Bummer actually projects as the better pitcher for ERA, and he's rostered in just 3% of leagues. The Sox get to face a pitcher instead of a DH, get a big park upgrade, and get the day's coolest temperatures. Oh, and they get all that while facing baseball's worst offense. Giddy up.
Texas will deploy a modification of the opener with Taylor Hearn starting and expected to work around three innings, followed by Jordan Lyles. The hope is that Lyles will throw a similar number of frames. Still, even without needing five innings to qualify for the win, he has no appeal facing the tough Oakland lineup.
For the latest team-by-team closer situations, please consult our Closer Chart.
Catcher -- Tom Murphy (R), 1%, Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies (LHP Kyle Freeland): Kyle Freeland is a mediocre lefty with a wide platoon split headed into a matchup with a DH instead of a pitcher in the lineup. At a shallow catcher position, a righty with power can hold a lot of value in this matchip. Murphy ranks not just as the best of the day at our rostership threshold, but third-best overall. (Editor's Note: We have corrected the language which had mistakenly identified Coors Field as the venue for this game. The analysis was derived from numbers generated by the correct venue and we stand by the player recommendation.)
First Base -- C.J. Cron (R), 47%, Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners (RHP Chris Flexen): On the other side of this contest, Cron has finally (and predictably) snapped out of his funk with a .417 BA, .584 wOBA, and 4 home runs over the past week. He's simply too talented to be rostered in so few leagues, and today he faces a below average pitcher with a large reverse platoon split, and his team will add a DH to help turn the lineup over. (Editor's Note: We have corrected the language which had mistakenly identified Coors Field as the venue for this game. The analysis was derived from numbers generated by the correct venue and we stand by the player recommendation.)
Second Base -- Rougned Odor (L), 2%, New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals (RHP Brady Singer): Odor can be frustrating, but he continues to project well in spots like this. He has elite lefty power for a middle infielder, which ought to play really well in Yankee Stadium. Singer has a huge platoon split, especially susceptible to lefty power, so let's go homer hunting.
Third Base -- Jonathan India (R), 42%, Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins (RHP Bailey Ober): India has been leading off for a strong Cincy offense that will pick up a DH in the American League today. Ober is a solid and underrated pitcher, but India's talent and team context wins out at a fairly shallow position today.
Shortstop -- Josh Rojas (L), 51%, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Freddy Peralta): Similar situation for Rojas as India, as he's simply more talented than his rostership indicates. He faces an elite pitcher today, but he'll be leading off, will have the platoon advantage, and it's a strong hitting environment. Peralta gets a big park downgrade, and this game should have some of the best hitting weather, even if the roof is closed. If it's open, at close to 100 degrees, all the better.
Corner Infield -- Miguel Sano (R), 50%, Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds (LHP Wade Miley): Miley represents the perfect type of matchup for Sano: a pitch-to-contact lefty. Sano's strikeouts will be less of a concern with a pitcher who has trouble generating them, and the platoon advantage gives a big boost. Plus, Miley will have to face a DH coming into the American League.
Middle Infield -- Willy Adames (R), 17%, Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (RHP Zac Gallen): Adames has been a nice pickup for the Brewers, and today he gets a nice park upgrade into Chase Field which, as mentioned for Rojas, has very good weather and the potential for great weather. Gallen is an ace, sure, but he's also not fully stretched out, so we won't see him going super deep here.
Outfield -- Joc Pederson (L), 54%, Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians (RHP Eli Morgan): Morgan is the worst pitcher on the slate, and Pederson will likely lead off and hold the platoon advantage. Plus, there is light wind blowing out in Wrigley today, which is akin to strong wind in a normal park. Pederson is the top stream of the day.
Outfield -- Harold Ramirez (R), 5%, Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs (RHP Kyle Hendricks): On the other side of the game, Ramirez offers potential value even against a good pitcher like Hendricks. He's been hitting fourth or fifth most days he's in the lineup, and the impact of Wrigley wind really can't be overstated.
Outfield -- Adam Duvall (R), 37%, Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays (RHP Ross Stripling): Even though Stripling himself is a solid play, Duvall is as well. He's a guy whose talent suggests he should be rostered in more leagues, but because he's a Marlin and is old, he just isn't. He won't give you any batting average, but his power is insane, and it will play well against Stripling's large reverse platoon split.